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Olduvai
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Olduvai III: Catacylsm
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Fitch Threatens To Cut US Credit Rating As Debt-Ceiling Battle Looms
Fitch Threatens To Cut US Credit Rating As Debt-Ceiling Battle Looms In what has become a perennial exercise before every debt-ceiling showdown since at least Obama’s first term (when S&P did the unthinkable and cut the US’s coveted AAA credit rating, exposing itself to extensive abuse by Tim Geithner), ratings agencies are starting to beat […]
Defiant Energy Policy of Mexico’s President-Elect Rattles Moody’s and Fitch
Defiant Energy Policy of Mexico’s President-Elect Rattles Moody’s and Fitch But it’s going to be tough; he’ll need more than luck to pull it off. Moody’s has rated the $2 billion of senior unsecured notes due 2029 that Mexico’s state-owned oil company Pemex is in the process of issuing one notch above junk. Pemex is offering […]
Hyperinflation Avoidance Advice for Turkish Citizens as Fitch Cuts Ratings
Hyperinflation Avoidance Advice for Turkish Citizens as Fitch Cuts Ratings Turkey is on a path towards hyperinflation. Here are the steps Turkish citizens should make ASAP. Citing stability risks, Fitch Cuts Turkey’s Credit Rating to BB, further into junk territory. Risks to macroeconomic stability have intensified owing to the widening in the current account deficit, […]
Hartford Could Default On Its Debt As Soon As Next Month, Moody’s Says
Hartford Could Default On Its Debt As Soon As Next Month, Moody’s Says Moody’s latest warning about Hartford Connecticut is its most dire yet. In a report issued Thursday, the ratings agency’s analysts said Hartford, Connecticut’s once-proud capital city, could default on its debt as soon as next month, forcing the capital of the country’s […]
Fitch Threatens US with Downgrade
Fitch Threatens US with Downgrade Did it forget how the US government hounded Standard & Poor’s? Bitter irony! Just yesterday, I had a conversation with Bill Tilles, and we agreed on all three points. This morning, we’re already proven wrong on one of them: A government shutdown as Congress fails to pass spending levels for […]
Fitch Downgrades Italy To BBB From BBB+
Fitch Downgrades Italy To BBB From BBB+ Having largely disappeared from the market’s scope for the past 6 months, ever since Europe “bent” its rule allowing the bailout of Monte Paschi and several smaller banks despite Italy having the greatest amount of disclosed NPLs of any European nation, moments ago Fitch decided to drag Italy […]
With Over $13 Trillion In Negative-Yielding Debt, This Is The Pain A 1% Spike In Rates Would Inflict
With Over $13 Trillion In Negative-Yielding Debt, This Is The Pain A 1% Spike In Rates Would Inflict Friday’s unprecedented surge to all time highs in both stock and treasury prices, has got analysts everywhere scratching their heads: which is causing which, and what happens if there is a violent snapback in yields like for […]
Brazil Cut To Junk By All Three Ratings Agencies After Moody’s Joins The Fray
Brazil Cut To Junk By All Three Ratings Agencies After Moody’s Joins The Fray Back in December we warned that Brazil faced a “disastrous downgrade debacle” that would eventually see the beleaguered South American nation cut to junk by all three major ratings agencies. S&P had already thrown the country into the junk bin and […]
Horror Stories Emerge After A Cursory Look At Chinese Corporate Leverage
Horror Stories Emerge After A Cursory Look At Chinese Corporate Leverage By now it is common knowledge that China has a major debt problem at the macro level, one which may be even bigger than expected because according to at least one analysis by Rabobank, China’s most recent debt has soared from the infamous McKinsey level of […]
Meet China’s Latest $1.8 Trillion “Problem”
Meet China’s Latest $1.8 Trillion “Problem” Last summer we outlined how Chinese banks obscure trillions in credit risk. The powers that be in Beijing aren’t particularly keen on allowing the banking sector to report “real” data on souring loans – especially given the fragile state of the country’s economy. In some cases, the Politburo will pressure banks […]
Last Bubble Standing
Last Bubble Standing EM debt bubble… emaciated, FX Carry… crucified, Crude…crushed, High yield bonds… burst, Chinese equities… blown, Trannies… trounced, Small Caps… slammed, Biotechs… busted, and FANGs finally FUBAR!But there is one big (very big) bubble left in the world that no one is talking about, and a rather large liquidity-busting pin beckons… In May 2015 we […]
The Cost Of China’s “Neutron Bomb” Exploding: $7.7 Trillion And Higher
The Cost Of China’s “Neutron Bomb” Exploding: $7.7 Trillion And Higher On Friday we presented Kyle Bass’ latest interview in which the Texas hedge fund manager explained the reasoning why he thought shorting the Yuan is the “greatest investment opportunity right now.” The crux behind the argument was well-known to Zero Hedge readers, namely China’s […]
One Analyst Says China’s Banking Sector Is Sitting On A $3 Trillion Neutron Bomb
One Analyst Says China’s Banking Sector Is Sitting On A $3 Trillion Neutron Bomb To be sure, we’ve long contended that official data on bad loans at Chinese banks is even less reliable than NBS GDP prints. Indeed, the lengths Beijing goes to in order to obscure the extent to which banks’ balance sheets are […]
Gulf Markets Melting Down: Saudi Arabia Plunges 7%, Dubai Sold
Gulf Markets Melting Down: Saudi Arabia Plunges 7%, Dubai Sold Following the end of a horrible week for petroleum importers (not to mention shale producers) despite WTI briefly dipping under $40 (wasn’t this supposed to be great news for the US economy?) we have the start of a just as ugly week for the Persian […]
Junk-Rated Offshore Drillers Headed into Bankruptcy: Fitch
Junk-Rated Offshore Drillers Headed into Bankruptcy: Fitch After fracking, offshore drilling. At the leading edge is rig-contractor Hercules Offshore. In March 2014, before the oil price collapsed, it had the temerity to sell for 100 cents on the dollar $300 million in junk bonds. Since then, its shares have collapsed to near zero. Its bonds […]

Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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Latest Posts
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCLIII-Peak Oil and the Architecture of Collapse, Part 2
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCLII–Peak Oil and the Architecture of Collapse, Part 1
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCLI–The Celebration of Our Own Undoing, Part 2
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The Bulletin: July 15–21, 2026
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCL–Smoke Without Borders: Politicians Without Conscience
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXLIX–The Celebration of Our Own Undoing, Part 1
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The Bulletin: July 8–14, 2026
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXLVIII–Monetary Systems, Thermodynamics, and Ecological Overshoot, Part 2.
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The Bulletin: July 1–7, 2026
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXLVII–Monetary Systems, Thermodynamics, and Ecological Overshoot, Part 1.
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The Bulletin: June 24–30, 2026
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXLVI– Laughing at Our Self-Destruction.
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The Bulletin: June 17–23, 2026
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXLV–Overlooking the Biophysical Basis of Human Societies.
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The Bulletin: June 10–16, 2026
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXLIV– We’re Saved! The Finale: All Aboard the Salvation Bus.
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The Bulletin: June 3-9, 2026
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCLXIII–We’re Saved! Artificial Intelligence.
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The Bulletin: May 27-June 2, 2026
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXLII–We’re Saved! Well, Canada Is…
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The Bulletin: May 20-26, 2026
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXLI– We’re Saved! E-Waste For Empire.
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXL We’re Saved! A Circular Economy.
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The Bulletin: May 13-19, 2026
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXXXIX–The Empire As a Depleting Engine
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The Bulletin: May 6-12, 2026
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXXXVIII–We’re Saved! Solar Photovoltaic Panel Recycling.
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The Bulletin: April 29-May 5, 2026
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXXXVII– We’re Saved! Massive Buildout of Solar Photovoltaic Energy!
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The Bulletin: April 22-28, 2026
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCIIIVI–Everything Is Fine!
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXXXV– Rules For Thee, Not For Me.
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The Bulletin: April 15-21, 2026
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The Bulletin: April 8-14, 2026
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The Bulletin: April 1-7, 2026
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The Bulletin: March 25-31, 2026
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXXXIV–Collapse Is Baked Into Our Future.
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The Bulletin: March 18-24, 2026
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXXXIII–We’re NOT Saved! We’re Making Our Predicaments Worse.
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXXXII–We’re Saved! ‘Renewables’ and Energy Security.
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The Bulletin: March 11-17, 2026
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The Bulletin: March 4-10, 2026
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The Bulletin: February 25-March 3, 2026
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The Bulletin: February 18-24, 2026
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXXXI– We’re Saved! Ecomodernism.
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The Bulletin: February 11-17, 2026
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXXX– Revisited: Collapse = Prolonged Period of Diminishing Returns + Significant Stress Surge(s)
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The Bulletin: February 4-10, 2026
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXXIX– We’re Saved! Pulling It Together…So Far.
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The Bulletin: January 28-February 3, 2026
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXXVIII– We’re Saved! Steel Production Without Coal.
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The Bulletin: January 21-27, 2026
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXXVII– We’re Saved! Wave Energy.
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The Bulletin: January 14-20, 2026
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXXVI–We’re Saved! Hydrogen Energy.
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The Bulletin: January 7-13, 2026
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The Bulletin: December 31-January 6, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXXV– We’re Saved! Carbon Emissions Have Decoupled From Economic Growth.
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The Bulletin: December 24-30, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXXIV– We’re Saved! Thorium-Fuelled and Molten Salt Reactors.
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The Bulletin: December 17-23, 2025
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We’re Saved! A Collection of ‘Solution’ Critiques, Volume 1.
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The Bulletin: December 10–16, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXXIII– We’re Saved! A Nuclear Renaissance Is Upon Us, Part 4.
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The Bulletin: December 3-9, 2025
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The Bulletin: November 26-December 2, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXXII–We’re Saved! A Nuclear Renaissance Is Upon Us, Part 3.
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The Bulletin: November 19-25, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXXI–We’re Saved! A Nuclear Renaissance Is Upon Us, Part 2.
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The Bulletin: November 12-18, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXX–We’re Saved! A Nuclear Renaissance Is Upon Us, Part 1.
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The Bulletin: November 5-11, 2025
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The Bulletin: October 29-November 4, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXIX– We’re Saved! ‘Good Government’ Has Humanity’s Back. Part 3.
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The Bulletin: October 22-28, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXVIII–We’re Saved! ‘Good Government’ Has Humanity’s Back. Part 2.
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The Bulletin: October 15-21, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXVII– We’re Saved! ‘Good Government’ Has Humanity’s Back. Part 1.
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The Bulletin: October 8-14, 2025
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The Bulletin: October 1-7, 2025
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The Bulletin: September 24-30, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXVI–We’re Saved! Fusion Energy Is Imminent.
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The Bulletin: September 17-23, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXV–We’re Saved! Bamboo and Hemp.
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The Bulletin: September 10-16, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXIV–We’re Saved! Solar Photovoltaic Panels.
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The Bulletin: September 3-9, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXIII–Biophysical Economics
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The Bulletin: August 27-September 2, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXII–A ‘Great Simplification’ Is On Our Doorstep, Redux
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CV–That Uncertain Road, Part 2
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The Bulletin: August 20-26, 2025
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The Bulletin: August 13-19, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCXI–Collapse, Environment, and Society
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The Bulletin: August 6-12, 2025
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The Bulletin: July 30-August 5, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCX–Keep Calm and Carry On… Human Ingenuity and Technology Will Save Us! Part 3
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCIX– Keep Calm and Carry On… Human Ingenuity and Technology Will Save Us! Part 2
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The Bulletin: July 23-29, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCVIII–Keep Calm and Carry On…Human Ingenuity and Technology Will Save Us! Part 1
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The Bulletin: July 16-22, 2025
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The Bulletin: July 10-16, 2025
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The Bulletin: July 3-9, 2025
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The Bulletin: June 26-July 2, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCVII–‘Collapse’: It May Not Be What You Think It Is.
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The Bulletin: June 19-25, 2025
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The Bulletin: June 12-18, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCVI–A ‘Great Simplification’ Is On Our Doorstep.
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The Bulletin: June 5-11, 2025
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The Bulletin: May 29-June 4, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCV–Do You Believe ‘Renewables’ Are ‘Clean’ And Can ‘Save the Planet’?
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The Bulletin: May 22-28, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCIV– Canada’s Housing ‘Crisis’ Revisited: Looking Into Why Housing Is Not Affordable For Most
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The Bulletin: May 15-21, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCIII–We Must Destroy the Earth To Save It
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CLII–Housing ‘Crisis’: Real or Contrived?
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The Bulletin: May 8-14, 2025
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The Bulletin: May 1-7, 2025
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The Bulletin: April 24-30, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCII– Hydrocarbons: Our Finite, Master Energy Resource and the Implications Of Its Peak For Modernity
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The Bulletin: April 17-23, 2025
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The Bulletin: April 10-16, 2025
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The Bulletin: April 3-9, 2025
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The Bulletin: March 27-April 2, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CCI– Peak Oil, Economic Growth, and Wildlife Conservation: Envisioning An Alternative Future
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The Bulletin: March 20-26, 2025
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The Bulletin: March 13-19, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CC–‘Olduvai’: What’s It All About?
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The Bulletin: March 6-12, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CXCIX– Imperial Longevity, ‘Collapse’ Causes, and Resource Finiteness
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The Bulletin: February 27-March 5, 2025
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The Bulletin: February 20-26, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CXCVIII–Beyond Peak Oil: Will Our Cities Collapse?
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The Bulletin: February 13-19, 2025
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The Bulletin: February 6-12, 2025
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The Bulletin: January 30-February 5, 2024
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CXCVII–‘Renewable’ Energy: See, Hear, and Speak No Evil, Part 3
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The Bulletin: January 23-29, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CXCVI–‘Renewable’ Energy: See, Hear, and Speak No Evil, Part 2
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The Bulletin: January 16-22, 2025
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The Bulletin: January 9-15, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CXCV–‘Renewable’ Energy: See, Hear, and Speak No Evil, Part 1
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The Bulletin: January 2-8, 2025
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Wild Free and Happy–free ebook by Richard Adrian Reese
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The Bulletin: December 26, 2024-January 1, 2025
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CXCIV–US Peak Shale Oil & Gas: When the Walls Come Tumblin’ Down.
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CL–Carbon Tunnel Vision and Resource/Energy & Ecological Blindness, Part 2
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CXLIX–Carbon Tunnel Vision and Resource/Energy & Ecological Blindness, Part 1
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CXXXI–Sociopolitical Agency, Narrative Management, And Collapse
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CXLIII–Ruling Caste Responses to Societal Breakdown/Decline
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CXLVIII–What Do Previous Experiments in Societal Complexity Suggest About ‘Managing’ Our Future
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CXXXV–Collapse Now To Avoid the Rush: The Long Emergency
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CXXV–Hydrocarbons And The Maximum Power Principle: What Could Possibly Go Wrong?
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The Bulletin: December 19-25, 2024
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The Bulletin: December 12-18, 2024
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CXCIII—Societal Collapse, Abrupt Climate Events, and the Role of Resilience
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The Bulletin: December 5-11, 2024
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The Bulletin: November 28-December 4
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CXCII–Sorry, folks, but ‘renewables’ are NOT going to save humanity or the planet.
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CXCI–The Nexus of Population, Energy, Innovation, and Complexity
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The Bulletin: November 21-27, 2024
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The Bulletin: November 14-20, 2024
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CXC–Beyond Collapse: Climate Change and Causality During the Middle Holocene Climatic Transition
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The Bulletin: November 7-13, 2024
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The Bulletin: October 31-November 6, 2024
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CLXXXVIX–Problem Solving: Complexity, History, Sustainability
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The Bulletin: October 24-30, 2024
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CLXXXVIII–Collapse = Prolonged Period of Diminishing Returns + Significant Stress Surge(s), Part 4
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The Bulletin: October 17-23, 2024
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CLXXXVII–Collapse = Prolonged Period of Diminishing Returns + Significant Stress Surge(s), Part 3
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The Bulletin: October 10-16, 2024
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CLXXXVI– Collapse = Prolonged Period of Diminishing Returns + Significant Stress Surge(s), Part 2
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The Bulletin: October 3-9, 2024
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CLXXXV– Collapse = Prolonged Period of Diminishing Returns + Significant Stress Surge(s), Part 1
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The Bulletin: September 26-October 2, 2024
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It Bears Repeating: Best Of…Volume 2
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The Bulletin: September 19-25, 2024
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The Bulletin: September 13-19
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The Bulletin: September 6-12
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The Bulletin: August 30-September 5, 2024
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The Bulletin: August 23-29, 2024
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The Bulletin: August 16-22, 2024
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CLXXXIV– ‘Renewables’: The Great ‘Solution’ (NOT)
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The Bulletin: August 8-15, 2024
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The Bulletin: August 1-7, 2024
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July 12-31 Articles of Interest
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Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CLXXXIII–Complexity and Sustainability
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Taking a Break…
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July 11, Readings
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July 10, 2024 Readings
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July 9, 2024 Readings
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July 8, 2024 Readings
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July 7, 2024 Readings
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July 6, 2024 Readings
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July 5, 2024 Readings
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July 4, 2024 Readings
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July 3, 2024 Readings
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July 2, 2024 Readings
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July 1, 2024 Readings

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