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Olduvai III: Catacylsm
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2019: The Three Trends That Matter

2019: The Three Trends That Matter Look no further than Brexit in Britain, the yellow vests in France and the Deplorables in the U.S. for manifestations of a broken social contract and decaying social order. Among the many trends currently in play, Gordon Long and I discuss three that will matter as 2019 progresses: 2019 Themes (56 […]

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Steen Jakobsen: The End Of The Debt Cycle

Steen Jakobsen: The End Of The Debt Cycle As transformational as the fall of the Berlin Wall As we’ve been watching closely, something is wrong with the big banks. Their shares have lost 25-33% of their market value since the beginning of the year. What’s going on? The turmoil seems greatest in Europe, where bank […]

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A Market Collapse Is On The Horizon

A Market Collapse Is On The Horizon What is ahead for 2016? Most people don’t realize how tightly the following are linked: 1. Growth in debt 2. Growth in the economy 3. Growth in cheap-to-extract energy supplies 4. Inflation in the cost of producing commodities 5. Growth in asset prices, such as the price of […]

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2016: Oil Limits and the End of the Debt Supercycle

2016: Oil Limits and the End of the Debt Supercycle What is ahead for 2016? Most people don’t realize how tightly the following are linked: Growth in debt Growth in the economy Growth in cheap-to-extract energy supplies Inflation in the cost of producing commodities Growth in asset prices, such as the price of shares of stock […]

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The Next Debt-Clearing ‘Super Cycle’ Starts Now

The Next Debt-Clearing ‘Super Cycle’ Starts Now We are in the early stages of a great debt default – the largest in U.S. history. We know roughly the size and scope of the coming default wave because we know the history of the U.S. corporate debt market. As the sizes of corporate bond deals have grown over […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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