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America’s Oil Boom Is a Fraud
America’s Oil Boom Is a Fraud PARIS – We promised to end the week with a bang! You’ll recall that Fed policy always consists of the same three mistakes… 1) Keeping interest rates too low for too long, resulting in too much debt; 2) Raising interest rates to try to gently deflate the debt bubble; […]
Saudi Arabia’s Oil-Bust Cash-Flow Debacle Begins to Bite
Saudi Arabia’s Oil-Bust Cash-Flow Debacle Begins to Bite Hangover of oil dependence has only just begun. It was supposed to be the biggest, most ambitious, most lucrative infrastructure project Spain’s construction industry had ever undertaken on the Arabian Peninsula. Launched three years ago, the high-speed rail link project between Medina and Mecca was a dream […]
Pop in gold x USDX reaching a critical point
Pop in gold x USDX reaching a critical point Here at the World Complex I have been using gold x USDX (i.e., the gold price in US dollars per ounce multiplied by the US dollar index, divided by 100) as a proxy for the value of gold mined by companies not operating in the US. Assuming that […]
Next Few Weeks Will Reveal Full Extent Of Oil Industry Suffering
Next Few Weeks Will Reveal Full Extent Of Oil Industry Suffering Get ready for some bad news and red ink. With the bulk of quarterly earnings reports in the energy industry yet to be announced, there are already $6.5 billion worth of asset write-downs, according to Bloomberg. And that could be just the tip of the […]
Oil Companies Running Out Of Options
Oil Companies Running Out Of Options The financial pressure on indebted oil and gas companies continues to mount, putting them in a bind as they try to mend their deteriorating balance sheets. As their debt rises, drillers have had to divert more of their operating cash flow to servicing that debt. Or, put another way, […]
Did The Fed Intentionally Spark A Commodity Sell-off?
Did The Fed Intentionally Spark A Commodity Sell-off? The intention here is the bring facts to light so the public can decide. I’m not quite sure what to believe on how and why oil prices remain more than 50 percent below free cash flow break even for most independent E&P companies. I know for sure […]
It’s Happening: Debt Is Tearing up the Fracking Revolution
It’s Happening: Debt Is Tearing up the Fracking Revolution The shares of Chesapeake Energy, second largest natural-gas driller in the US, crashed nearly 10% today, to $9.29, the lowest price since August 2003, down nearly 70% since oil began to plunge a year ago. The company’s $1.1 billion of 5.75% notes fell to an all-time low […]
“Motherfrackers” and Big Oil Hypesters
“Motherfrackers” and Big Oil Hypesters Forbe’s contributor Christopher Helman has always been an unapologetic supporter of shales. For instance, only last September he wrote a piece entitled “America’s Energy Outlook is Fracking Great, For Now”. Never mind that oil prices had begun their downward spiral three months prior to this statement. Never mind that every shale […]
It Begins: Energy Giant Chevron Suspends Stock Buyback, Blames “Cash Flow Squeeze”
It Begins: Energy Giant Chevron Suspends Stock Buyback, Blames “Cash Flow Squeeze” It was less than 24 hours after we posted that either oil will double from here allowing energy companies to grow into a normal P/E multiple, or energy stocks will have to crash by over 40% for the ridiculous 23x to return to its normal, long-term […]