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The Curious Case of Missing Defaults

November 1, 2017

THE CURIOUS CASE OF THE MISSING DEFAULTS CAMBRIDGE – Booms and busts in international capital flows and commodity prices, as well as the vagaries of international interest rates, have long been associated with economic crises, especially – but not exclusively – in emerging markets. The “type” of crisis varies by time and place. Sometimes the […]

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My Financial Road Map For 2016

January 5, 2016

My Financial Road Map For 2016 Happy New Year to All! May 2016 bring peace to you and your loved ones. Over the holidays, I had the opportunity to stay away from airports and hike Runyon Canyon with my dogs. For those of you that have never traversed Runyon’s peaks and dips, they are nature’s respite […]

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China: Doomed If You Do, Doomed If You Don’t

September 1, 2015

China: Doomed If You Do, Doomed If You Don’t Whichever option China chooses, it loses. Many commentators have ably explained the double-bind the central banks of the world find themselves in. Doing more of what’s failed is, well, failing to generate the desired results, but doing nothing also presents risks. China’s double-bind is especially instructive. While there an […]

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Meet the bureaucrat who had the courage to tell the truth (and probably won’t have a job tomorrow)

February 20, 2015

Meet the bureaucrat who had the courage to tell the truth (and probably won’t have a job tomorrow) It’s not very often that you hear a senior government official refer to their economic situation using the word ‘crisis’. Yet with uncharacteristic bluntness of any government official anywhere, at least one senior Chinese government official is […]

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China Switches to Supporting Yuan as Outflows Mount: Currencies

January 26, 2015

China Switches to Supporting Yuan as Outflows Mount: Currencies Managing the yuan is turning into a different game for China’s policy makers these days. After more than a decade of curbing the currency’s gains to help turn the nation into a manufacturing colossus, there are signs the People’s Bank of China is now propping up the yuan to […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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