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Canada’s Petro Paralysis, Diagnosed

Canada’s Petro Paralysis, Diagnosed

Three books show how bitumen blocks democratic solutions to our climate crisis.

PipelineProtestWomanSign.jpg
Protester at rally against the Kinder Morgan Trans Mountain Expansion project on Sept. 9, 2017 in Vancouver. Photo by William Chen, Creative Commons licensed.
  • Costly Fix: Power, Politics and Nature in the Tar Sands
  • Ian Urquhart
  • University of Toronto Press (2018)
  • Oil’s Deep State: How the Petroleum Industry Undermines Democracy and Stops Action on Global Warming
  • Kevin Taft
  • Lorimer (2017)
  • The Big Stall: How Big Oil and Think Tanks are Blocking Action on Climate Change in Canada
  • Donald Gutstein
  • Lorimer (2018)

Among the most vocal critics of this environmental assessment process, ironically, was Justin Trudeau himself, when he was on the 2015 campaign trail. He had promised to fix the federal environmental process to restore the trust of Canadians in resource decision-making. After the election, his new government struck a blue-ribbon panel to advise them on how to do just that. 

Instead, 2018 saw the Trudeau government ignore most of the panel’s sensible recommendations, introducing instead Bill C-69, a legislative mash-up that, from a sustainability, transparency and accountability perspective, is likely to be worse than the Harper environmental assessment law that Trudeau railed against in 2015. Passed by the House, Bill C-69 is now hung up in the Senate, the target of a noisy misinformation campaign being led by a right-wing, astroturf group calling itself (I’m not kidding) “Suits and Boots.”

Meanwhile, under unrelenting pressure from Alberta Premier Rachel Notley to get shovels in the ground, the Trudeau government remitted the job of fixing the defective TMX review back to the National Energy Board, under the old Harper rules. To this end, it ordered a new board panel to do a high-speed reconsideration of the deficiencies the court had identified the first-time around. The deadline for intervenors to file their final written arguments to this new panel was last Tuesday.

 …click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

Alberta’s Problem Isn’t Pipelines; It’s Bad Policy Decisions

Alberta’s Problem Isn’t Pipelines; It’s Bad Policy Decisions

Bitumen prices are low because the province has ignored at least a decade of warnings.

The Alberta government has known for more than a decade that its oilsands policies were setting the stage for today’s price crisis.

Which makes it hard to take the current government seriously when it tries to blame everyone from environmentalists to other provinces for what is a self-inflicted economic problem.

In 2007, a government report warned that prices for oilsands bitumen could eventually fall so low that the government’s royalty revenues — critical for its budget — would be at risk.

The province should encourage companies to add value to the bitumen by upgrading and refining it into gasoline or diesel to avoid the coming price plunge, the report said.

Instead, the government has kept royalties — the amount the public gets for the resource — low and encouraged rapid oilsands development, producing a market glut.

With North American pipelines largely full, U.S. oil production surging and U.S. refineries working at full capacity, Alberta has wounded itself with bad policy choices, say experts.

The Alberta government and oil industry is in crisis mode because the gap between the price paid for Western Canadian Select — a blend of heavy oil and diluent — and benchmark West Texas Intermediate oils has widened to $40 US a barrel.

Some energy companies have called on the government to impose production cuts to increase prices.

The business case for slowing bitumen production was made by the great Fort McMurray fire of 2015.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

Canada’s Pipeline Challenges Will Force More Tar Sands Oil to Move by Rail

Canada’s Pipeline Challenges Will Force More Tar Sands Oil to Move by Rail

Gogama oil train derailment in Ontario

The Motley Fool has been advising investors on “How to Profit From the Re-Emergence of Canada’s Crude-by-Rail Strategy.” But what makes transporting Canadian crude oil by rail attractive to investors?

According to the Motley Fool, the reason is “… right now, there is so much excess oil being pumped out of Canada’s oil sands that the pipelines simply don’t have the capacity to handle it all.”

The International Energy Agency recently reached the same conclusion in its Oil 2018 market report.

Crude by rail exports are likely to enjoy a renaissance, growing from their current 150,000 bpd [barrels per day] to an implied 250,000 bpd on average in 2018 and to 390,000 bpd in 2019. At their peak in 2019, rail exports of crude oil could be as high as 590,000 bpd — though this calculation assumes producers do not resort to crude storage in peak months,” the International Energy Agency said, as reported by the Financial Post.

To put that in perspective, however, the industry was moving 1.3 million barrels per day at the peak of the U.S. oil-by-rail boom in 2014.


Graph of American crude-by-rail volumes. Credit: U.S Energy Information Administration

And Canada has plenty of capacity to load oil on more trains, which means if a producer is willing to pay the premium to move oil by rail, it can find a customer to do it. The infrastructure is in place to load approximately 1.2 million barrels per day.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

 

Canada Is Facing A Heavy Crude Crisis

Canada Is Facing A Heavy Crude Crisis

Canada Oil

Canada’s benchmark heavy crude oil widened its discount to WTI to the largest in six trading sessions on Thursday, as additional storage capacity in Alberta and data about lower crude-by-rail shipments added concerns over the domestic oil glut, as TransCanada’s Keystone Pipeline has yet to return to normal pressure levels following a leak and temporary shutdown last November.

On Thursday, Western Canadian Select was trading at a discount of US$27 a barrel to WTI. The discount widened to the biggest level, US$30.55 a barrel, in four years on February 5, after a selloff following the temporary shutdown of Keystone in mid-November.

This week, market participants were digesting news about increased storage capacity and January crude-by-rail data. Crude-by-rail exports out of Canada fell by 11.3 percent month on month in January to 140,959 bpd, according to the latest data by Canada’s Crude Oil Logistics Committee, quoted by Platts. Analysts had expected rail crude exports to be either flat or down, because Canadian rail operators and customers had reported delays in shipments due to extreme weather.

In addition, Kinder Morgan Canada and Canadian midstream operator Keyera said earlier this week that they added two additional tanks at the Base Line Terminal for service ahead of schedule. The two tanks add an additional 800,000 barrels of crude storage to the 1.6 million barrels currently in operation.

Meanwhile, data from Canada’s National Energy Board (NEB) showed that the Keystone Pipeline, which was restarted on November 28 after a shutdown on November 16, had throughput volumes of 582,000 bpd in December, following a slump to 298,000 bpd in November.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

 

Canada’s Oil Crisis Continues To Worsen

Canada’s Oil Crisis Continues To Worsen

Enbridge pipeline

Canadian oil producers can’t get a break. First it was the pipelines — there are not enough of them to carry the crude from Alberta’s oil sands to export markets. This pipeline capacity problem has been forcing producers to pay higher rates for railway transportation, which has naturally hurt their margins in no small way. Now, there is a shortage of rail cars as well.

The situation is going from bad to worse for Canadian producers who can’t seem to catch a break. Canadian railway operators are fighting harsh winter weather and finding it hard to supply enough cars to move both crude oil from Alberta and grain from the Prairies.

The harsh weather is just the latest factor, however. Before that, there was the 45-percent surge in demand for rail cars from the oil industry, Bloomberg reports, citing Canadian National Railway. The surge happened in the third quarter of last year, and Canadian National’s chief executive Ghislain Houle says that it took the company “a little bit by surprise.” This surprise has led to “pinch points” on the railway operator’s network, further aggravating an already bad situation.

As a result, crude oil remains in Alberta and prices fall further because Alberta is where the local crude is priced, Bloomberg’s Jen Skerritt and Robert Tuttle note. In fact, Canadian crude is currently trading at the biggest discount to West Texas Intermediate in four years, at $30.60 per barrel. The blow is particularly severe as it comes amid improving oil prices elsewhere driven by the stock market recovery.

The light at the end of the tunnel is barely a glimmer. Despite federal government support for the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion project, it is still facing obstacles that may result in it never seeing the light of day.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

Is This New Tar Sands Technology a Game Changer for Exporting Canada’s Bitumen?

Is This New Tar Sands Technology a Game Changer for Exporting Canada’s Bitumen?

Hockey pucks

A new technology has the potential to transform the transportation of tars sands oil. Right now, the already thick and slow-flowing oil, known as bitumen, has to be diluted with a super-light petroleum product, usually natural gas condensate, in order for it to flow through a pipeline or into a rail tank car.

However, scientists at the University of Calgary’s Schulich School of Engineering inadvertently found a way to make tar sands oil even more viscous, turning it into “self-sealing pellets” that could potentially simplify its transport.

“We’ve taken heavy oil, or bitumen, either one, and we’ve discovered a process to convert them rapidly and reproducibly into pellets,” Ian Gates, the professor leading the research, told CBC News in September 2017.

Based on the initial description of this product, it appears that it could alleviate many of the risks involved with moving tar sands oil by rail. The research teams says this product floats in water, does not pose a fire and explosion risk like the diluted bitumen currently moved in rail tank cars, and would eliminate air quality issues related to the volatile components of diluted bitumen.

If true, this technology would appear to reduce potential risks to people and the environment, in comparision with moving diluted bitumen by rail or in pipelines.

Gates also suggests that the solidified bitumen can be moved in the type of open rail cars used for coal. That would be welcome news to railroads, which have been losing business transporting coal as demand has dwindled. Gates did not respond to multiple requests for comment on this article.

Canadian National Working to Commercialize Similar Technology

Meanwhile, similar research and development has been happening not within the Canadian oil industry, but instead, a Canadian railroad, which has patented another method of solidifying tar sands for transport.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

Canadian Oil Trapped Without More Pipeline Capacity

Canadian Oil Trapped Without More Pipeline Capacity

Adding insult to injury for Canada’s oil industry, Democratic Presidential candidate Hillary Clinton came out against the Keystone XL Pipeline on September 22, ending several years of silence and waffling on the controversial issue.

That comes as a blow to TransCanada, the project’s backer, who wanted to connect Canada’s oil sands to refineries on the U.S. Gulf Coast. The 1,179-milepipeline would allow 830,000 barrels of oil per day to be exported from Canada. Clinton’s opposition will add some pressure on the U.S. President to reject the pipeline, which looks increasingly likely.

But if the pipeline is rejected, it won’t just be bad news for TransCanada, but also for Canada’s larger oil industry. Canadian crude trades at a discount to WTI, in part because of a lack of pipeline capacity. That discount has fluctuated over the years – ranging from $40 at a high point to around $15 today – but the bigger the discount, the more revenue is lost by Canada’s oil producers.

Related: Peak Oil Has More To Do With Oil Prices Than You May Think

Now with oil prices less than half of what they were from a year ago, the discount that Canada’s oil sector must sell their oil for is even more painful. “At $100 a barrel it was a big concern. At $45 a barrel, that is a far larger percentage (of revenue) and is likely the difference between profitable and unprofitable on many of the assets,” Tim McMillan, president of the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers (CAPP), told Reuters in an interview in early September.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

 

Oil sands pipelines now back on the election agenda

Oil sands pipelines now back on the election agenda

Mulcair may have the most explaining to do in tonight’s French-language leaders’ debate

So now we know. The woman who wants to be the next Democrat to occupy the White House has made a decision that the president she hopes to succeed hasn’t, or won’t.

Hillary Clinton came out against the Keystone XL this week, the Canadian-backed pipeline that would carry Alberta bitumen — and some North Dakota crude — through the heartland of America to the giant refineries on the U.S. Gulf Coast.

“I think it is imperative that we look at the Keystone pipeline for what I believe it is — a distraction from the important work we have to do on climate change,” Clinton said at a meeting in Iowa, which just happens to be a key battleground state for Democrats in the lead-up to the presidential nomination race next year.

She used stronger language in a later tweet, saying “it’s time to invest in a clean energy future not build a pipeline to carry our continent’s dirtiest oil across the U.S.”

American progressives and environmentalists — key Democratic constituencies — immediately cheered her decision. Barack Obama likely did, too, from the privacy of the Oval Office.

After delaying his own decision, again and again, Clinton’s statement may well relieve him of having to make one at all.

Clinton, too, had delayed stating where she stood. And for good reason. She was Obama’s secretary of state when her department concluded Keystone XL would have no significant impact on oil sands development, support 42,000 jobs and generate billions in tax revenues in the U.S.

But these days, Clinton is more interested in burnishing whatever climate-friendly agenda she intends to roll out, especially now that she’s facing a real threat for the Democratic nomination from Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

 

 

Nexen’s Brand New, Double-Layered Pipeline Just Ruptured, Causing One of the Biggest Oil Spills Ever in Alberta

A pipeline at Nexen Energy’s Long Lake oilsands facility southeast of Fort McMurray, Alberta, spilled about five million liters (32,000 barrels or some 1.32 million gallons) of emulsion, a mixture of bitumen, sand and water, Wednesday afternoon — marking one of the largest spills in Alberta history.

According to reports, the spill covered as much as 16,000 square meters (almost 4 acres). The emulsion leaked from a “feeder” pipe that connects a wellhead to a processing plant.

At a press conference Thursday, Ron Bailey, Nexen vice president of Canadian operations, said the company “sincerely apologize[d] for the impact this has caused.” He confirmed the double-layered pipeline is a part of Nexen’s new system and that the line’s emergency detection system failed to alert officials to the breach, which was discovered during a visual inspection.

At this time, the company claims to have the leak under control, according to CBC News.


Nexen’s “failsafe” system didn’t detect massive pipeline spill: http://wp.me/p2Y4rw-8SFH 

The spill comes at a particularly bad time for Canada’s premiers, who are poised to sign an agreement three years in the making to fast-track the approval process for new oil sands pipelines while weakening commitments to fight climate change, according to Mike Hudema, a climate and energy campaigner for Greenpeace.

“As provincial premiers talk about ways to streamline the approval process for new tar sands pipelines, we have a stark reminder of how dangerous they can be,” Hudema said in a statement. “This leak is also a good reminder that Alberta has a long way to go to address its pipeline problems and that communities have good reasons to fear having more built.”

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

 

 

 

OPEC oil glut is shattering Harper’s superpower dream

OPEC oil glut is shattering Harper’s superpower dream

Producers’ brinksmanship has worked, and Canada is cutting production

In the battle to see who blinks first, OPEC hasn’t blinked. And it looks like it isn’t going to, as it meets this week in Vienna.

Six months ago the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, led by Saudi Arabia, announced it would keep pumping crude even though the world was swimming in the stuff.

While some analysts are predicting a surprise at this week’s meeting, most reports now say OPEC is not considering reining in production.

And whether or not OPEC continues to pump, there are new signs that Prime Minister Stephen Harper’s dream for Canada as an “emerging energy superpower” may be in trouble.

A report this week from Barclays showed Canadian production tumbling. The global giants with a stake in Canada’s oil sands have stopped expansion plans and many have walked away.

Meanwhile, Alberta oil producers have threatened to put new developments on hold until they see whether Rachel Notley’s new NDP government gives them what they want.

Missing a crucial window

To add insult to injury, low prices have emboldened the “dirty oil” lobby. There are new reports this week that the New York oil hub is rejecting petroleum from Canada’s “tarsands.”

Alberta’s oilsands may still contain some of the world’s largest petroleum reserves, up there with Venezuela and Saudi Arabia, but there is an increasing danger that Canada has missed a crucial window to develop and extract those resources.

 

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

Canada needs to confront its oilsands ‘challenge,’ German ambassador says

Canada needs to confront its oilsands ‘challenge,’ German ambassador says

Observers say Canada and Japan are attempting to block ‘decarbonization’ pledge from G7 declaration

Germany’s ambassador to Canada says Ottawa’s new targets to cut carbon pollution mean it will have to tackle the problem of the oilsands.

In an interview with CBC News, Ambassador Werner Wnendt said he recognizes the oilsands are an asset for Canada.

“On the other side, this is a challenge. Of course we know that the oilsands and the production of oil in the oilsands does produce a lot of carbon and Canada needs to deal with it,” he said.

Germany is putting a top priority on climate change as it prepares to host the two-day G7 gathering in the Bavarian town of Schloss Elmau in June. Germany wants the world’s richest industrialized countries to send a clear message they’re not going shirk their responsibilities in tackling rising global carbon pollution.

By the mid-term of the century we should come to a point where economic growth can work without the emission of carbon– Werner Wnendt, Germany’s ambassador to Canada

“The signal is that the leading countries in the G7 group do take this very seriously, that they are ambitious in their own targets and they are ready also to support countries that need to be supported financially.” Wnendt said.

The leaders of the seven industrialized countries are being told to be prepared to discuss their new national carbon-cutting goals in preparation for the crucial UN climate conference in Paris at the end of the year.

Canada announced its target for greenhouse gas emissions earlier this month, setting a goal of a 30 per cent reduction below 2005 levels by 2030.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

 

 

Trans Mountain pipeline expansion ‘disastrous,’ says Mayor Gregor Robertson

Trans Mountain pipeline expansion ‘disastrous,’ says Mayor Gregor Robertson

‘My mind is clearly made up. I think this is a bad deal for Vancouver,’ he said after reading new report

Mayor Gregor Robertson says new evidence proves the expansion of Kinder Morgan’s Trans Mountain pipeline presents a grave threat to the City of Vancouver’s health, economy and environment.

The city commissioned expert reports on the potential impacts of the $5.4-billion proposal and the findings were presented to council on Wednesday.

“Today we heard overwhelming evidence that the Kinder Morgan pipeline proposal and the oil tankers associated with it are incredibly disastrous for Vancouver,” said Robertson outside council chambers after the meeting.

“My mind is clearly made up. I think this is a bad deal for Vancouver.”

The mayor entered a motion to reaffirm the city’s opposition to the project, but council agreed to defer the vote for two weeks after Coun. Elizabeth Ball requested more time to review the findings.

NEB considering proposal

The National Energy Board is considering Kinder Morgan’s plan to triple its bitumen-carrying capacity to 890,000 barrels a day by laying almost 1,000 kilometres of new pipe near an existing line between Alberta and Burnaby, B.C.

The city submitted its expert evidence to the energy board on Wednesday, including critical reports on the project’s economic viability, risk assessment and potential spill impacts.

A Metro Vancouver-commissioned report on health and air quality concluded a spill could expose up to a million people to toxic benzene fumes and kill up to 100,000 birds.

The report said benzene, a component of diluted bitumen, can cause headaches, dizziness, nausea, respiratory problems, coma and even death. People on the Stanley Park seawall next to the water could suffer irreversible health effects, it said.

 

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

Alberta Health Board Fires Doctor Who Raised Cancer Alarms

Alberta Health Board Fires Doctor Who Raised Cancer Alarms

‘I am stunned,’ says Dr. John O’Connor, a veteran presence in First Nations community

An Alberta health board has fired Dr. John O’Connor, the physician who came to national prominence after raising questions about rare cancers in the tarsands region.

The Nunee Health Board Society send O’Connor a letter last Friday saying it no longer required his professional services.

The letter gives no reason why. “I am stunned. It is indescribable. This severing of links, with no reason,” O’Connor told the Tyee.

Since 2000, O’Connor has served as the on-call physician for the remote community of Fort Chipewyan, as well as physician back-up for the community’s nursing station.

Between 2000 and 2007, O’Connor also flew into the community two days a week for in-person consultations.

The Nunee Health Board Society represents the health interests of the small aboriginal community to all levels of government. The board did not respond to a request for comment sent this morning.

 

O’Connor, an Irish-born physician, came to prominence in 2006 when he raised concerns about a string of rare bile duct cancers and other unusual disorders such as lupus and renal failure that appeared in patients from Fort Chipewyan, which is located 300 kilometres downstream from the tarsands.

Pressed for long-term studies

The bile duct cancer cholangiocarcimona normally appears in one in 200,000 people. In the space of nine years, O’Connor recorded approximately four cases in the region, which has a population of around 1,500.

Scientists don’t know much about the cancer, but suspect it is related to exposure to industrial toxins in water such as polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, a common bitumen pollutant.

 

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

Harper’s Folly: Canada Losing $30+ Billion/Year on Tar-Sands Oil

Harper’s Folly: Canada Losing $30+ Billion/Year on Tar-Sands Oil 

Oil is our most-precious commodity as fuel for the global economy. It is also becoming a scarce commodity, as global production has flattened, while global demand continues to climb relentlessly, everywhere in the world except for the dying economies of Europe and North America. It is a classic “seller’s market.”

Then we have Canada. Under the Harper regime; Canada has rapidly/recklessly ramped-up production of tar sands oil (vying with U.S. shale-oil production for the title of “world’s dirtiest oil”). In less than 20 years; tar sands production has increased by a factor of ten, from less than 200,000 barrels per day to over 2 million barrels per day (mb/d) in 2014. This amounts to annual tar sands production of roughly 750 million barrels.

Tar Sands

Thanks to this reckless over-production; Canadian tar sands oil production has created three ultra-expensive/ultra-inefficient bottlenecks for itself:

a)      Insufficient refining capacity

b)      Insufficient shipping/pipeline infrastructure

c)       Insufficient skilled labour

Because of (a) and (b); Canada’s tar sands oil has been sold at “discounts” of up to $40/barrel. Because of (c) and other factors;production costs for tar sands oil (which was already the world’s most-expensive) continue to soar.

 

Legions of workers must be flown in, housed and fed, adding to costs. Competition for labour is so fierce that some companies now subsidize mortgage payments on $600,000 houses to entice workers to stick around.

The combination of a grossly insufficient labour force, and grossly insufficient infrastructure to support this production is that while it is “the lowest priced oil in the world”, currently trading at a pathetic $36.02 per barrel, it is the most-expensive oilin the world to produce.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

 

 

 

Tar Sands by Rail Disasters: The Latest Wave in the Bomb Train Assault

Tar Sands by Rail Disasters: The Latest Wave in the Bomb Train Assault

With the first crash and explosion of aunit train of tar sands oil in Canada in February, we learned that the conventional wisdom among people covering the oil-by-rail industry regarding the flammability of tar sands oil has been dead wrong. A second derailment and explosion on March 7th involved synbit, which is a form of bitumen diluted with synthetic crude oil.

While there are many examples of this mischaracterization of the dangers of moving tar sands by rail that can be found in the press, here at DeSmogBlog we didn’t have to look far. In an article last year about how to make Bakken crude less dangerous we wrote that the government had plans to allow tar sands oil to be transported in the unsafe DOT-111 rail tank cars “because it is not explosive.”

While raw bitumen from the Alberta tar sands is not volatile or highly flammable, when it is diluted with natural gas condensate to form a mixture known as dilbit,which is typically done to make it easier to transport, it appears that it can be as dangerous as the Bakken crude that has now been proven to be highly flammable and explosive in multiple train derailments.

 

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

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