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Olduvai III: Catacylsm
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The Ugly Truth

The Ugly Truth For years critics of central bank policy have been dismissed as negative nellies, but the ugly truth is staring us all in the face: Market advances remain a game of artificial liquidity and central bank jawboning and not organic growth and now the jig is up. As I’ve been saying for a […]

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“Peak QE”: This Is What Share Of The Market Central Banks Now Own

“Peak QE”: This Is What Share Of The Market Central Banks Now Own After a decade of unprecedented liquidity injections by central banks to preserve the western financial system, global QE has peaked. First, the aggregate balance sheet of major central banks started to shrink earlier in the year, a reversal that took investors many […]

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Interest Rates Starting To Bite

Interest Rates Starting To Bite We have long held that interest rates have been so low (especially real rates) that it will take some time to reach a level for them to really matter and impact markets. The 2-year yield crossing over the S&P500 divie yield this past week for the first time in the last […]

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Mr Creosote is Full

Mr Creosote is Full Maitre D’: “And finally, monsieur, a wafer-thin mint.” Mr Creosote: “No.” Maitre D’: “Oh, sir! It’s only a tiny little thin one.” Mr Creosote: “No. F**k off. I’m full…” [Belches] Maitre D’: “Oh, sir… it’s only wafer thin.” Mr Creosote: “Look – I couldn’t eat another thing. I’m absolutely stuffed. Bugger off.” Maitre D’: “Oh, sir, just… just […]

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David Stockman: Thanks for the Corporate Bond Bubble, Fed

DAVID STOCKMAN: THANKS FOR THE CORPORATE BOND BUBBLE, FED Once upon a time businesses borrowed long term money—-if they borrowed at all—-in order to fund plant, equipment and other long-lived productive assets. That kind of debt was self-liquidating in the sense that it usually generated a stream of income and cash flow that was sufficient to […]

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The Keynesian Recovery Meme Is About To Get Mugged, Part 1

The Keynesian Recovery Meme Is About To Get Mugged, Part 1 Yellen said at least one thing of importance last week, but not in a good way. She confessed to the frightening truth that the FOMC formulates its policies and actions based on forecasts of future economic developments. My point is not simply that our monetary politburo couldn’t […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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