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Olduvai III: Catacylsm
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Unwinding the Financial System

Unwinding the Financial System This article looks at the collateral side of financial transactions and some significant problems that are already emerging. At a time when there is a veritable tsunami of dollar credit in foreign hands overhanging markets, it is obvious that continually falling bond prices will ensure bear markets in all financial asset […]

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Hedging the End of Fiat

Hedging the End of Fiat It is slowly coming clear that the fiat dollar’s hegemony is drawing to a close. That’s what the BRICS summit in Johannesburg is all about — rats, if you like, deserting the dollar’s ship. With the dollar’s backing being no more than a precarious faith in it, it is bound […]

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The global bank credit crisis

The global bank credit crisis Globally, further falls in consumer price inflation are now unlikely and there are yet further interest rate increases to come. Bond yields are already on the rise, and a new phase of a banking crisis will be triggered. This article looks at the factors that have come together to drive […]

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Why the dollar is finished

Why the dollar is finished Last week in my Goldmoney Insight, I analysed the rationale for a new gold backed trade settlement currency on the agenda of the BRICS summit in Johannesburg on 22—24 August. This article is about the consequences for the dollar-based fiat currency regime. There is strong evidence that planning for this […]

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The bell tolls for fiat

The bell tolls for fiat The importance of Russia’s announcement that a new gold-backed trade currency is on the BRICS meeting agenda for August 22—24 in Johannesburg seems to have gone completely over everyone’s heads, with mainstream media not even reporting it.  This is a mistake. China and Russia know that if they are to […]

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Time to trash Triffin

Time to trash Triffin The dollar-based credit bubble is imploding, and emerging economies are seeking protection by accepting trade settlement in other currencies. The US policy of threatening regime change, currency destabilisation, or other means of ensuring nations remain in its sphere of influence are now failing. Mainstream economists in the West insist the dollar […]

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Gold’s return as money

Gold’s return as money The consequences of Russia and her Asian allies embracing gold backing for their currencies are poorly understood in western capital markets. This move could lead to the destruction of the global fiat currency system. According to evidence which is widely ignored in western capital markets, a move by Russia to put […]

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A tale of two worlds

A tale of two worlds In the war between the western alliance and the Asian axis, the media focus is on the Ukrainian battlefield. The real war is in currencies, with Russia capable of destroying the dollar. So far, Putin’s actions have been relatively passive. But already, both Russia and China have accumulated enough gold […]

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The evolution of credit and debt in 2023

The evolution of credit and debt in 2023 The evidence strongly suggests that a combined interest rate, economic and currency crisis for the US and its western alliance will continue in 2023. This article focuses on credit, its constraints, and why quantitative easing has already crowded out private sector activity. Adjusting M2 money supply for […]

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Inflation, recession, and declining US hegemony

Inflation, recession, and declining US hegemony In the distant future, we might look back on 2022 and 2023 as pivotal years. So far, we have seen the conflict between America and the two Asian hegemons emerge into the open, leading to a self-inflicted energy crisis on the western alliance. The forty-year trend of declining interest […]

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Geopolitics: the world is splitting into two

Geopolitics: the world is splitting into two While we are being distracted by Ukraine, President Putin has advanced his geopolitical goals materially. Aided and abetted by President Xi, Putin is taking the Asian continent into his control. That mission is well on its way to being achieved. He now awaits the winter months to finally […]

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The evolution of credit

The evolution of credit After fifty-one years from the end of the Bretton Woods Agreement, the system of fiat currencies appears to be moving towards a crisis point for the US dollar as the international currency. The battle over global energy, commodity, and grain supplies is the continuation of an intensifying financial war between the […]

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When normality is exposed as a Ponzi

When normality is exposed as a Ponzi Putin’s hubris, yes-men for generals, lack of fighting conviction among the men, poor logistics and strong Ukrainian leadership and determination have combined to turn the Russian invasion of Ukraine into a military quagmire. Meanwhile, the West has upped the stakes in a financial war. The underlying assumption is […]

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Money supply and rising interest rates

Money supply and rising interest rates The establishment, including the state, central banks and most investors are thoroughly Keynesian, the latter category having profited greatly in recent decades from their slavish following of the common meme. That is about to change. The world of continual Keynesian stimulus is coming to its inevitable end with prices […]

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Gold and silver prospects for 2022

Gold and silver prospects for 2022 It has been a disappointing year for profit-seeking precious metal investors, but for those few of us looking to accumulate gold and silver as the ultimate insurance against runaway inflation it has been an unexpected bonus. After reviewing the current year to gain a perspective for 2022, this article […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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