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As Short-Term Rates Hit Levels Not Seen Since 2008 – Trillions Are At Risk
As Short-Term Rates Hit Levels Not Seen Since 2008 – Trillions Are At Risk Readers know that I haven’t shied away from stressing over the Federal Reserve’s tightening. As a firm believer in the Austrian Business Cycle Theory – first drafted by Ludwig Von Mises in early 1900’s – I believe that artificially moving interest […]
Emerging Markets Face a New Problem as Trillions in Bonds Mature – and Soon
Emerging Markets Face a New Problem as Trillions in Bonds Mature – and Soon The U.S. dollar continues being the single most important factor for the Emerging Markets. And as the dollar keeps getting stronger – it will continue crippling them. “But isn’t a strong dollar supposed to be better for Emerging Markets by making […]
The Global Dollar Shortage is Here – And It’s Becoming A Big Problem
The Global Dollar Shortage is Here – And It’s Becoming A Big Problem Another week and another signal flashing red to deal with. . . The credit market – in my opinion – is indicating an inevitable ‘crunch’ coming up. And even worse – we’re seeing the global dollar shortage deepening. Many readers know I […]
Soaring Deficits and Interest Costs Leave the U.S. Looking Very Fragile
Soaring Deficits and Interest Costs Leave the U.S. Looking Very Fragile If you take a step back and look at the macro picture of the U.S. economy – it resembles a huge, upside-down, glass pyramid. Constantly teetering back and forth – struggling with everything it has to keep from collapsing. And so far – it’s […]
‘Ground Zero’ – Will The Dollar Shortage Kick Off The Next Financial Crisis?
‘Ground Zero’ – Will The Dollar Shortage Kick Off The Next Financial Crisis? There’s an old saying. “You can’t fight the dollar.” And what this means is: because the world’s chained to the U.S. dollar (thanks to its reserve status) – everyone’s constantly affected by whichever way the dollar’s value goes. If the dollar declines – […]
“Something Has to Break” as China’s Onshore Defaults Hit a New Record
“Something Has to Break” as China’s Onshore Defaults Hit a New Record Recent news from China has been really ugly. But what can you expect? They’re trying to fight a trade war against the U.S. – deal with slowing growth – and survive against a stronger U.S. dollar. And because of these problems – China’s major […]
As The Trade War Rages – China Won’t Be Held Hostage By The U.S. Dollar
As The Trade War Rages – China Won’t Be Held Hostage By The U.S. Dollar In last week’s Palisade Weekly Letter, I wrote about how the Chinese are now selling their U.S. debt. And since this was an important write-up, I also published it as an article – so if you missed it, click here. […]
Global Central Bank Buying Puts A Floor Under The Price of Gold
Global Central Bank Buying Puts A Floor Under The Price of Gold The only reason the price of gold’s down on the year is because of a strong dollar. Actually – for how much the dollar’s rallied this year, gold holding around the $1,200 range is very bullish. And if gold’s been able to hold […]
The Dollar Shortage & China’s Bond Selling Are About To Corner the Fed
The Dollar Shortage & China’s Bond Selling Are About To Corner the Fed Earlier this week – news went by relatively unnoticed by the ‘mainstream’ financial media (CNCB and such) that Beijing’s started selling their U.S. debt holdings. Putting it another way – they’re dumping U.S. bonds. . . “China’s ownership of U.S. bonds, bills and notes slipped to […]
This ‘Deflationary’ Bull Markets Ending – And Here’s What’s Coming Next For Investors
This ‘Deflationary’ Bull Markets Ending – And Here’s What’s Coming Next For Investors After many years of cheap money and asset bubbles – it looks like the upside is finally over. That is – the potential upside against the amount of risk taken on – is over. I often write about investors needing to find […]
As The Fed Raises Rates, The Ghost of Lehman Bros Lingers
As The Fed Raises Rates, The Ghost of Lehman Bros Lingers In just two days – September 15 – it will be the 10-year anniversary of Lehman Brothers collapse. The date they filed bankruptcy. With nearly $620 billion in debts, it was the largest bankruptcy in history. Now, a decade late – it appears the […]
Think That Governments Won’t Default? Think Again
Think That Governments Won’t Default? Think Again The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) just reported that the U.S. budget deficit is widening in a ‘big way’. And what’s even worse – last month the net interest on public debt jumped 25% compared to last August. . . I wrote last January about the soaring cost of interest […]
Beware Buffet’s Words: These 3 Critical Stock Market Indicators Signal Huge Losses Ahead
Beware Buffet’s Words: These 3 Critical Stock Market Indicators Signal Huge Losses Ahead Last month, I wrote a piece about Warren Buffet’s favorite stock market metric and how it was signaling huge losses ahead. If you haven’t read it yet – you can here. It’s even more relevant today. And though Buffet’s favorite market indicator’s […]
‘Tipping Point’: These Charts Show Some of The Worst Currencies Of 2018
‘Tipping Point’: These Charts Show Some of The Worst Currencies Of 2018 Foreign currencies – especially the Emerging Markets – are having one of their worst years on record. And investor anxieties aren’t easing up. . . I wrote two weeks ago about the strong dollar and the chaos it’s creating for the Emerging Markets. […]
The Anatomy of a Crisis: A Strong Dollar and Disappearing Liquidity
The Anatomy of a Crisis: A Strong Dollar and Disappearing Liquidity Since March – the dollar’s rallied over 7%. And it’s caused the Emerging Markets to implode. But the bigger problem is what lies ahead. And that’s a global dollar shortage – which the mainstream continues to ignore. . . I’ve touched on this a […]
