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Rising Fundamentals for Gold and Silver

Rising Fundamentals for Gold and Silver The Different Theories on What Moves Gold and Silver Prices For example, the Quantity Theory school attempts to relate the quantity (or change in quantity) of dollars, to each commodity. Generally, this theory predicts rising prices based on the reasoning of “more dollars chasing the same or fewer ounces […]

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A Look Back at Nixon’s Infamous Monetary Policy Decision

A Look Back at Nixon’s Infamous Monetary Policy Decision Putting the World on a Paper Standard Half a century ago one of the most disastrous monetary policy decisions in US history was committed by Richard Nixon.  In a television address, the president declared that the nation would no longer redeem internationally dollars for gold.  Since the […]

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An Excellent Seasonal Buying Opportunity in Silver Lies Directly Ahead

An Excellent Seasonal Buying Opportunity in Silver Lies Directly Ahead Gold’s Little Brother Today I want to put a popular precious metal under the magnifying glass for you: silver. Silver, often referred to as the “little brother” of gold, has a particularly interesting seasonal pattern I would like to share with you. Shiny large good delivery […]

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The Federal Reserve is a Barbarous Relic

The Federal Reserve is a Barbarous Relic The Sky is Falling The man from the good place. “As I was going up the stair, I met a man who wasn’t there. He wasn’t there again today, Oh how I wish he’d go away!” [PT] Ptolemy I Soter, in his history of the wars of Alexander the Great, […]

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How to Prepare as the Fed Scorches the Earth

How to Prepare as the Fed Scorches the Earth Wildfire Surge The hillsides are always brown in the land of fruits and nuts come autumn.  After baking away all summer long in the hot sun, the dense sage and chaparral covering the coastal hillsides and canyons are dry and toasty. Though, before conditions get better, they […]

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Curious Events in Risk-Free Collateral-Land – Precious Metals Supply and Demand

Curious Events in Risk-Free Collateral-Land – Precious Metals Supply and Demand Liquidity Shortage  Last week the price of gold rose $28, and silver $0.53. But the prices of the metals was not the big news last week. The price of repo — a repurchase agreement, to sell and repurchase a treasuries — skyrocketed. Banks were […]

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Fiat Money Cannibalization in America

Fiat Money Cannibalization in America An Odd Combination of Serenity and Panic The United States, with untroubled ease, continued its approach toward catastrophe this week.  The Federal Reserve cut the federal funds rate 25 basis points, thus furthering its program of mass money debasement.  Yet, on the surface, all still remained in the superlative. S&P […]

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The Weird Obsessions of Central Bankers, Part 1

The Weird Obsessions of Central Bankers, Part 1 How to Hang on to Greenland Jim Bianco, head of the eponymous research firm, handily won the internet last Thursday with the following tweet: Jim Bianco has an excellent idea as to how Denmark might after all be able to hang on to Greenland, a territory coveted […]

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Dead Meat in Jackson Hole

Dead Meat in Jackson Hole The Pointlessness of Negative Yields If there are any virtues of debt instruments with negative yields we have yet to realize them. Certainly, we understand that as bond yields fall, bond prices rise, and bond investors are rewarded with capital appreciation. But when capital is appreciating as a consequence of negative yields, […]

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Writing on the Wall

Writing on the Wall Not Adding Up One of the more disagreeable discrepancies of American life in the 21st century is the world according to Washington’s economic bureaus and the world as it actually is.  In short, things don’t add up.  What’s more, the propaganda is so far off the mark, it is downright insulting. Coming […]

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Realizing the Full Implications of the Forthcoming Catastrophe

Realizing the Full Implications of the Forthcoming Catastrophe Delivering Tomorrow’s Curses Roman poet Virgil penned these words in his epic, The Aeneid, roughly a generation before the birth of Jesus of Nazareth.  They can be loosely translated to, “the descent to hell is easy.”  Those who’ve traversed this passage can attest to the veracity of this […]

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The Four Dimensions of the Fake Money Order

The Four Dimensions of the Fake Money Order A Good Story with Minor Imperfections “If you don’t know where you are going, any road will get you there,” is a quote that’s oft misattributed to Lewis Carrol. The fact that there is ambiguity about who is behind this quote on ambiguity seems fitting. For our purposes […]

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Feeling the Heat of a Civilization on the Downside

Feeling the Heat of a Civilization on the Downside An Epic Folly for the Ages Today we begin with a list.  A partial list.  And in no particular order… Angela Merkel. Donald Tusk. Mario Draghi. Donald Trump. Jerome Powell.  Shinzo Abe.  Haruhiko Kuroda.  Theresa May. Boris Johnson. Mark Carney. Xi Jinping.  Emmanuel Macron.  Vladimir Putin. Justin Trudeau. Juan Trump.  And many, many more… […]

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Why Fed Chair Powell is a Laughingstock

Why Fed Chair Powell is a Laughingstock Fake Work Clarity.  Simplicity.  Elegance.  These fundamentals are all in short supply.  But are they in high demand? As far as we can tell, hardly a soul among us gives much of a rip about any of them.  Instead, nearly everyone wants things to be more muddled, more […]

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Unsolicited Advice to Fed Chair Powell

Unsolicited Advice to Fed Chair Powell American businesses over the past decade have taken a most unsettling turn.  According to research from the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association, as of November 2018, non-financial corporate debt has grown to more than $9.1 trillion [ed note: this number refers to securitized debt and business loans, other corporate liabilities […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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