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Is the U.S. Banking System Safe?–15 Years Later

March 16, 2023

IS THE U.S. BANKING SYSTEM SAFE? – 15 YEARS LATER “We’ve got strong financial institutions…Our markets are the envy of the world. They’re resilient, they’re…innovative, they’re flexible. I think we move very quickly to address situations in this country, and, as I said, our financial institutions are strong.” – Henry Paulson – 3/16/08   “I have full confidence […]

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It’s a Fourth Turning: What Did You Expect?

September 20, 2021

IT’S A FOURTH TURNING: WHAT DID YOU EXPECT? “Reflect on what happens when a terrible winter blizzard strikes. You hear the weather warning but probably fail to act on it. The sky darkens. Then the storm hits with full fury, and the air is a howling whiteness. One by one, your links to the machine […]

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Spirits in the Material World

February 27, 2020

SPIRITS IN THE MATERIAL WORLD There is no political solutionTo our troubled evolutionHave no faith in constitutionThere is no bloody revolution  The Police – Spirits in the Material World As I was driving home from work last week, an almost forty-year-old song began emanating from my radio. I’ve always appreciated the music of The Police, […]

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No One Gets Out Of Here Alive

February 17, 2020

NO ONE GETS OUT OF HERE ALIVE “The seasons of time offer no guarantees. For modern societies, no less than for all forms of life, transformative change is discontinuous. For what seems an eternity, history goes nowhere – and then it suddenly flings us forward across some vast chaos that defies any mortal effort to […]

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See You on the Dark Side of the Moon

December 2, 2019

SEE YOU ON THE DARK SIDE OF THE MOON And if the cloud bursts thunder in your earYou shout and no one seems to hearAnd if the band you’re in starts playing different tunesI’ll see you on the dark side of the moon Brain Damage, Pink Floyd And if the dam breaks open many years […]

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Fourth Turning Economics

August 5, 2019

Fourth Turning Economics “In retrospect, the spark might seem as ominous as a financial crash, as ordinary as a national election, or as trivial as a Tea Party. The catalyst will unfold according to a basic Crisis dynamic that underlies all of these scenarios: An initial spark will trigger a chain reaction of unyielding responses […]

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The Fourth Turning & War of the Worlds

November 5, 2018

THE FOURTH TURNING & WAR OF THE WORLDS “In retrospect, the spark might seem as ominous as a financial crash, as ordinary as a national election, or as trivial as a Tea Party. The catalyst will unfold according to a basic Crisis dynamic that underlies all of these scenarios: An initial spark will trigger a […]

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Winter is Coming

April 16, 2018

WINTER IS COMING “Summer will end soon enough, and childhood as well.” – George R.R. Martin, Game of Thrones “Reflect on what happens when a terrible winter blizzard strikes. You hear the weather warning but probably fail to act on it. The sky darkens. Then the storm hits with full fury, and the air is […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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