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It’s Raining Money

February 26, 2018

It’s Raining Money With apologies to the Dire Straights: Now look at them yo-yo’s that’s the way you do it You play the bull on the fin TV That ain’t workin’ that’s the way you do it Money for nothin’ and stocks for free After 9 years of artificial liquidity drenching markets the same game […]

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The Writing on the Wall

February 19, 2018

The Writing on the Wall Many times people’s eyes glaze over when it comes to macro analysis and I get it. Macro analysis is by definition: Macro. It’s like watching a glacier melt and it only becomes of concern when the glacier structure collapses and you just happen to be in front of it. And […]

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Rising Debt + Rising Rates

February 12, 2018

Rising Debt + Rising Rates Have they all lost their collective minds? Look I get that some people are leaning Democrat versus Republican and vice versa and that’s fine, but what exactly are voters getting? If, on the one hand, you think Democrats tax and spend too much you get Republicans on the other hand […]

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The Debt Beneath

January 4, 2018

The Debt Beneath Debt is irrelevant and matters not. It’s different this time. That’s the message from politicians, markets and participants. Tax cuts pay for themselves (they do not), leverage doesn’t matter (it does) and the increased costs of servicing the debt as a result of rising rates will be offset by imaginary real wage […]

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Caution: Slowdown

November 11, 2017

Caution: Slowdown Many of you know I keep posting charts keeping taps on the macro picture in the Macro Corner. It’s actually an interesting exercise watching what they do versus what they say. Public narratives versus reality on the ground. I know there’s a lot of talk of global synchronized expansion. I call synchronized bullshit. […]

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The Big Bad Bear Case

July 26, 2015

The Big Bad Bear Case My aim with this article is to outline, with facts, large global structural issues that I believe everyone, bulls and bears alike, should be fully aware of. While some of this discussion may rattle the cage a bit you will hopefully find this article well researched and informative. Recently I’ve outlined […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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