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Speculative Blow-Offs in Stock Markets – Part 2
Speculative Blow-Offs in Stock Markets – Part 2 Blow-Off Pattern Recognition As noted in Part 1, historically, blow-patterns in stock markets share many characteristics. One of them is a shifting monetary backdrop, which becomes more hostile just as prices begin to rise at an accelerated pace, the other is the psychological backdrop to the move, which […]
US True Money Supply Growth Jumps, Part 1: A Shift in Liabilities
US True Money Supply Growth Jumps, Part 1: A Shift in Liabilities A Very Odd Growth Spurt in the True Money Supply The growth rates of various “Austrian” measures of the US money supply (such as TMS-2 and money AMS) have accelerated significantly in recent months. That is quite surprising, as the Fed hasn’t been […]
Doomed to Failure
Doomed to Failure Larded Up and Larded Over We’ve been waiting for the U.S. economy to reach escape velocity for the last six years. What we mean is we’ve been waiting for the economy to finally become self-stimulating and no longer require monetary or fiscal stimulus to keep it from stalling out. Unfortunately, this may […]
A Convocation of Interventionists – Part 1
A Convocation of Interventionists – Part 1 Modern Economics – It’s All About Central Planning We are hereby delivering a somewhat belated comment on the meeting of monetary central planners and their courtier economists at Jackson Hole. Luckily timing is not really an issue in this context. Central bank headquarters: the Fed’s Eccles building, the […]
Gold Sector Correction – What Happens Next?
Gold Sector Correction – What Happens Next? The Long Awaited Correction is Underway The gathering of central planners at Jackson Hole was widely expected to bring some clarity regarding the Fed’s policy intentions. This is of course a ridiculous assumption, since these people have not the foggiest idea what they are doing or what they […]
Going… Going… Gone! The EU Begins to Splinter
Going… Going… Gone! The EU Begins to Splinter Dark Social Mood Tsunami Washes Ashore Early this morning one might have been forgiven for thinking that Japan had probably just been hit by another tsunami. The Nikkei was down 1,300 points, the yen briefly soared above par. Gold had intermittently gained 100 smackers – if memory […]
Turning Stones Into Bread – The Japanese Miracle
Turning Stones Into Bread – The Japanese Miracle Stuffing the Futon Our friend Ramsey Su just asked what Haruhiko Kuroda and Shinzo Abe are going to do now in light of the strong yen (aside from perhaps doing the honorable thing). Isn’t it time to just “wipe out some debt with the stroke of a pen”? The […]
China’s Rolling Boom-Bust Cycle
China’s Rolling Boom-Bust Cycle Sweet Authoritative Nothings There is a mysterious figure making regular appearances in China’s government mouthpiece “People’s Daily”, which simply goes by the name “authoritative person” (AP). This unnamed entity always tends to show up with bad news for assorted speculators, by suggesting that various scenarios associated with monetary and/ or fiscal […]
Kuroda-San in the Mouth of Madness
Kuroda-San in the Mouth of Madness Deluded Central Planners Zerohedge recently reported on an interview given by Lithuanian ECB council member Vitas Vasiliauskas, which demonstrates how utterly deluded the central planners in the so-called “capitalist” economies of the West have become. His statements are nothing short of bizarre (“we are magic guys!”) – although he is […]
May Day Mayhem – Discontent on the Continent
May Day Mayhem – Discontent on the Continent Europe’s Political Class Under Fire All over Europe not only religious and national holidays are observed, but also a socialist holiday, which we always thought was a bit strange – and in a way quite telling (as far as we know, there is no holiday celebrating the free market). […]
Bank of Japan: The Limits of Monetary Tinkering
Bank of Japan: The Limits of Monetary Tinkering Damned If You Do… After waking up on Thursday, we quickly glanced at the overnight market action in Asia and noticed that the Nikkei had tanked rather noticeably. Our first thought upon seeing this was “must be the yen” – and so it was: June yen futures, […]
Affairs of State
Affairs of State Insulting Mr. Erdoğan Can Be Dangerous Most of our readers are probably aware by now that the German government finds itself in a rather awkward situation over its relations with Turkey’s government again – with which the EU has just struck a widely criticized and very expensive deal to help it stem the flood […]
Russian Aggression Unmasked (Sort Of)
Russian Aggression Unmasked (Sort Of) Provocative Fighter Jocks Back in 2014, a Russian jet made headlines when it passed several times close to the USS Donald Cook in the Black Sea. As CBS reported at the time: “A Pentagon spokesperson told CBS Radio that a Russian SU-24 fighter jet made several low altitude, close passes in […]
State of Fear – Corruption in High Places
State of Fear – Corruption in High Places Mr. X and his Mysterious Benefactors As the Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC) reports, a money-laundering alarm was triggered at AmBank in Malaysia, a bank part-owned by one of Australia’s “big four” banks, ANZ. What had triggered the alarm? Money had poured into the personal account of one of […]
