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Peak Debt, Peak Doubt, & Peak Double-Down
Peak Debt, Peak Doubt, & Peak Double-Down Time to Hike Rates It makes little sense to me why the market is only pricing a 6% probability of a rate hike at the October meeting, 30% for December, and only a near 50/50 probability all the way out to March 2016. The statutory mandates of the […]
Game-changing 19-minute video: Fed transcript proves open criminal admission of fraud worth trillions
Game-changing 19-minute video: Fed transcript proves open criminal admission of fraud worth trillions John Titus, engineer and lawyer, writer and producer of Bailout, with YouTube channel of BestEvidence,read the latest Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meeting transcript (always delayed for five years), and discovered full admittance of financial fraud by the Fed in trillions of dollars. John explains: BestEvidence’s newest […]
Why NIRP may trump QE4
Why NIRP may trump QE4 The Fed unsurprisingly chickened out from the much touted September hike. International conditions and a disapproval from Mr. Market was enough to unnerve an increasingly bewildered FOMC board. Less well known is the fact that the FOMC gave a strong, and unexpected, signal to the Pavlovian world of central bank […]
From ZIRP to NIRP
From ZIRP to NIRP The sudden end of the Fed’s ambition to raise interest rates above the zero bound, coupled with the FOMC’s minutes, which expressed concerns about emerging market economies, has got financial scribblers writing about negative interest rate policies (NIRP). Coincidentally, Andrew Haldane, the chief economist at the Bank of England, published a […]
“Everyone’s Praying But No One’s Believing” – The ‘Fed Put’ Is Dead
“Everyone’s Praying But No One’s Believing” – The ‘Fed Put’ Is Dead Chalk Outline Yellen’s detailed speech initially triggered an out-sized market reaction. Unfortunately, it was mainly due to shallow market depth and weak-hand positions. The ‘risk-on’ trades that ensued seem driven by positional unwinds from short-term traders. These markets will likely reverse back to lower prices […]
From ZIRP to NIRP
From ZIRP to NIRP The sudden end of the Fed’s ambition to raise interest rates above the zero bound, coupled with the FOMC’s minutes, which expressed concerns about emerging market economies, has got financial scribblers writing about negative interest rate policies (NIRP). Coincidentally, Andrew Haldane, the chief economist at the Bank of England, published a […]
Confusion in Fantasy Land
Confusion in Fantasy Land Triangle Breakout Failure? The stock market’s initial reaction to the FOMC announcement was interesting, to say the least. After receiving the umpteenth excuse as to why rates can still not be raised, coupled with a promise that they eventually will be, the market initially rallied on Thursday. And why wouldn’t it? […]
After The Great Deformation——The Next Challenge
After The Great Deformation——The Next Challenge David Stockman has written the finest piece of financial journalism of our generation: The Great Deformation: The Corruption of American Capitalism. It shows how we got into the mess we are in. Blame the government. Then blame us. It is our government. We must not parrot Flip Wilson’s Geraldine: “The […]
The Endless Emergency—–Why It’s Always ZIRP Time In The Casino
The Endless Emergency—–Why It’s Always ZIRP Time In The Casino Based on the headline from the latest Jobs Friday report you wouldn’t know that we are still mired in an economic emergency—–one apparently so extreme that it might entail moving to the 81st straight month of zero interest rates at next week’s FOMC meeting. After all, the unemployment rate came in smack-dab on the Fed’s […]
Institutional Aggression, Superfluous Planners and Predictions
Institutional Aggression, Superfluous Planners and Predictions Pretense of Knowledge Wall Street breathlessly awaits the newest payrolls report, which is widely held to contain the information needed for the FOMC to decide whether or not it should raise the overnight interbank lending rate from zilch to zilch plus a few basis points later this month. photo […]
The Federal Reserve is Not Your Friend
The Federal Reserve is Not Your Friend Fed policies disproportionately favor wealth. Imagine that the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) was a corporation, with its shares owned by the nation’s major pharmaceutical companies. How would you feel about the regulation of medications? Whose interests would this corporation be serving? Or suppose that major oil companies […]
The Global Credit Market Is Now A Lit Powderkeg
The Global Credit Market Is Now A Lit Powderkeg And markets are totally unprepared The financial markets have had a bit of a tough time going anywhere this year. The S&P 500 has been caught in a 6% trading band all year, capped on the upside by a 3% gain and on the downside by […]
The FOMC Decision – Studying the Flight of Birds and Gold
The FOMC Decision – Studying the Flight of Birds and Gold Federal Open Yawn Committee puts Kremlinologists all over the World to Sleep … The Fed’s monetary policy statement delivered on Wednesday was the non-surprise/yawn-inducer of the year. Readers can take a look at the trusty WSJ statement tracker, which reveals that apart from a few […]