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What Does the QE Experience Say About Rates in a Shrinking Fed Balance Sheet World?

What Does the QE Experience Say About Rates in a Shrinking Fed Balance Sheet World? The Federal Reserve is likely to decide next week to begin letting assets roll of its balance sheet as bonds mature, instead of reinvesting the proceeds. This means that the balance sheet will begin to shrink in size and other […]

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The Monetary Base, Buybacks and the Stock Market

The Monetary Base, Buybacks and the Stock Market  A Useful Leading Indicator? We often see charts comparing the S&P 500 to the growth in the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet, or more specifically, to assets held by the Fed. There is undeniably a close correlation between the two, but it has struck us as not very […]

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Is This How the Next Global Financial Meltdown Will Unfold?

Is This How the Next Global Financial Meltdown Will Unfold? In effect, a currency crisis is simply the abrupt revaluation of the currency to reflect new realities. I have long maintained that the structural imbalances of debt and risk that triggered the Global Financial Meltdown of 2008-2009 have effectively been transferred to the foreign exchange […]

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Gold Prices Disprove Krugman

Gold Prices Disprove Krugman Recently Krugman wrote an op ed ridiculing Ron Paul titled, “The Old Man and the CPI.”(In case you don’t get the reference, he’s alluding to Hemingway.) Ron Paul has responded in this video, but I want to focus on Krugman’s complains about gold bugs: Ron Paul has been making the same prediction year after year — […]

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Fed Admits Economy Can’t Function Without Bubbles

Fed Admits Economy Can’t Function Without Bubbles In short, the dot-com bust was the last chance for the Fed to pivot and liberate the American economy from the corrosive financialization it had fostered. A determined policy of higher interest rates and renunciation of the Greenspan Put would have paved the way for a return to current […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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