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Why Helicopter Money Can’t Save Us: We’ve Already Been Doing It For 8 Years

Why Helicopter Money Can’t Save Us: We’ve Already Been Doing It For 8 Years There’s a lot of talk going around these days about “helicopter money.” For those unfamiliar, it’s billed as a kind of last Keynesian resort when ZIRP, NIRP, and QE have all failed to boost aggregate demand and juice inflation. For instance, HSBC […]

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Deutsche Bank Discovers Kuroda’s NIRP Paradox

Deutsche Bank Discovers Kuroda’s NIRP Paradox Last October, BofA looked at Europe’s €2.6 trillion in negative-yielding debt and discovered something “stunning”: Savings rates were going up not down. Don’t believe us, just have a look at these three charts: But how could that be? By all accounts – or, should we say, by all conventional Keynesian/ textbook accounts – […]

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The Market Has Lost Faith In Our Board, Bank Of International Settlements Laments

The Market Has Lost Faith In Our Board, Bank Of International Settlements Laments The BIS’ Claudio Borio was vindicated in January – and it was a long time coming. When last we checked in with Claudio, it was December and the bank’s Head of the Monetary and Economic Department was busy explaining what may befall […]

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Kuroda’s NIRP Backlash – Japanese Interbank Lending Crashes

Kuroda’s NIRP Backlash – Japanese Interbank Lending Crashes Not only has the Yen strengthened and stocks collapsed since BoJ’s Kuroda descended into NIRP lunacy but, in a dramatic shift that threatens the entire transmission mechanism of negative-rate stimulus, Japanese banks (whether fearing counterparty risk or already over-burdened) have almost entirely stopped lending to one another. Confusion reigns everywhere […]

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Ukraine Collapse Is Now Imminent

Ukraine Collapse Is Now Imminent Via GEFIRA, Two years have passed since Yanukovich was deposed and, as it turns out, another ruthless clan of oligarchs has taken power. No wonder then that Ukraine is heading for a new wave of violence and chaos. Oligarchs are fighting each other, the IMF is pulling out of the country, […]

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Chesapeake’s AIG Moment: Energy Giant Faces $1 Billion In Collateral Calls

Chesapeake’s AIG Moment: Energy Giant Faces $1 Billion In Collateral Calls Back on February 10, when looking at Carl Icahn’s darling Chesapeake, whose stock had plunged to effectively record lows on imminent bankruptcy concerns, we said that for anyone brave enough to take the plunge, the “Trade of the Year” would be to go long a specific bond, […]

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According To Morgan Stanley This Is The Biggest Threat To Deutsche Bank’s Survival

According To Morgan Stanley This Is The Biggest Threat To Deutsche Bank’s Survival Two weeks ago, on one of the slides in a Morgan Stanley presentation, we found something which we thought was quite disturbing. According to the bank’s head of EMEA research Huw van Steenis, while in Davos, he sat “next to someone in policy […]

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Brazil Cut To Junk By All Three Ratings Agencies After Moody’s Joins The Fray

Brazil Cut To Junk By All Three Ratings Agencies After Moody’s Joins The Fray Back in December we warned that Brazil faced a “disastrous downgrade debacle” that would eventually see the beleaguered South American nation cut to junk by all three major ratings agencies. S&P had already thrown the country into the junk bin and […]

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NIRP Won’t Work – What Ray Dalio Thinks Central Banks Will Do Next

NIRP Won’t Work – What Ray Dalio Thinks Central Banks Will Do Next Just as we first warned in September 2013, so it seems the view of “helicopter money” being imminent is now becoming more mainstream as the powers that be slowly propagandize the benefits. If dropping interest rates to zero was Unorthodox Policy #1 and […]

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A Contagious Crisis Of Confidence In Corporate Credit

A Contagious Crisis Of Confidence In Corporate Credit Credit is not innately good or bad. Simplistically, productive Credit is constructive, while non-productive Credit is inevitably problematic. This crucial distinction tends to be masked throughout the boom period. Worse yet, a prolonged boom in “productive” Credit – surely fueled by some type of underlying monetary disorder – can […]

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Peter Pan Is Dead – Japanese Economy Stalls For 6th Time In 6 Years

Peter Pan Is Dead – Japanese Economy Stalls For 6th Time In 6 Years  We just cannot wait for the next time either Abe or Kuroda utter the following string of words “[stimulus – insert any combination of equity buying, bond buying, money printing, and NIRP] is having the desired effect.” For the sixth time in the last […]

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Citi: “There Was Something About The Entire Recovery Narrative That Is Downright Wrong”

Citi: “There Was Something About The Entire Recovery Narrative That Is Downright Wrong” Yesterday, we laid out what according to Citi’s Matt King, one of the most insightful and respected credit analysts in the world, is most surprising about the ongoing market selloff: the odd interplay between some asset classes which are declining in an orderly, almost […]

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637 Rate Cuts And $12.3 Trillion In Global QE Later, World Shocked To Find “Quantitative Failure”

637 Rate Cuts And $12.3 Trillion In Global QE Later, World Shocked To Find “Quantitative Failure” 2016 is shaping up to be the year that everyone finally comes to terms with the fact that the monetary emperors truly have no clothes. To be sure, it’s been a long time coming. For nearly 8 years, market […]

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This Is The NIRP “Doom Loop” That Threatens To Wipeout Banks And The Global Economy

This Is The NIRP “Doom Loop” That Threatens To Wipeout Banks And The Global Economy Remember the vicious cycle that threatened the entire European banking sector in 2012? It went something like this: over indebted sovereigns depended on domestic banks to buy their debt, but when yields on that debt spiked, the banks took a […]

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Kuroda Suggests “No Limit” To More NIRP Measures To Stall Japanese Bond Yields, Stocks, USDJPY Plunge

Kuroda Suggests “No Limit” To More NIRP Measures To Stall Japanese Bond Yields, Stocks, USDJPY Plunge With Nikkei 225 down 800 points from post-NIRP highs and USDJPY having almost roundtripped, there is little wonder that Japanese government bond yields are collapsing to imply considerably deeper NIRP to come. With 10Y JGBs on the verge of a […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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