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Tag Archives: 2018
The world in 2018 – Part Two
The world in 2018 – Part Two ‘The World in 2018’ is a world full of concerns about the future, yet a world that seems to be getting slightly more optimistic about its economic prospects. Ten years after the onset of the financial crisis, there are hopes that the global economy may have turned the corner […]
Our Outlook For 2018 Interest Rates to Stay Low. The Consensus View is That Europe’s Banks Are Recovering But We Are Not So Sure.
OUR OUTLOOK FOR 2018 INTEREST RATES TO STAY LOW. THE CONSENSUS VIEW IS THAT EUROPE’S BANKS ARE RECOVERING BUT WE ARE NOT SO SURE. The Interest Rate Outlook Despite their shortcomings, European banks do not seem on the verge of collapse and few commentators, analysts or policymakers think that there will be any systemic wobbles […]
2018 – Panic Cycle Year
2018 – Panic Cycle Year QUESTION: Mr. Armsyrong; Thank you for an eye-opening conference. Can’t wait for this year. You said 2018 was a Panic Cycle Year and that it would be unlikely to create an outside reversal in the Dow, but we should expect wild times ahead. Is this panic cycle impacting many other […]
2018: The Year of Living Dangerously
2018: The Year of Living Dangerously I’m calling 2018 “The Year of Living Dangerously.” That description might seem odd to lot of observers. Major U.S. stock indexes keep hitting new all-time highs. 2017 went down as the first calendar year in which the Dow Jones industrial average was up for all 12 months. Even in […]
The 2018 Oil Production Forecast Explained
The 2018 Oil Production Forecast Explained In my recent post, Oil Price Scenario for 2018, my global supply forecast was seriously at odds with those presented by the International Energy Agency (IEA) and Rystad Energy, a respected Norwegian consulting firm. This post puts more flesh on my 2018 oil production view. The post could easily have […]
The world in 2018 – Part One
The world in 2018 – Part One New Year predictions are getting more and more popular. In a world that is growing ever more complex and confusing, we seem to be increasingly eager to get some hints about what lies in the fog just ahead of us. Yet what we need is probably less to get […]
Economists Think Inflation Will Rise Sharply in 2018: They’re Wrong
Economists Think Inflation Will Rise Sharply in 2018: They’re Wrong Let’s investigate six reasons economists think inflation is about to pick in 2018, and why I think they are dreaming. Reason Number One – Wage Hikes Minimum wages rise in 18 states starting in 2018. Former Fed Vice-Chairman Stanley Fischer told Bloomberg TV on October […]
A Dangerous Year
A Dangerous Year ‘Tis the season for making predictions about the events lurking in wait for us all in the upcoming year, and I see no reason to demur from that common if risky habit. Those of my readers who’ve been following my blog since the days of The Archdruid Report know that my method […]
Forecast 2018 — What Could Go Wrong?
Forecast 2018 — What Could Go Wrong? Markets If you take your cues from Consensus Trance Central — the cable news networks, The New York Times, WashPost, and HuffPo — Trump is all that ails this foundering empire. Well, Trump andRussia, since the Golden Golem of Greatness is in league with Vladimir Putin to loot […]
Several Simple Suppositions and Suspicions for 2018
Several Simple Suppositions and Suspicions for 2018 A New Year of Symbiotic Disharmony The New Year is nearly here. The slate’s been wiped clean. New hopes, new dreams, and new fantasies, are all within reach. Today is the day to make a double-fisted grab for them. Without question, 2018 will be the year in which […]
How Much Death and Destruction Awaits Us in 2018?
How Much Death and Destruction Awaits Us in 2018? The New Year is one full of economic, political, and war threats. Among the economic threats are stock, bond, and real estate markets artificially pumped up by years of central bank money creation and by false reports of full employment. It is an open question whether […]
Oil Price Scenario for 2018
Oil Price Scenario for 2018 It is that time of year again where we try to forecast what the oil price will do over the coming 12 months. Last year I forecast $60 / bbl for Brent year ending 2017 and with Brent trading on $66.50 as I write I can conclude that I got […]
