{"id":9488,"date":"2015-06-28T06:38:49","date_gmt":"2015-06-28T11:38:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=9488"},"modified":"2015-06-28T06:38:49","modified_gmt":"2015-06-28T11:38:49","slug":"its-1929-in-china-heres-the-chapter-and-verse","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=9488","title":{"rendered":"Its 1929 In China\u2014-Here\u2019s The Chapter And Verse"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3 class=\"entry-title\"><a href=\"http:\/\/davidstockmanscontracorner.com\/its-1929-in-china-heres-the-chapter-and-verse\/\" target=\"_blank\">Its 1929 In China\u2014-Here\u2019s The Chapter And Verse<\/a><\/h3>\n<p>I\u2019ve mentioned the Chinese stock market mania here briefly in recent weeks. I\u2019ve now compiled a fair amount of data along with some interesting anecdotes that show just how crazy it\u2019s gotten so I thought I\u2019d spend this week\u2019s market comment laying it all out for you.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<div class=\"Tweet-header u-cf\">\n<div class=\"Tweet-author u-textTruncate h-card p-author\" data-scribe=\"component:author\"><a class=\"Tweet-authorLink Identity u-linkBlend\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/jessefelder\" data-scribe=\"element:user_link\"><span class=\"Tweet-authorAvatar Identity-avatar\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"Avatar u-photo\" src=\"https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/profile_images\/597056418059919360\/D7TMNeF2_normal.jpg\" alt=\"\" data-scribe=\"element:avatar\" data-src-2x=\"https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/profile_images\/597056418059919360\/D7TMNeF2_bigger.jpg\" \/><\/span><span class=\"Tweet-authorName Identity-name p-name customisable-highlight\" data-scribe=\"element:name\">Jesse Felder<\/span>\u00a0<span class=\"Tweet-authorScreenName Identity-screenName p-nickname\" data-scribe=\"element:screen_name\">@jessefelder<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"Tweet-body e-entry-content\" data-scribe=\"component:tweet\">\n<p class=\"Tweet-text e-entry-title\" dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">U.S. Dot-Com Bubble Was Nothing Compared to Today\u2019s China Prices <a class=\"link customisable\" dir=\"ltr\" title=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2015-04-07\/u-s-dot-com-bubble-was-nothing-compared-to-today-s-china-prices\" href=\"http:\/\/t.co\/xrFztGjL6C\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" data-expanded-url=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2015-04-07\/u-s-dot-com-bubble-was-nothing-compared-to-today-s-china-prices\" data-scribe=\"element:url\"><span class=\"u-hiddenVisually\">http:\/\/www.<\/span>bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/<span class=\"u-hiddenVisually\">2015-04-07\/u-s-dot-com-bubble-was-nothing-compared-to-today-s-china-prices\u00a0<\/span>\u2026<\/a> <a class=\"PrettyLink hashtag customisable\" dir=\"ltr\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24FXI&amp;src=ctag\" rel=\"tag\" data-query-source=\"cashtag_click\" data-scribe=\"element:hashtag\"><span class=\"PrettyLink-prefix\">$<\/span><span class=\"PrettyLink-value\">FXI<\/span><\/a> <a class=\"PrettyLink hashtag customisable\" dir=\"ltr\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24PEK&amp;src=ctag\" rel=\"tag\" data-query-source=\"cashtag_click\" data-scribe=\"element:hashtag\"><span class=\"PrettyLink-prefix\">$<\/span><span class=\"PrettyLink-value\">PEK<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"Tweet-metadata dateline\"><a class=\"u-linkBlend u-url customisable-highlight long-permalink\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/jessefelder\/status\/585793108962516996\" data-datetime=\"2015-04-08T13:15:35+0000\" data-scribe=\"element:full_timestamp\"><time class=\"dt-updated\" title=\"Time posted: 08 Apr 2015, 13:15:35 (UTC)\" datetime=\"2015-04-08T13:15:35+0000\">9:15 AM &#8211; 8 Apr 2015<\/time><\/a><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<\/div>\n<p>The first thing I like to\u00a0focus\u00a0on is valuations. If the dot-com bubble is the gold standard, then China is a bona fide financial bubble. According to Bloomberg:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Valuations in China are now higher than those in the U.S. at the height of the dot-com bubble just about any way you slice them. The average Chinese technology stock has a price-to-earnings ratio 41 percent above that of U.S. peers in 2000, while the median valuation is twice as expensive and the market capitalization-weighted average is 12 percent higher, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Another way to look at it is to compare current valuations around the world:<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<article class=\"MediaCard\n           MediaCard--mediaForward\n\n           customisable-border\" dir=\"ltr\" data-scribe=\"component:card\"><\/p>\n<div class=\"MediaCard-media\"><a class=\"MediaCard-borderOverlay\" tabindex=\"-1\" title=\"View image on Twitter\" href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/TheStalwart\/status\/610743177704787968\/photo\/1\"><span class=\"u-hiddenVisually\">View image on Twitter<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"MediaCard-widthConstraint js-cspForcedStyle\" data-style=\"max-width: 600px\">\n<div class=\"MediaCard-mediaContainer js-cspForcedStyle\" data-style=\"padding-bottom: 71.6667%\"><a class=\"MediaCard-mediaAsset\n                    NaturalImage\n\" href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/TheStalwart\/status\/610743177704787968\/photo\/1\" data-scribe=\"element:photo\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"NaturalImage-image\" title=\"View image on Twitter\" src=\"https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/media\/CHnLjvGWcAAShS7.jpg\" alt=\"View image on Twitter\" width=\"600\" height=\"430\" data-srcset=\"https%3A%2F%2Fpbs.twimg.com%2Fmedia%2FCHnLjvGWcAAShS7.jpg%3Alarge 1024w,https%3A%2F%2Fpbs.twimg.com%2Fmedia%2FCHnLjvGWcAAShS7.jpg 600w,https%3A%2F%2Fpbs.twimg.com%2Fmedia%2FCHnLjvGWcAAShS7.jpg%3Asmall 340w\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<div class=\"EmbeddedTweet-tweet\">\n<blockquote class=\"Tweet h-entry tweet subject expanded \n<p>                    \" cite=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheStalwart\/status\/610743177704787968\" data-tweet-id=\"610743177704787968\" data-scribe=\"section:subject\"><\/p>\n<div class=\"Tweet-header u-cf\">\n<div class=\"Tweet-brand u-floatRight\">\n<div class=\"Icon Icon--twitter \" title=\"\"><a class=\"FollowButton follow-button profile\" title=\"Follow Joseph Weisenthal on Twitter\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheStalwart\" data-scribe=\"component:followbutton\">\u00a0Follow<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"Tweet-author u-textTruncate h-card p-author\" data-scribe=\"component:author\"><a class=\"Tweet-authorLink Identity u-linkBlend\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheStalwart\" data-scribe=\"element:user_link\"><span class=\"Tweet-authorAvatar Identity-avatar\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"Avatar u-photo\" src=\"https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/profile_images\/534451997311639552\/km5svvVa_normal.png\" alt=\"\" data-scribe=\"element:avatar\" data-src-2x=\"https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/profile_images\/534451997311639552\/km5svvVa_bigger.png\" \/><\/span><span class=\"Tweet-authorName Identity-name p-name customisable-highlight\" data-scribe=\"element:name\">Joseph Weisenthal<\/span>\u00a0<span class=\"Tweet-authorScreenName Identity-screenName p-nickname\" data-scribe=\"element:screen_name\">@TheStalwart<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"Tweet-body e-entry-content\" data-scribe=\"component:tweet\">\n<p class=\"Tweet-text e-entry-title\" dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">One of these bars doesn&#8217;t belong. <a class=\"link customisable\" dir=\"ltr\" title=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2015-06-16\/real-cost-of-china-stocks-dwarfs-2007-bubble-as-valuations-jump\" href=\"http:\/\/t.co\/f2WWgq2rW7\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" data-expanded-url=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2015-06-16\/real-cost-of-china-stocks-dwarfs-2007-bubble-as-valuations-jump\" data-scribe=\"element:url\"><span class=\"u-hiddenVisually\">http:\/\/www.<\/span>bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/<span class=\"u-hiddenVisually\">2015-06-16\/real-cost-of-china-stocks-dwarfs-2007-bubble-as-valuations-jump\u00a0<\/span>\u2026<\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"Tweet-metadata dateline\"><a class=\"u-linkBlend u-url customisable-highlight long-permalink\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheStalwart\/status\/610743177704787968\" data-datetime=\"2015-06-16T09:38:15+0000\" data-scribe=\"element:full_timestamp\"><time class=\"dt-updated\" title=\"Time posted: 16 Jun 2015, 09:38:15 (UTC)\" datetime=\"2015-06-16T09:38:15+0000\">5:38 AM &#8211; 16 Jun 2015<\/time><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<div class=\"Tweet-body e-entry-content\" data-scribe=\"component:tweet\">\n<div class=\"Tweet-metadata dateline\">\n<hr \/>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>I\u2019ve made the case that US stocks are more overvalued than they appear due to the fact that the median stock is now more highly valued than ever. There\u2019s now a very similar but far more dramatic situation going on in China. Again, from Bloomberg:<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;click on the above link to read the rest of the article&#8230;<\/p>\n<div>\n<blockquote><p>The problem with the Shanghai Composite is that 94 percent of Chinese stocks trade at higher valuations than the index, a consequence of its heavy weighting toward low-priced banks. Use average or median multiples instead and a different picture emerges: Chinese shares are almost twice as expensive as they were when the Shanghai Composite peaked in October 2007 and more than three times pricier than any of the world\u2019s top 10 markets.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>&#8230;click on the above link to read the rest of the article&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Its 1929 In China\u2014-Here\u2019s The Chapter And Verse I\u2019ve mentioned the Chinese stock market mania here briefly in recent weeks. I\u2019ve now compiled a fair amount of data along with some interesting anecdotes that show just how crazy it\u2019s gotten so I thought I\u2019d spend this week\u2019s market comment laying it all out for you. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[4419,1806,130,5979,2310,383,1264,6585,6783,5892],"class_list":["post-9488","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-4419","tag-bubble","tag-china","tag-contracorner","tag-depression","tag-great-depression","tag-recession","tag-stock-bubble","tag-stock-collapse","tag-valuation"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9488","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9488"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9488\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9489,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9488\/revisions\/9489"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9488"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9488"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9488"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}