{"id":8204,"date":"2015-05-17T07:51:16","date_gmt":"2015-05-17T12:51:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=8204"},"modified":"2015-05-17T07:51:16","modified_gmt":"2015-05-17T12:51:16","slug":"the-coming-crash-of-all-crashes-but-in-debt","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=8204","title":{"rendered":"The Coming Crash of All Crashes \u2013 but in Debt"},"content":{"rendered":"<header class=\"entry-header\">\n<h3 class=\"entry-title\"><a href=\"http:\/\/armstrongeconomics.com\/archives\/30480\" target=\"_blank\">The Coming Crash of All Crashes \u2013 but in Debt<\/a><\/h3>\n<\/header>\n<div class=\"entry-content\">\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/i1.wp.com\/armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/money-stock-1980-2011.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-29844\" src=\"http:\/\/i1.wp.com\/armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/money-stock-1980-2011.png?resize=584%2C350\" alt=\"money-stock-1980-2011\" width=\"569\" height=\"341\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Why are governments rushing to eliminate cash? During previous recoveries following the recessionary declines from the peaks in the<strong>\u00a0Economic Confidence Model<\/strong>, the central banks were able to build up their credibility and ammunition so to speak by raising interest rates during the recovery. This time, ever since we began moving toward Transactional Banking with the repeal of Glass Steagall in 1999, banks have looked at profits rather than their role within the economic landscape. They shifted to structuring products and no longer was there any relationship with the client. This reduced capital formation for it has been followed by rising unemployment among the youth and\/or their inability to find jobs within their fields of study. The<strong>\u00a0VELOCITY<\/strong>\u00a0of money peaked with our ECM 1998.55 turning point from which we warned of the pending crash in Russia.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/i0.wp.com\/armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/Long-Term-Capital-Managment.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-30383\" src=\"http:\/\/i0.wp.com\/armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/Long-Term-Capital-Managment.jpg?resize=520%2C400\" alt=\"Long-Term Capital Managment\" width=\"520\" height=\"400\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The damage inflicted with the collapse of Russia and the implosion of Long-Term Capital Management in the end of 1998, has demonstrated that the\u00a0<strong>VELOCITY<\/strong>\u00a0of money has continued to decline. There has been no long-term recovery. This current mild recovery in the USA has been shallow at best and as the rest of the world declines still from the 2007.15 high with a target low in 2020, the Federal Reserve has been unable to raise interest rates sufficiently to demonstrate any recovery for the spreads at the banks between bid and ask for money is also at historical highs. Banks will give secured car loans at around 4% while their cost of funds is really 0%. This is the widest spread between bid and ask\u00a0since the Panic of 1899.<\/p>\n<p>We face a frightening collapse in the\u00a0<strong>VELOCITY<\/strong>\u00a0of money and all this talk of eliminating cash is in part due to the rising hoarding of cash by households both in the USA and Europe. This is a major problem for the central banks have also lost control to be able to stimulate anything.The loss of traditional stimulus ability by the central banks is now\u00a0threatening the nationalization of banks be it directly, or indirectly. We face a cliff that government refuses to acknowledge and their solution will be to grab more power \u2013 never reform.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Coming Crash of All Crashes \u2013 but in Debt Why are governments rushing to eliminate cash? During previous recoveries following the recessionary declines from the peaks in the\u00a0Economic Confidence Model, the central banks were able to build up their credibility and ammunition so to speak by raising interest rates during the recovery. This time, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[195,200,236,237,238,3451,5479,2532],"class_list":["post-8204","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-debt","tag-default","tag-economic-collapse","tag-economic-confidence-model","tag-economic-crash","tag-glass-steagall","tag-martin-armstrong","tag-money-velocity"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8204","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8204"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8204\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8205,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8204\/revisions\/8205"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8204"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8204"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8204"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}