{"id":68147,"date":"2024-05-17T15:37:59","date_gmt":"2024-05-17T20:37:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=68147"},"modified":"2024-05-17T15:37:59","modified_gmt":"2024-05-17T20:37:59","slug":"brutal-heatwaves-and-submerged-cities-what-a-3c-world-would-look-like","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=68147","title":{"rendered":"Brutal heatwaves and submerged cities: what a 3C world would look like"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"dcr-1djovmt\" data-gu-name=\"headline\">\n<div class=\"dcr-14emo0l\">\n<div class=\"dcr-1msbrj1\">\n<h3 class=\"dcr-tjsa08\">Brutal heatwaves and submerged cities: what a 3C world would look like<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"dcr-1yi1cnj\" data-gu-name=\"standfirst\">\n<div class=\" dcr-10t1eww\">\n<p>Climate scientists have told the Guardian they expect catastrophic levels of global heating. Here\u2019s what that would mean for the planet<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/article\/2024\/may\/09\/world-is-on-verge-of-climate-abyss-un-warns\" data-link-name=\"in standfirst link\">World is on edge of climate abyss, UN warns<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/article\/2024\/may\/08\/world-scientists-climate-failure-survey-global-temperature\" data-link-name=\"in standfirst link\">Climate scientists expect global heating to blast past 1.5C target<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"dcr-kt8blz\" data-gu-name=\"lines\">\n<div class=\"dcr-14emo0l\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"dcr-1rbr3jc\" data-gu-name=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"dcr-14emo0l\">\n<div class=\" dcr-1v9sla6\">\n<div class=\"dcr-5oiine\">\n<div class=\"dcr-9dgpdq\" data-print-layout=\"hide\">\n<div class=\" dcr-1co5za7\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/aside>\n<div class=\"dcr-ch7w1w\" data-gu-name=\"body\">\n<div class=\"dcr-1uybvrg\">\n<div id=\"maincontent\" class=\"dcr-1qg0p6f\">\n<div class=\"article-body-commercial-selector article-body-viewer-selector  dcr-fp1ya\">\n<p class=\"dcr-iy9ec7\">Global heating is likely to\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/article\/2024\/may\/08\/world-scientists-climate-failure-survey-global-temperature\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">soar past internationally agreed limits<\/a>, according to a Guardian survey of hundreds of leading climate experts, bringing catastrophic heatwaves, floods and storms.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-iy9ec7\">Only 6% of the respondents\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/ng-interactive\/2024\/may\/08\/hopeless-and-broken-why-the-worlds-top-climate-scientists-are-in-despair\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">thought the 1.5C limit could be achieved<\/a>, and this would require extraordinarily fast, radical action to halt and reverse the world\u2019s rising emissions from fossil fuel burning.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-iy9ec7\">However, the experts were clear that giving up was not an option, and that 1.5C was not a cliff-edge leading to a significant change in climate damage. Instead, the climate crisis increases incrementally, meaning every tonne of CO<sub class=\"dcr-iy9ec7\">2<\/sub> avoided reduces people\u2019s suffering.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"1321932d-af60-483d-bdd5-7937ec6f028d\" class=\" dcr-imskkt\" data-spacefinder-role=\"immersive\" data-spacefinder-type=\"model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.InteractiveAtomBlockElement\">\n<div class=\"dcr-158tg6b\" data-atom-id=\"interactives\/2023\/09\/interactive-generic-ai2html-scrolly\/default\" data-atom-type=\"interactive\">\n<div id=\"scrolly-1\" class=\"gv-light transparent-until-active\">\n<div class=\"scroll-wrapper\">\n<div class=\"scroll-inner\">\n<div class=\"gv-scroll-graphic\">\n<div id=\"gu-ClimateTest1-box\" class=\"ai2html\">\n<div class=\"gv-step gv-step_3\">\n<div id=\"gu-ClimateTest1-Interactive_page_1260_3\" class=\"gu-artboard gu-artboard-v3 artboard-light-mode\" data-min-width=\"1260\">\n<div id=\"gu-ai13-6\" class=\"gu-Layer_6 gu-aiAbs\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"scroll-text\">\n<div class=\"scroll-text__inner\">\n<div class=\"scroll-text__div\">\n<p><strong>At 1.5C, the &#8216;climate benchmark&#8217;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Heatwaves and storms intensify, tropical corals die off and tipping points for ice sheet collapses and permafrost thawing may be triggered.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"scroll-text__inner\">\n<div class=\"scroll-text__div\">\n<p><strong>At 2C<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The brutal heatwave that struck the The Pacific north-west in 2021 would be 100-200 times more likely. The increases in direct flood damage around the world doubles at 2C.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"scroll-text__inner\">\n<div class=\"scroll-text__div\">\n<p><strong>At 2.7C<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Two billion people would be pushed outside humanity\u2019s \u201cclimate niche\u201d, ie the benign conditions in which the whole of civilisation arose over the past 10,000 years.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"scroll-text__inner\">\n<div class=\"scroll-text__div\">\n<p><strong>At 3C<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Cities including Shanghai, Rio de Janeiro, Miami and The Hague would end up below sea level.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"scroll-text__inner\">\n<div class=\"scroll-text__div\">\n<p><strong>At 3C and above<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The impact of climate shocks in one place will cascade around the world, through food price spikes, food and water shortages, broken supply chains, and refugees by the millions.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p class=\"dcr-iy9ec7\">&#8230;click on the link above to read the rest of the article&#8230;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Brutal heatwaves and submerged cities: what a 3C world would look like Climate scientists have told the Guardian they expect catastrophic levels of global heating. Here\u2019s what that would mean for the planet World is on edge of climate abyss, UN warns Climate scientists expect global heating to blast past 1.5C target Global heating is [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,7],"tags":[16591,6917],"class_list":["post-68147","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-environment","category-survival-2","tag-damian-carrington","tag-the-guardian"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68147","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=68147"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68147\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":68148,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68147\/revisions\/68148"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=68147"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=68147"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=68147"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}