{"id":67712,"date":"2024-04-28T15:15:24","date_gmt":"2024-04-28T20:15:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=67712"},"modified":"2024-04-28T15:15:24","modified_gmt":"2024-04-28T20:15:24","slug":"economy-plunges-into-stagflation-with-both-feet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=67712","title":{"rendered":"Economy Plunges into Stagflation with Both Feet"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"post-header\">\n<h3 class=\"post-title unpublished\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thedailydoom.com\/p\/economy-plunges-into-stagflation\">Economy Plunges into Stagflation with Both Feet<\/a><\/h3>\n<p class=\"subtitle\"><strong>Talk about a one-two-three punch to the ground!<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\n<div class=\"available-content\">\n<div class=\"body markup\" dir=\"auto\">\n<div class=\"captioned-image-container\">\n<figure>\n<div class=\"image2-inset\"><picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faba6dc93-708a-4ced-841a-d0fce256f4e8.heic 424w, https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faba6dc93-708a-4ced-841a-d0fce256f4e8.heic 848w, https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faba6dc93-708a-4ced-841a-d0fce256f4e8.heic 1272w, https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faba6dc93-708a-4ced-841a-d0fce256f4e8.heic 1456w\" type=\"image\/webp\" sizes=\"100vw\" \/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"sizing-normal\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faba6dc93-708a-4ced-841a-d0fce256f4e8.heic\" sizes=\"auto, 100vw\" srcset=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faba6dc93-708a-4ced-841a-d0fce256f4e8.heic 424w, https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faba6dc93-708a-4ced-841a-d0fce256f4e8.heic 848w, https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faba6dc93-708a-4ced-841a-d0fce256f4e8.heic 1272w, https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faba6dc93-708a-4ced-841a-d0fce256f4e8.heic 1456w\" alt=\"\" width=\"489\" height=\"385\" data-attrs=\"{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/images\/aba6dc93-708a-4ced-841a-d0fce256f4e8.heic&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:385,&quot;width&quot;:489,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:32195,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image\/heic&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null}\" \/><\/picture>\n<div class=\"image-link-expand\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>Stagflation came in perfectly on target for\u00a0<em>The Daily Doom\u2019s<\/em>\u00a0predictions today. Real GDP is now falling much harder than was\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/jpmorgan-ceo-dimon-says-us-163316868.html\" rel=\"\">expected\u00a0<\/a><em><a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/jpmorgan-ceo-dimon-says-us-163316868.html\" rel=\"\">yesterday<\/a><\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/jpmorgan-ceo-dimon-says-us-163316868.html\" rel=\"\">\u00a0by two-faced Jamie Dimon<\/a>\u00a0when he spoke out of his second face, saying the economy is \u201cbooming,\u201d backed by \u201chealthy consumer finances.\u201d He called it an \u201cunbelievable\u201d economy. I\u2019ll agree with that part. I certainly didn\u2019t believe it when he said it yesterday.<\/p>\n<p>You see,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.thedailydoom.com\/p\/stagflation-isnt-going-anywhere\" rel=\"\">only the day before, his first face said<\/a>\u00a0the economy looked like we could be heading into the\u00a0<em><strong>stagflation<\/strong><\/em><strong>\u00a0of the 70s, which means a stagnant economy with high inflation<\/strong>. Those are diametrically opposite claims to my way of thinking. After he appeared to walk stagflation back yesterday when he said the economy was booming, today\u00a0<strong>we all learned we are\u00a0<\/strong><em><strong>already in<\/strong><\/em><strong>\u00a0the stagflation of the 70s<\/strong>. (We\u2019ve actually been in it all year, but it finally got\u00a0<em>reported<\/em>.)<\/p>\n<p>The official report on\u00a0<strong>Q1 real GDP for 2024<\/strong>\u00a0showed the economy is stagnant, while the Personal Consumption Expenditures\u00a0<strong>(PCE) price index scored its largest inflation gain all year (at 3.4% annualized).<\/strong>\u00a0To be specific,\u00a0<strong>GDP fell off to a 1.6% annualized pace<\/strong>\u00a0(adjusted for seasonality and inflation), according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. That is a plunge to less than half of the 3.4% growth the BEA claimed for the final quarter of 2023 and the 4.9% in the quarter before that, and it even came in well below the 2.4% that was forecast recently by economists in a Dow Jones survey.<\/p>\n<p>So, the two-faced Dimon should have stayed with what his first face said two days ago because GDP readings under 2% are usually considered\u00a0<em>borderline recession<\/em>\u2014far from \u201cBOOMING,\u201d which means the US economy is, in fact, stagnant\u00a0<em>with rising inflation<\/em>, which means the 1970s are back \u2026 because \u2026<\/p>\n<div class=\"captioned-image-container\">\n<figure>\n<div class=\"image2-inset\"><picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d6d4d6a-eb3c-43ea-9079-ce7d936612ac_1238x1104.jpeg 424w, https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d6d4d6a-eb3c-43ea-9079-ce7d936612ac_1238x1104.jpeg 848w, https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d6d4d6a-eb3c-43ea-9079-ce7d936612ac_1238x1104.jpeg 1272w, https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d6d4d6a-eb3c-43ea-9079-ce7d936612ac_1238x1104.jpeg 1456w\" type=\"image\/webp\" sizes=\"100vw\" \/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"sizing-normal\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d6d4d6a-eb3c-43ea-9079-ce7d936612ac_1238x1104.jpeg\" sizes=\"auto, 100vw\" srcset=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d6d4d6a-eb3c-43ea-9079-ce7d936612ac_1238x1104.jpeg 424w, https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d6d4d6a-eb3c-43ea-9079-ce7d936612ac_1238x1104.jpeg 848w, https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d6d4d6a-eb3c-43ea-9079-ce7d936612ac_1238x1104.jpeg 1272w, https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0d6d4d6a-eb3c-43ea-9079-ce7d936612ac_1238x1104.jpeg 1456w\" alt=\"\" width=\"1238\" height=\"1104\" data-attrs=\"{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/images\/0d6d4d6a-eb3c-43ea-9079-ce7d936612ac_1238x1104.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1104,&quot;width&quot;:1238,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:131191,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image\/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null}\" \/><\/picture>\n<div class=\"image-link-expand\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>&#8230;click on the above link to read the rest of the article&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Economy Plunges into Stagflation with Both Feet Talk about a one-two-three punch to the ground! Stagflation came in perfectly on target for\u00a0The Daily Doom\u2019s\u00a0predictions today. Real GDP is now falling much harder than was\u00a0expected\u00a0yesterday\u00a0by two-faced Jamie Dimon\u00a0when he spoke out of his second face, saying the economy is \u201cbooming,\u201d backed by \u201chealthy consumer finances.\u201d He [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[11574,353,4549,13351,3303,30990],"class_list":["post-67712","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-david-haggith","tag-gdp","tag-gross-domestic-product","tag-price-inflation","tag-stagflation","tag-substack"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67712","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=67712"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67712\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":67713,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67712\/revisions\/67713"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=67712"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=67712"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=67712"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}