{"id":67212,"date":"2024-04-05T07:15:30","date_gmt":"2024-04-05T12:15:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=67212"},"modified":"2024-04-05T07:15:30","modified_gmt":"2024-04-05T12:15:30","slug":"todays-contemplation-collapse-cometh-xcv-we-all-believe-what-we-want-to-believe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=67212","title":{"rendered":"Today\u2019s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh\u00a0XCV&#8211;We All Believe What We Want To Believe"},"content":{"rendered":"<section class=\"section section--body\">\n<div class=\"section-divider\">\n<hr class=\"section-divider\" \/>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"section-content\">\n<div class=\"section-inner sectionLayout--insetColumn\">\n<h3 class=\"graf graf--h3\">Today\u2019s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh\u00a0XCV<\/h3>\n<p>January 31, 2023 (original posting date)<\/p>\n<figure class=\"graf graf--figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"graf-image\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn-images-1.medium.com\/max\/600\/1*A2NwJKfMbCC97JMRaUlOfg.jpeg\" data-image-id=\"1*A2NwJKfMbCC97JMRaUlOfg.jpeg\" data-width=\"1183\" data-height=\"1753\" data-is-featured=\"true\" \/><figcaption class=\"imageCaption\">Monte Alban, Mexico. (1988) Photo by\u00a0author.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p class=\"graf graf--p\"><strong class=\"markup--strong markup--p-strong\">We All Believe What We Want To Believe<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"graf graf--p\">The following Contemplation is my comment in response to a <a class=\"markup--anchor markup--p-anchor\" href=\"https:\/\/howtosavetheworld.ca\/2023\/01\/23\/hope-on-the-balance-of-probabilities\/comment-page-1\/#comment-144662\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-href=\"https:\/\/howtosavetheworld.ca\/2023\/01\/23\/hope-on-the-balance-of-probabilities\/comment-page-1\/#comment-144662\">thought-provoking post<\/a> I read by Dave Pollard at his site How to Save the World.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"section section--body\">\n<div class=\"section-divider\">\n<hr class=\"section-divider\" \/>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"section-content\">\n<div class=\"section-inner sectionLayout--insetColumn\">\n<p class=\"graf graf--p\">Great read, thanks for sharing. A couple of quick thoughts.<\/p>\n<p class=\"graf graf--p\">If you\u2019ve not stumbled across Erik Michaels work at <a class=\"markup--anchor markup--p-anchor\" href=\"https:\/\/problemspredicamentsandtechnology.blogspot.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-href=\"https:\/\/problemspredicamentsandtechnology.blogspot.com\/\">Problems, Predicaments, and Technology<\/a> you might find it confirming with regard to the notion that we have no free will. One of his major theses is that humans have no agency, and thus his motto to Live Now in the face of the consequences of human ecological overshoot.<\/p>\n<p class=\"graf graf--p\">Second, I\u2019ve come to hold very similar thoughts as you on the idea that \u201cwe believe what we want to believe\u201d and I think, perhaps, this is one of our primary reasons we grasp for hopeful narratives; along with the desire to believe we have agency\/free will.<\/p>\n<p class=\"graf graf--p\">There are so many psychological mechanisms driving our behaviour and beliefs that it\u2019s difficult to parse which is the most impactful\u200a\u2014\u200abut perhaps it is our denial of reality in the face of our mortality as <a class=\"markup--anchor markup--p-anchor\" href=\"https:\/\/carta.anthropogeny.org\/users\/ajit-varki\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-href=\"https:\/\/carta.anthropogeny.org\/users\/ajit-varki\">Ajit Varki<\/a> argues. Not wanting to face the fact of death, we craft (using a lot of magical thinking) some rather complex narratives to deal with this reality. Throw in how we mitigate\/reduce the stress of cognitive dissonance, and our tendencies toward deferring to authority and groupthink, and we have a recipe for clinging to stories\u200a\u2014\u200aespecially if weaved by smooth-talking snake oil salesmen\u200a\u2014\u200athat provide \u2018hope\u2019.<\/p>\n<p class=\"graf graf--p\">Reality, facts, evidence\u2026none of it matters. In fact, it appears we create our own reality based on \u2018facts\/evidence\u2019 that tends to confirm our beliefs. As the lyrics of a song I recently heard suggest: \u201cThis is where I want to be, so this is where I go.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"graf graf--p\">Some want to believe there is an after-life. Others that human ingenuity and complex technologies will solve our existential predicaments. The laundry list of hopeful narratives is long and humans tend to want to confirm their beliefs rather than have them challenged. Denial and bargaining in the face of significant contrary evidence seems to be hard-wired in these walking, talking apes that have been able to leverage their cognitive abilities and tool-making skills to extend their \u2018control\u2019 over Nature and create the reality they wish; at least in their minds, and that seems to be all that matters for most.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"section section--body\">\n<div class=\"section-divider\">\n<hr class=\"section-divider\" \/>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"section-content\">\n<div class=\"section-inner sectionLayout--insetColumn\">\n<p class=\"graf graf--p\">If you\u2019ve made it to the end of this contemplation and have got something out of my writing, please consider ordering the trilogy of my \u2018fictional\u2019 novel series, Olduvai (PDF files; only $9.99 Canadian), via my <a class=\"markup--anchor markup--p-anchor\" href=\"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-href=\"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/\">website<\/a>\u200a\u2014\u200athe \u2018profits\u2019 of which help me to keep my internet presence alive and first book available in print (and is available via various online retailers). <strong class=\"markup--strong markup--p-strong\">Encouraging others to read my work is also much appreciated<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Today\u2019s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh\u00a0XCV January 31, 2023 (original posting date) Monte Alban, Mexico. (1988) Photo by\u00a0author. We All Believe What We Want To Believe The following Contemplation is my comment in response to a thought-provoking post I read by Dave Pollard at his site How to Save the World. Great read, thanks for sharing. A [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,3,4,5,6,7],"tags":[30764,67,1330,6464,1648,658,669,5833,30370,33947],"class_list":["post-67212","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","category-energy-2","category-environment","category-geopolitics","category-liberty","category-survival-2","tag-agency","tag-beliefs","tag-denial","tag-denial-of-reality","tag-facts","tag-psychology","tag-reality","tag-steve-bull","tag-todays-contemplation","tag-todays-contemplation-collapse-cometh"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67212","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=67212"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67212\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":67213,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67212\/revisions\/67213"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=67212"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=67212"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=67212"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}