{"id":66817,"date":"2024-02-13T07:46:33","date_gmt":"2024-02-13T12:46:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=66817"},"modified":"2024-02-13T07:46:33","modified_gmt":"2024-02-13T12:46:33","slug":"todays-contemplation-collapse-cometh-lxii-magical-thinking-about-the-energy-transition","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=66817","title":{"rendered":"Today\u2019s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh\u00a0LXII&#8211;Magical Thinking About the Energy Transition"},"content":{"rendered":"<section class=\"section section--body\">\n<div class=\"section-divider\">\n<hr class=\"section-divider\" \/>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"section-content\">\n<div class=\"section-inner sectionLayout--insetColumn\">\n<h3 class=\"graf graf--h3\">Today\u2019s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh\u00a0LXII<\/h3>\n<p>July 31, 2022 (original posting date)<\/p>\n<figure class=\"graf graf--figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"graf-image\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn-images-1.medium.com\/max\/600\/1*k6JoF63-NKy-ctu7emn7LA.jpeg\" data-image-id=\"1*k6JoF63-NKy-ctu7emn7LA.jpeg\" data-width=\"453\" data-height=\"231\" data-is-featured=\"true\" \/><figcaption class=\"imageCaption\">Athens, Greece (1984). Photo by\u00a0author.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p class=\"graf graf--p\"><strong class=\"markup--strong markup--p-strong\">Magical Thinking About the Energy Transition<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"graf graf--p\">A really short contemplation prompted by an <a class=\"markup--anchor markup--p-anchor\" href=\"https:\/\/www.resilience.org\/stories\/2022-07-28\/making-waves-electric-ships-are-sailing-ahead\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-href=\"https:\/\/www.resilience.org\/stories\/2022-07-28\/making-waves-electric-ships-are-sailing-ahead\/\">article<\/a> posted in <a class=\"markup--anchor markup--p-anchor\" href=\"http:\/\/www.resilience.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-href=\"http:\/\/www.resilience.org\/\">Resilience.org<\/a> from <a class=\"markup--anchor markup--p-anchor\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rapidtransition.org\/stories\/making-waves-electric-ships-are-sailing-ahead\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-href=\"https:\/\/www.rapidtransition.org\/stories\/making-waves-electric-ships-are-sailing-ahead\/\">The Rapid Transition Alliance<\/a> regarding sustaining long-distance trade via electric ships.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"section section--body\">\n<div class=\"section-divider\">\n<hr class=\"section-divider\" \/>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"section-content\">\n<div class=\"section-inner sectionLayout--insetColumn\">\n<p class=\"graf graf--p\">The entire narrative around \u2018electrifying\u2019 everything is primarily about the marketing of ecologically-destructive and completely unsustainable industrial products while leveraging human emotions about well-meaning care and compassion for the world and fellow species.<\/p>\n<p class=\"graf graf--p\">I believe the reasoning is simple: those who own the industries and financial institutions that are required for such a transition stand to profit handsomely from the belief that we can have our cake and eat it too, so let\u2019s pour all remaining capital into \u2018transitioning\u2019 to something \u2018green\/clean\u2019.<\/p>\n<p class=\"graf graf--p\">Only this is a fantasy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"graf graf--p\">The denial of reality required to believe in this tale not only serves to reduce the anxiety from the cognitive dissonance created when we realise that we live on a finite planet that has blown past the natural carrying capacity for humans and have hit significant diminishing returns on the most important resources to support our various complexities, but also leads to significant magical thinking about our ability to \u2018transition\u2019 from fossil fuels (that underpin virtually everything in our complex societies, especially food production, transportation, and adequate shelter) to something equally effective but non-destructive and sustainable.<\/p>\n<p class=\"graf graf--p\">There is nothing \u2018resilient\u2019 about this narrative. Humanity (at least in the form of complex, industrial societies) is not going to \u2018recover quickly\u2019 from the energy cliff we have likely already begun our descent from. It seems a misguided and misinformed story that serves to dish out \u2018hope\u2019 as opposed to the harsh \u2018reality\u2019 that we are in significant ecological overshoot and the primary resource that has led us here (fossil fuels) is in terminal decline with no substitute available<a class=\"markup--anchor markup--p-anchor\" href=\"#_ftn1\" data-href=\"#_ftn1\">[1]<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"graf graf--p\">We seem to be flailing about telling ourselves and others comforting tales while deferring to our ruling elite who are hell bent on leveraging our various crises to their economic and political advantage.<\/p>\n<p class=\"graf graf--p\">It\u2019s past time we stop looking for magical solutions and face the looming hardships that are before us.<\/p>\n<p class=\"graf graf--p\">Let\u2019s divert our remaining energy and resources towards safely decommissioning those dangerous complexities we\u2019ve created (e.g., nuclear power plants and their waste products, biosafety labs and their dangerous pathogens, and chemical production and storage facilities) and relocalising as much as is possible the procurement of potable water, food production, and regional shelter needs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"graf graf--p\">Telling ourselves and believing in lies and fairy tales is a sure recipe for the consequences of our well-meaning but ecologically-destructive ways to be significantly worse than they could otherwise be. Ramping up our industrial production of unsustainable technologies not only expedites the negative consequences of our overshoot but worsens our plight by further reducing the planet\u2019s carrying capacity.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"section section--body\">\n<div class=\"section-divider\">\n<hr class=\"section-divider\" \/>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"section-content\">\n<div class=\"section-inner sectionLayout--insetColumn\">\n<p class=\"graf graf--p\"><a class=\"markup--anchor markup--p-anchor\" href=\"#_ftnref1\" data-href=\"#_ftnref1\">[1]<\/a> This avoids the even more difficult discussion that even if we were to stumble upon a \u2018green\/clean\u2019 energy substitute for fossil fuels, there are a host of other significant impediments to sustaining an 7+ billion population on a finite planet.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Today\u2019s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh\u00a0LXII July 31, 2022 (original posting date) Athens, Greece (1984). Photo by\u00a0author. Magical Thinking About the Energy Transition A really short contemplation prompted by an article posted in Resilience.org from The Rapid Transition Alliance regarding sustaining long-distance trade via electric ships. The entire narrative around \u2018electrifying\u2019 everything is primarily about the marketing [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,3,4,5,6,7],"tags":[33970,5930,4692,658,5833,769,34118,30370,33947],"class_list":["post-66817","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","category-energy-2","category-environment","category-geopolitics","category-liberty","category-survival-2","tag-electrify-everything","tag-energy-transition","tag-magical-thinking","tag-psychology","tag-steve-bull","tag-sustainability","tag-the-rapid-transition-alliance","tag-todays-contemplation","tag-todays-contemplation-collapse-cometh"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66817","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=66817"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66817\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":66818,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66817\/revisions\/66818"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=66817"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=66817"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=66817"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}