{"id":66400,"date":"2023-12-23T14:56:08","date_gmt":"2023-12-23T19:56:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=66400"},"modified":"2023-12-23T14:56:08","modified_gmt":"2023-12-23T19:56:08","slug":"no-one-has-really-grokked-how-big-the-suez-houthi-gambit-is","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=66400","title":{"rendered":"No One Has Really Grokked How Big The Suez\/Houthi Gambit Is"},"content":{"rendered":"<header class=\"post-header\">\n<h3 class=\"post-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/tomluongo.me\/2023\/12\/21\/no-one-grokked-suez-houthi-gambit\/\">No One Has Really Grokked How Big The Suez\/Houthi Gambit Is<\/a><\/h3>\n<\/header>\n<figure class=\"post-image clear-fix\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"attachment-rowling-post-image size-rowling-post-image wp-post-image\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/oil-tanker-iran-oman.png?fit=816%2C459&amp;ssl=1\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 816px) 100vw, 816px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/oil-tanker-iran-oman.png?w=1920&amp;ssl=1 1920w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/oil-tanker-iran-oman.png?resize=150%2C84&amp;ssl=1 150w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/oil-tanker-iran-oman.png?resize=300%2C169&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/oil-tanker-iran-oman.png?resize=768%2C432&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/oil-tanker-iran-oman.png?resize=1024%2C575&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/oil-tanker-iran-oman.png?resize=816%2C459&amp;ssl=1 816w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/oil-tanker-iran-oman.png?resize=142%2C80&amp;ssl=1 142w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/oil-tanker-iran-oman.png?w=1232&amp;ssl=1 1232w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/oil-tanker-iran-oman.png?w=1848&amp;ssl=1 1848w\" alt=\"\" width=\"816\" height=\"459\" data-attachment-id=\"8118\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/tomluongo.me\/2019\/06\/24\/iran-message-sent-message-delivered\/oil-tanker-iran-oman\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/oil-tanker-iran-oman.png?fit=1920%2C1079&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1920,1079\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"oil-tanker-iran-oman\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/oil-tanker-iran-oman.png?fit=300%2C169&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/oil-tanker-iran-oman.png?fit=616%2C346&amp;ssl=1\" \/><\/figure>\n<div class=\"post-inner\">\n<div class=\"post-content\">\n<p>We\u2019ve had a lot of foreshadowing of the Suez Canal being a major hotspot for conflict over the past couple of years. Think back to the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/blog.boxxport.com\/suez-canal-crisis-2021\/\">Evergreen beaching itself in the canal in 2021.\u00a0<\/a>Everyone is just now waking up to the idea that global shipping is at risk here.<\/p>\n<p>This Twitter thread (by a self-professed moron who, IMO, seems to have a good grasp on things) is representative of the level of analysis being put forth by people still in love with the US Navy\u2019s ability to force project around the world. He\u2019s just waking up to the importance of this situation but he hasn\u2019t picked up on the nuance of it from the other side of the battlefield.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<div class=\"twitter-tweet twitter-tweet-rendered\"><iframe id=\"twitter-widget-0\" class=\"\" title=\"X Post\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/embed\/Tweet.html?creatorScreenName=tfl1728&amp;dnt=false&amp;embedId=twitter-widget-0&amp;features=eyJ0ZndfdGltZWxpbmVfbGlzdCI6eyJidWNrZXQiOltdLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfSwidGZ3X2ZvbGxvd2VyX2NvdW50X3N1bnNldCI6eyJidWNrZXQiOnRydWUsInZlcnNpb24iOm51bGx9LCJ0ZndfdHdlZXRfZWRpdF9iYWNrZW5kIjp7ImJ1Y2tldCI6Im9uIiwidmVyc2lvbiI6bnVsbH0sInRmd19yZWZzcmNfc2Vzc2lvbiI6eyJidWNrZXQiOiJvbiIsInZlcnNpb24iOm51bGx9LCJ0ZndfZm9zbnJfc29mdF9pbnRlcnZlbnRpb25zX2VuYWJsZWQiOnsiYnVja2V0Ijoib24iLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfSwidGZ3X21peGVkX21lZGlhXzE1ODk3Ijp7ImJ1Y2tldCI6InRyZWF0bWVudCIsInZlcnNpb24iOm51bGx9LCJ0ZndfZXhwZXJpbWVudHNfY29va2llX2V4cGlyYXRpb24iOnsiYnVja2V0IjoxMjA5NjAwLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfSwidGZ3X3Nob3dfYmlyZHdhdGNoX3Bpdm90c19lbmFibGVkIjp7ImJ1Y2tldCI6Im9uIiwidmVyc2lvbiI6bnVsbH0sInRmd19kdXBsaWNhdGVfc2NyaWJlc190b19zZXR0aW5ncyI6eyJidWNrZXQiOiJvbiIsInZlcnNpb24iOm51bGx9LCJ0ZndfdXNlX3Byb2ZpbGVfaW1hZ2Vfc2hhcGVfZW5hYmxlZCI6eyJidWNrZXQiOiJvbiIsInZlcnNpb24iOm51bGx9LCJ0ZndfdmlkZW9faGxzX2R5bmFtaWNfbWFuaWZlc3RzXzE1MDgyIjp7ImJ1Y2tldCI6InRydWVfYml0cmF0ZSIsInZlcnNpb24iOm51bGx9LCJ0ZndfbGVnYWN5X3RpbWVsaW5lX3N1bnNldCI6eyJidWNrZXQiOnRydWUsInZlcnNpb24iOm51bGx9LCJ0ZndfdHdlZXRfZWRpdF9mcm9udGVuZCI6eyJidWNrZXQiOiJvbiIsInZlcnNpb24iOm51bGx9fQ%3D%3D&amp;frame=false&amp;hideCard=false&amp;hideThread=false&amp;id=1736991083471454681&amp;lang=en&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Ftomluongo.me%2F2023%2F12%2F21%2Fno-one-grokked-suez-houthi-gambit%2F&amp;partner=tfwp&amp;sessionId=08af945a92a974aa9425d371b967a5ec62882ad7&amp;siteScreenName=TFL1728&amp;theme=light&amp;widgetsVersion=2615f7e52b7e0%3A1702314776716&amp;width=550px\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-tweet-id=\"1736991083471454681\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p>In order to set the stage properly I\u2019m going to have to go back in time. So, let\u2019s start with October 7th and the attack on Israel by Hamas. In the<a href=\"https:\/\/www.patreon.com\/posts\/october-2023-n-91293484\">\u00a0October issue of the\u00a0<em>Gold Goats \u2018n Guns Newsletter<\/em><\/a><em>\u00a0<\/em>I laid out why I thought everyone had an incentive to allow and\/or instigate that event.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The October Setup<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>So, here\u2019s the backdrop for\u00a0<em>Davos\u00a0<\/em>and the US\/UK:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\"><p>Now, if you are a cornered old money globalist oligarch with your finger on the pulse of these events\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Then, you are seeing:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>The project in Ukraine hanging by a thread as European and American support wanes at every level just below the unelected leadership.<\/li>\n<li>The ECB failing to hold the line on rising bond yields to stave off a banking crisis.<\/li>\n<li>US Yield Curve blowing out on the long end, giving Yellen no good options for funding the current budget deficit or for rolling over existing debt, much of which is due in 2024.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\u2026click on the above link to read the rest\u2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>No One Has Really Grokked How Big The Suez\/Houthi Gambit Is We\u2019ve had a lot of foreshadowing of the Suez Canal being a major hotspot for conflict over the past couple of years. Think back to the\u00a0Evergreen beaching itself in the canal in 2021.\u00a0Everyone is just now waking up to the idea that global shipping [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[21273,4408,14494,4856,19169,16963,827,901],"class_list":["post-66400","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-geopolitics","tag-gold-goats-and-guns","tag-houthi-rebels","tag-red-sea","tag-shipping","tag-suez-canal","tag-tom-luongo","tag-united-states","tag-yemen"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66400","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=66400"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66400\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":66401,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66400\/revisions\/66401"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=66400"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=66400"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=66400"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}