{"id":65999,"date":"2023-10-23T06:54:03","date_gmt":"2023-10-23T11:54:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=65999"},"modified":"2023-10-23T06:54:03","modified_gmt":"2023-10-23T11:54:03","slug":"todays-contemplation-collapse-cometh-clv-planetary-boundaries-narrative-management-and-technology","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=65999","title":{"rendered":"Today\u2019s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh\u00a0CLV–Planetary Boundaries, Narrative Management, and Technology"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Today\u2019s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CLV<\/span><\/h3>\n
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October 23, 2023<\/p>\n

Mexico (1988). Photo by\u00a0author.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Planetary Boundaries, Narrative Management, and Technology<\/strong><\/p>\n

As I continue to work on Part 4 of my multipart Contemplation regarding energy blindness (see: Part 1 Medium<\/a>, Part 2 Medium<\/a>, Part 3 Blog<\/a> Medium<\/a>), I offer a handful of recent comments I shared on a variety of posts I\u2019ve been reading:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n

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One posted to a Degrowth Group I am a member of:<\/p>\n

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AP: It is the carbon risk that is existential. All the others are nice to have after you have reduced the carbon risk. Don\u2019t allow this sort of propaganda to divert or dilute the required focus.<\/p>\n

CS: obviously emissions are a significant threat but when we focus on climate change as the most significant we end up, as the majority currently do, looking to technology for solutions. Ecological overshoot is the master predicament. This means degrowth in energy and material consumption (less technology) and population reduction should be the key ways forward.<\/p>\n

I highly recommend this talk by Bill Rees of Ecological Footprint fame. Cheers<\/p>\n

https:\/\/youtu.be\/QhhI9TF8K2k?feature=shared<\/a><\/p>\n

MK: William R. Catton\u2026<\/p>\n

SE: Economic and then the following fertilizer\/ pumped water\/ food availability collapse as energy and materials slip away will tend to hurt us first. Many countries are already in the early stages of collapse. Lebanon, Argentina, Pakistan, etc.<\/p>\n

Me: There are a number of planetary boundaries that have been broached because of our ecological overshoot. They all pose an existential risk and a number have been identified as being worse off than carbon emissions\u2026the focus needs to be on all of them.<\/em><\/p>\n

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There\u2019s this one on an oilprice.com article<\/a> posted in the Peak Oil Facebook Group I am a member of:<\/p>\n

Me: I have to wonder about the \u2018accuracy\u2019 of the article and its \u2018conclusions\u2019 (well, actually, prognostications as it\u2019s about possibilities, not actualities). Bloomberg and Reuters, the two mainstream media outlets cited, are both extremely Western-biased. And we know the West would love to see cracks in the BRICS growing alliance so why not float the \u2018news\u2019 that such divisions are appearing based, naturally, on unnamed\/anonymous sources. If we have learned anything from the recent decades of mainstream media reporting, it is that it has become little more than a propaganda arm for our ruling elite\u2026<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n

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And this one in the same group:<\/p>\n

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Me: Just as fracking was, the profit-makers\/-takers have spun several narratives to entice investments\u200a\u2014\u200aboth capital and retail. Believers have, once again, trusted the untrustworthy and fallen for the con failing to understand that our energy-intensive living has never been sustainable on a finite planet regardless of our ingenuity and technological prowess. All we\u2019re doing by chasing the unicorn of \u2018renewables\u2019 is expediting our journey over the energy cliff while contributing evermore to our ecological overshoot. Sad on so many levels.<\/em><\/p>\n

LM: totally agree with that. The question is\u2026what\u2019s next<\/p>\n

Me: Economic collapse. Rise of authoritarian\/totalitarian government. War. Increasingly degraded ecological systems. Destitution for more and more people. See these: <\/em>https:\/\/stevebull-4168.medium.com\/todays-contemplation-collapse-cometh-lix-800413db180a<\/em><\/a>; and, <\/em>https:\/\/stevebull-4168.medium.com\/todays-contemplation-collapse-cometh-lxxxv-ffe437ffd811<\/em><\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n

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My question posted in this group:<\/p>\n

Wonder how long it will take for the discussions about Peak Oil to go fully mainstream once the Strait of Hormuz is closed off???<\/em><\/p>\n

Comments:<\/p>\n

SH: I expect the many manifestations of natural limits will likely end up being used as vehicles for scapegoating, to promote non-sequitur ideological agendas, and with examples of Overshoot being seen as isolated phenomenon, rather than part of a broader problem. People are already seeing global climate that way, so it stands to reason that Peak Oil will just give them one more thing regarding which they can petition governments and big corporations to solve for them. I have yet to encounter a climate activist who has seriously considered what people can do to address the problem by way of changing personal behaviors, as opposed to technological fixes and policy changes offering a \u201cplug and play\u201d solution. The notion of a wicked problem in which mitigation might involve a paradigm shift in collective behaviors and expectations is not on anyone\u2019s radar.<\/p>\n

Me: Yes, I agree that all sorts of narratives will be constructed\u200a\u2014\u200aespecially by the ruling elite and associated profit-makers\/-takers\u200a\u2014\u200ato leverage our energy fall\/descent in advantageous ways to their goals. They will certainly be a lot of \u2018othering\u2019 going forward as our \u2018leadership\u2019 attempts to deflect blame\/responsibility\/focus on them and their wayward ways.<\/em><\/p>\n

LM: predicament<\/p>\n

DI: We blame the symptoms not the disease.<\/p>\n

Me: True enough. A lot will be blamed on those \u2018undemocratic\/despotic\u2019 regimes that are keeping us from their hydrocarbons\u2026you know, because they \u2018hate our freedom\u2019.<\/em><\/p>\n

SMK: It will never go mainstream. Anything but it will be blamed for conserving of remaining reserves: climate change [sic], unfolding warfare in Middle East, Biden falling down some steps, Swift and Kelce, whatever\u2026NEVER peak oil.<\/p>\n

Me: Perhaps. There are and have been a growing number attempting to raise the concept and implications of Peak Oil but as will likely continue to be the case the \u2018influential\u2019 narrative managers of society (those that work on behalf of the world\u2019s elite and can shout through our politicians and mainstream media outlets) will continue to weave their competing stories, especially those flaunting human ingenuity and technological \u2018solutions to our dilemma. That is, until the truth of PO and the insanity of chasing infinite growth on a finite planet are eventually so obvious that they can no longer be pushed to the margins and the saner voices of warning begin to turn more and more heads; not all, probably not even a lot, but I wager to guess at least increasing numbers.<\/em><\/p>\n

I don\u2019t believe our ruling elite will ever admit to PO and the inadvisability of chasing the perpetual growth chalice or turn towards degrowing our existence for that would mean removing the gravy train that provides their revenue streams and thus positions of power\/influence and prestige. No, they will likely insist on the path of exacerbating our Overshoot while getting their propagandists to double\/triple down on the tales of a technologically-based transition to a \u2018clean\/green\u2019 utopia.<\/em><\/p>\n

I think we can see part of the narrative plan going forward is to highlight the concept of Peak Demand as opposed to Peak Supply. Demand for hydrocarbons has peaked because everyone is already transitioning to the \u2018Electrification of Everything Plan\u2019 with their electric vehicle purchases and investments in non-renewable, renewable energy-harvesting technologies\u2026only the reality indicates that this tale is nonsense and hydrocarbon extraction and use is increasing along with these technologies resulting in an exacerbation of our overshoot predicament.<\/em><\/p>\n

Throw our currently increasing morass of geopolitical gamesmanship on top of an already deadly dead-end trajectory and that jump off the Seneca Cliff of energy decline seems further and further in the rear-view mirror\u200a\u2014\u200aalong with all the ecological systems destruction we can\u2019t help but compound in our desire to control our destiny.<\/em><\/p>\n

But, yeah, let\u2019s all go see the Taylor Swift movie to deny the death of our world just a bit longer and sing along, holding hands as gravity takes hold. Such is the way of these story-telling apes who will do and believe almost any and everything to avoid\/deny reality and the anxiety-provoking thoughts it raises.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Today\u2019s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CLV October 23, 2023 Mexico (1988). Photo by\u00a0author. Planetary Boundaries, Narrative Management, and Technology As I continue to work on Part 4 of my multipart Contemplation regarding energy blindness (see: Part 1 Medium, Part 2 Medium, Part 3 Blog Medium), I offer a handful of recent comments I shared on a […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,3,4,5,6,7],"tags":[150,30371,22093,26071,4931,6979,5833,786,30370,33947],"class_list":["post-65999","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","category-energy-2","category-environment","category-geopolitics","category-liberty","category-survival-2","tag-collapse","tag-collapse-cometh","tag-ecological-overshoot","tag-narrative-management","tag-planetary-boundaries","tag-ruling-elite","tag-steve-bull","tag-technology","tag-todays-contemplation","tag-todays-contemplation-collapse-cometh"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65999","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=65999"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65999\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":66001,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65999\/revisions\/66001"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=65999"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=65999"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=65999"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}