{"id":64467,"date":"2022-12-15T11:05:10","date_gmt":"2022-12-15T16:05:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=64467"},"modified":"2022-12-15T11:05:10","modified_gmt":"2022-12-15T16:05:10","slug":"gutting-germany-part-3-diesel","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=64467","title":{"rendered":"Gutting Germany \u2014 Part 3: Diesel"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"gq gr gs gt gu\">\n<div class=\"\">\n<h3 id=\"49ab\" class=\"pw-post-title gv gw gx bd gy gz ha hb hc hd he hf hg hh hi hj hk hl hm hn ho hp hq hr hs ht bi\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thehonestsorcerer.medium.com\/gutting-germany-part-3-diesel-6c5f7e55d46\">Gutting Germany \u2014 Part 3: Diesel<\/a><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\n<p id=\"44a5\" class=\"pw-subtitle-paragraph hu gw gx bd b hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik il fs\"><strong>A story of economic suicide in the face of resource depletion<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<figure class=\"in io ip iq ek ir dy dz paragraph-image\">\n<div class=\"is it di iu bf iv\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"button\">\n<div class=\"dy dz im\"><picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/640\/0*feNYBpZOM0MtSgpO 640w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/720\/0*feNYBpZOM0MtSgpO 720w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/750\/0*feNYBpZOM0MtSgpO 750w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/786\/0*feNYBpZOM0MtSgpO 786w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/828\/0*feNYBpZOM0MtSgpO 828w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/1100\/0*feNYBpZOM0MtSgpO 1100w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/1400\/0*feNYBpZOM0MtSgpO 1400w\" type=\"image\/webp\" sizes=\"(min-resolution: 4dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 50vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 4) and (max-width: 700px) 50vw, (min-resolution: 3dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 67vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 3) and (max-width: 700px) 65vw, (min-resolution: 2.5dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 80vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 2.5) and (max-width: 700px) 80vw, (min-resolution: 2dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 100vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 2) and (max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" \/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/640\/0*feNYBpZOM0MtSgpO 640w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/720\/0*feNYBpZOM0MtSgpO 720w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/750\/0*feNYBpZOM0MtSgpO 750w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/786\/0*feNYBpZOM0MtSgpO 786w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/828\/0*feNYBpZOM0MtSgpO 828w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/1100\/0*feNYBpZOM0MtSgpO 1100w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/1400\/0*feNYBpZOM0MtSgpO 1400w\" sizes=\"(min-resolution: 4dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 50vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 4) and (max-width: 700px) 50vw, (min-resolution: 3dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 67vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 3) and (max-width: 700px) 65vw, (min-resolution: 2.5dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 80vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 2.5) and (max-width: 700px) 80vw, (min-resolution: 2dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 100vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 2) and (max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" data-testid=\"og\" \/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"bf iw ix c\" role=\"presentation\" src=\"https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/700\/0*feNYBpZOM0MtSgpO\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"934\" \/><\/picture><\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption class=\"iy iz ea dy dz ja jb bd b be z fs\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">Photo by\u00a0<a class=\"ae jc\" href=\"https:\/\/unsplash.com\/@fraumuksch?utm_source=medium&amp;utm_medium=referral\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener ugc nofollow\">Jennifer Latuperisa-Andresen<\/a>\u00a0on\u00a0<a class=\"ae jc\" href=\"https:\/\/unsplash.com\/?utm_source=medium&amp;utm_medium=referral\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener ugc nofollow\">Unsplash<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p id=\"0db3\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph jd je gx jf b jg jh hy ji jj jk ib jl jm jn jo jp jq jr js jt ju jv jw jx jy gq bi\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\"><em class=\"jz\">In the past two installments (<\/em><a class=\"ae jc\" href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/@thehonestsorcerer\/gutting-germany-part-1-coal-1a7e726676db\" rel=\"noopener\"><em class=\"jz\">here<\/em><\/a><em class=\"jz\">\u00a0&amp;\u00a0<\/em><a class=\"ae jc\" href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/@thehonestsorcerer\/gutting-germany-part-2-natural-gas-5836f89eb935\" rel=\"noopener\"><em class=\"jz\">here<\/em><\/a><em class=\"jz\">) we have seen how the geology driven decline in coal production in Germany has led to an increase in natural gas consumption and black coal imports. Now, that Russian coal (50% of German imports) has been sanctioned as of August, and that a range of irresponsible policy decisions (combined with an outright attack on German infrastructure) have led to a 55% loss in gas imports, deindustrialization of Germany seems to be an almost certainty.\u00a0<\/em><strong class=\"jf gy\"><em class=\"jz\">The killer blow, though, has not arrived yet: the loss of diesel fuel supplies.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"ab cl ka kb ge kc\" role=\"separator\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"gq gr gs gt gu\">\n<p id=\"5a50\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph jd je gx jf b jg jh hy ji jj jk ib jl jm jn jo jp jq jr js jt ju jv jw jx jy gq bi kh\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\"><span class=\"l ki kj kk bm kl km kn ko kp di\">E<\/span>nergy is the economy. No energy \u2014 no economy. Losing of a half of industrial fuel imports (black coal and gas), will eventually lead to a similar loss of German industrial output over time. As we have seen these fuels can be replaced\u00a0<strong class=\"jf gy\"><em class=\"jz\">only in part<\/em><\/strong>\u00a0by very expensive and rather sporadic LNG shipments and an increase in low quality domestic lignite production. This means that while the lights and heat will most probably stay on for most of German residents (at least to those who can afford to pay for them), locally produced goods requiring a lot of energy (like aluminum, glass, steel, fertilizer, paper, chemicals etc.) will have to be replaced with imports \u2014 leaving an impoverished nation suffering from high inflation behind. Whether intentionally or not, the initially rejected proposal made by the United States Secretary of the Treasury Henry\u00a0<a class=\"ae jc\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Morgenthau_Plan\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener ugc nofollow\">Morgenthau<\/a>\u00a0Jr. in a 1944 seems to be slowly becoming a reality.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"in io ip iq ek ir dy dz paragraph-image\">\n<div class=\"is it di iu bf iv\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"button\">\n<div class=\"dy dz kq\"><picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/640\/0*7sfQGMMILvvnUgHm.webp 640w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/720\/0*7sfQGMMILvvnUgHm.webp 720w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/750\/0*7sfQGMMILvvnUgHm.webp 750w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/786\/0*7sfQGMMILvvnUgHm.webp 786w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/828\/0*7sfQGMMILvvnUgHm.webp 828w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/1100\/0*7sfQGMMILvvnUgHm.webp 1100w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/1400\/0*7sfQGMMILvvnUgHm.webp 1400w\" type=\"image\/webp\" sizes=\"(min-resolution: 4dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 50vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 4) and (max-width: 700px) 50vw, (min-resolution: 3dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 67vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 3) and (max-width: 700px) 65vw, (min-resolution: 2.5dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 80vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 2.5) and (max-width: 700px) 80vw, (min-resolution: 2dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 100vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 2) and (max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" \/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/640\/0*7sfQGMMILvvnUgHm.jpg 640w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/720\/0*7sfQGMMILvvnUgHm.jpg 720w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/750\/0*7sfQGMMILvvnUgHm.jpg 750w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/786\/0*7sfQGMMILvvnUgHm.jpg 786w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/828\/0*7sfQGMMILvvnUgHm.jpg 828w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/1100\/0*7sfQGMMILvvnUgHm.jpg 1100w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/1400\/0*7sfQGMMILvvnUgHm.jpg 1400w\" sizes=\"(min-resolution: 4dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 50vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 4) and (max-width: 700px) 50vw, (min-resolution: 3dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 67vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 3) and (max-width: 700px) 65vw, (min-resolution: 2.5dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 80vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 2.5) and (max-width: 700px) 80vw, (min-resolution: 2dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 100vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 2) and (max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" data-testid=\"og\" \/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"bf iw ix c\" role=\"presentation\" src=\"https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/max\/700\/0*7sfQGMMILvvnUgHm.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"551\" \/><\/picture><\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption class=\"iy iz ea dy dz ja jb bd b be z fs\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">Roosevelt and Morgenthau, who have been described as \u201ctwo of a kind\u201d \u2014<a class=\"ae jc\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Morgenthau_Plan#\/media\/File:Franklin_D._Roosevelt_and_Henry_Morgenthau_Jr_-_NARA_-_195619.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener ugc nofollow\">\u00a0source<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u2026click on the above link to read the rest\u2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gutting Germany \u2014 Part 3: Diesel A story of economic suicide in the face of resource depletion Photo by\u00a0Jennifer Latuperisa-Andresen\u00a0on\u00a0Unsplash In the past two installments (here\u00a0&amp;\u00a0here) we have seen how the geology driven decline in coal production in Germany has led to an increase in natural gas consumption and black coal imports. Now, that Russian [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[14047,359,32578],"class_list":["post-64467","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-diesel","tag-germany","tag-the-honest-sorcerer"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64467","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=64467"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64467\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":64468,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64467\/revisions\/64468"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=64467"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=64467"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=64467"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}