{"id":63931,"date":"2022-10-29T05:56:47","date_gmt":"2022-10-29T10:56:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=63931"},"modified":"2022-10-29T05:56:47","modified_gmt":"2022-10-29T10:56:47","slug":"getting-real-its-time-to-crunch-the-numbers-on-the-transition-from-fossil-fuels","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=63931","title":{"rendered":"Getting real: It&#8217;s time to crunch the numbers on the transition from fossil fuels"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"article__header \">\n<h3 class=\"article__headline\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.9news.com.au\/national\/crunching-the-numbers-on-the-transition-from-fossil-fuels\/42c0a342-748b-40c2-bd4e-4eb112fdfec6\">Getting real: It&#8217;s time to crunch the numbers on the transition from fossil fuels<\/a><\/h3>\n<div class=\"player__video-block\">\n<div class=\"player__video\">\n<div id=\"player_cdxxc\" class=\"video-js vjs-paused vjs-controls-enabled vjs-workinghover vjs-v7 vjs-user-active vjs-layout-medium bc-player-H190EXsjW_default bc-player-H190EXsjW_default-index-0 vjs-mouse vjs-ima3-not-playing-yet vjs-ima3-html5 ima3-loading-spinner vjs-plugins-ready vjs-player-info vjs-errors vjs-mux not-hover\" lang=\"en-us\" tabindex=\"-1\" role=\"region\" translate=\"no\" data-param-page-name=\"news:news:national:article-Analysis: It's time to crunch the numbers on the transition from fossil fuels\" data-param-video-name-prefix=\"news|\" data-param-ad-unit=\"9news\/web\" data-video-id=\"6311623011112\" data-player=\"H190EXsjW\" data-account=\"664969388001\" data-embed=\"default\" aria-label=\"Video Player\"><video id=\"player_cdxxc_html5_api\" class=\"vjs-tech\" tabindex=\"-1\" src=\"blob:https:\/\/www.9news.com.au\/0eac3741-78b7-470e-bdf3-e83578281d67\" poster=\"https:\/\/cf-images.ap-southeast-2.prod.boltdns.net\/v1\/static\/664969388001\/fcd5a8be-9059-443d-9efe-d834368b6f5c\/d26cf2e3-83e9-4437-aa61-0d037fc61438\/640x360\/match\/image.jpg\" preload=\"metadata\" width=\"300\" height=\"150\" data-embed=\"default\" data-account=\"664969388001\" data-player=\"H190EXsjW\" data-video-id=\"6311623011112\" data-param-ad-unit=\"9news\/web\" data-param-video-name-prefix=\"news|\" data-param-page-name=\"news:news:national:article-Analysis: It's time to crunch the numbers on the transition from fossil fuels\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/p>\n<div pseudo=\"-webkit-media-controls\" class=\"sizing-small phase-pre-ready state-no-source\">\n<div pseudo=\"-webkit-media-controls-enclosure\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><\/video><\/p>\n<div class=\"vjs-text-track-display\" translate=\"yes\" aria-live=\"off\" aria-atomic=\"true\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><button class=\"player__dismiss-sticky\"><\/button><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"player__description\"><strong>What is needed for a transition to a clean energy environment?<\/strong><\/div>\n<div class=\"player__description\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cf-images.ap-southeast-2.prod.boltdns.net\/v1\/static\/664969388001\/fcd5a8be-9059-443d-9efe-d834368b6f5c\/73c97949-e222-4427-8b02-1459e8fde030\/160x90\/match\/image.jpg\" alt=\"What is needed for a transition to a clean energy environment?\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"article__body\">\n<div class=\"article__body-croppable\">\n<div class=\"block-content\">\n<div class=\"styles__Container-sc-1ylecsg-0 goULFa\"><strong>Analysis:<\/strong>\u00a0We are used to hearing world leaders talk in blizzards of numbers about targets for cutting greenhouse gas emissions and activists bidding higher, demanding the world move faster to net zero.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"block-content\">\n<div class=\"styles__Container-sc-1ylecsg-0 goULFa\">But has anyone sat down and done the calculations on the physical requirements of completely retooling an industrial system that was built over more than 100 years on coal, oil and gas?<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"block-content\">\n<div class=\"styles__Container-sc-1ylecsg-0 goULFa\">Fossil fuel doesn&#8217;t just power electricity systems and run cars, it is embedded in the manufacture of steel, cement, plastic and the ammonia used to fertilise the world&#8217;s crops.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"advert\" data-ad-type=\"MEDIUM\" data-ad-loc=\"MOBILE\" data-ad-maxwidth=\"767\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"block-content\">\n<div class=\"styles__Container-sc-1ylecsg-0 goULFa\">Physicist and former Australian mining engineer associate professor Simon Michaux has spent years looking at the hard data on making this transition. He now works for the Geological Survey of Finland and set out to answer the question: what kinds of minerals and in what quantities will be required to supply the incoming lithium-ion battery factories of Europe?<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"block-content\">\n<div class=\"styles__Container-sc-1ylecsg-0 goULFa\">He then expanded his work to look at the size of the task of meeting the stated emissions reduction ambitions of the European Union, China and the United States. Take one example &#8211; what will it take to run the estimated global fleet of 1.416 billion vehicles on batteries when right now only 0.51 per cent of it is electric? And an electric car demands seven times the critical minerals of a conventional car.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"block-content\">\n<div class=\"styles__Container-sc-1ylecsg-0 goULFa\">In conversation with Nine News, Professor Michaux says he found there are not enough global mineral reserves to manufacture even the first generation of the planned non-fossil fuel industrial systems.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"block-content\">\n<div class=\"styles__Container-sc-1ylecsg-0 goULFa\">&#8220;The nature of the task in front of us &#8211; when we actually start looking at the numbers, the reality of what we are looking at &#8211; it&#8217;s simply not going to go as planned,&#8221; Professor Michaux says.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Getting real: It&#8217;s time to crunch the numbers on the transition from fossil fuels What is needed for a transition to a clean energy environment? Analysis:\u00a0We are used to hearing world leaders talk in blizzards of numbers about targets for cutting greenhouse gas emissions and activists bidding higher, demanding the world move faster to net [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[33306,33305,328,4579,674,31549],"class_list":["post-63931","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-energy-2","tag-9-news","tag-chris-uhlmann","tag-fossil-fuels","tag-minerals","tag-renewable-energy","tag-simon-michaux"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63931","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=63931"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63931\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":63932,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63931\/revisions\/63932"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=63931"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=63931"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=63931"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}