{"id":63872,"date":"2022-10-19T18:04:00","date_gmt":"2022-10-19T23:04:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=63872"},"modified":"2022-10-19T18:04:00","modified_gmt":"2022-10-19T23:04:00","slug":"will-global-warming-drive-us-extinct-a-review-of-peter-wards-under-a-green-sky","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=63872","title":{"rendered":"Will global warming drive us extinct? A review of Peter Ward\u2019s \u201cUnder a Green Sky\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3 class=\"entry-title\"><a title=\"Permalink to Will global warming drive us extinct? A review of Peter Ward\u2019s \u201cUnder a Green Sky\u201d\" href=\"https:\/\/energyskeptic.com\/2022\/will-global-warming-drive-us-extinct\/\" rel=\"bookmark\">Will global warming drive us extinct? A review of Peter Ward\u2019s \u201cUnder a Green Sky\u201d<\/a><\/h3>\n<div class=\"entry-content\">\n<p><strong>Preface<\/strong>. Thank goodness for\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/energyskeptic.com\/2022\/failing-oil-and-gas-companies-a-sign-of-peak-oil\/\">world peak oil production in 2018<\/a>. And peak coal in 2013. Since oil is that master resource that makes every product and activity possible, including oil itself and coal and natural gas, peak oil means peak everything.\u00a0 Oil, specifically the 25% of a barrel that\u2019s diesel, is used by nearly all heavy-duty trucks, locomotives, and ships. Petroleum and natural gas are the for 500,000 products. And fossils are essential for products needing high heat in their manufacture, like cement, steel, iron, glass, ceramics, microchips, bricks and more \u2014 there are no electric or hydrogen substitutes and with peak oil in 2018, no time to invent them.<\/p>\n<p>So I would argue we don\u2019t have enough fossil fuels left to reach the hothouse world Ward proposes.\u00a0 You might reply that tipping points have been or will be reached, methane from permafrost, the amazon rainforest turns into grass and so on.<\/p>\n<p>Sure, but there are negative feedback loops. Diatoms evolved about 100 million years ago and consumed so much CO2 they created the polar icecaps for the first time.\u00a0 They are doing very well with the increased CO2, dying, and sinking to the ocean floor in even greater numbers. Nor are\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/energyskeptic.com\/category\/energy\/methane-hydrates\/\">methane hydrates likely to ever be exploited<\/a>\u00a0or\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/energyskeptic.com\/2016\/methane-apocalypse-not-certain\/\">released all at once<\/a>.\u00a0 And see these posts about why we may\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/energyskeptic.com\/category\/fastcrash\/extinction-collapse\/but-not-from-climate-change-peak-fossil-fuels\/\">not be driven extinct by climate change<\/a>\u00a0and at worst reach\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/energyskeptic.com\/2015\/depletion-of-fossil-fuels-and-climate-change\/\">low-medium<\/a> IPCC projections.\u00a0 And CO2 rates in the Permian and other extinctions were as high as today\u2019s, so it\u2019s not true that what\u2019s happening now is unprecedented, and lasted for 10,000 to 20,000 years of volcanic pulses from deep in the earth, boiling their way to the surface via coal, natural gas and oil deposits&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>\u2026click on the above link to read the rest\u2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Will global warming drive us extinct? A review of Peter Ward\u2019s \u201cUnder a Green Sky\u201d Preface. Thank goodness for\u00a0world peak oil production in 2018. And peak coal in 2013. Since oil is that master resource that makes every product and activity possible, including oil itself and coal and natural gas, peak oil means peak everything.\u00a0 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,4],"tags":[11836,113,1004,11859,369,617,33284],"class_list":["post-63872","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-energy-2","category-environment","tag-alice-friedemann","tag-carbon-emissions","tag-co2","tag-energy-skeptic","tag-global-warming","tag-peak-oil","tag-peter-ward"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63872","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=63872"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63872\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":63873,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63872\/revisions\/63873"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=63872"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=63872"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=63872"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}