{"id":63655,"date":"2022-10-02T06:46:25","date_gmt":"2022-10-02T11:46:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=63655"},"modified":"2022-10-02T06:46:25","modified_gmt":"2022-10-02T11:46:25","slug":"the-war-has-just-begun","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=63655","title":{"rendered":"The War Has Just Begun"},"content":{"rendered":"
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The War Has Just Begun<\/a><\/h3>\n

The Winter of Yuri<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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\u201cYou should know, by and large, we haven\u2019t even started anything yet in earnest.\u201d<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

I have been attempting for several days to collect my thoughts on the Russo-Ukrainian War and condense them into another analysis piece, but my efforts were consistently frustrated by the war\u2019s stubborn refusal to sit still. After a slow, attritional grind for much of the summer, events have begun to accelerate, calling to mind a famous quip from Vladimir Lenin: \u201cThere are decades where nothing happens; and there are weeks where decades happen.\u201d<\/p>\n

This has been one of those weeks. It began with the commencement of referenda in four former Ukrainian oblasts to determine whether or not to join the Russian Federation, accompanied by Putin\u2019s announcement that reservists would be called up to augment the force deployment in Ukraine. Further excitement bubbled up from the Baltic seabed with the mysterious destruction of the Nordstream pipelines. Nuclear rumors circulate, and all the while the war on the ground continues.<\/p>\n

In all, it is clear that we are currently in the transitional period towards a new phase of the war, with higher Russian force deployment, expanded rules of engagement, and greater intensity looming. Season 2 of the Special Military Operation looms, and with it the Winter of Yuri:<\/p>\n

The Big Serge Pledge Special Military Operation, Season 2: The Winter of Yuri <\/a><\/p>\n