{"id":62080,"date":"2022-03-03T10:07:50","date_gmt":"2022-03-03T15:07:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=62080"},"modified":"2022-03-03T10:07:50","modified_gmt":"2022-03-03T15:07:50","slug":"opening-salvos-thrown-what-are-putins-next-steps-in-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=62080","title":{"rendered":"Opening Salvos Thrown \u2013 What Are Putin\u2019s Next Steps in Ukraine?"},"content":{"rendered":"<header class=\"post-header\">\n<h3 class=\"post-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/tomluongo.me\/2022\/03\/02\/opening-salvos-tossed-putin-next-moves-ukraine\/\">Opening Salvos Thrown \u2013 What Are Putin\u2019s Next Steps in Ukraine?<\/a><\/h3>\n<\/header>\n<figure class=\"post-image clear-fix\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"attachment-rowling-post-image size-rowling-post-image wp-post-image jetpack-lazy-image jetpack-lazy-image--handled\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/putin-e1533534178464.jpg?fit=816%2C397&amp;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"816\" height=\"397\" data-attachment-id=\"6830\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/tomluongo.me\/2018\/08\/06\/the-curious-case-of-bill-browder\/putin\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/putin-e1533534178464.jpg?fit=3411%2C1661&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"3411,1661\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Putin\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/putin-e1533534178464.jpg?fit=300%2C146&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/putin-e1533534178464.jpg?fit=616%2C300&amp;ssl=1\" data-lazy-loaded=\"1\" \/><\/figure>\n<div class=\"post-inner\">\n<div class=\"post-content\">\n<p>Last week I wrote that Russian President Vladimir Putin r<a href=\"https:\/\/tomluongo.me\/2022\/02\/25\/putin-ushers-in-the-new-geopolitical-game-board\/\">ewrote the rules for the geopolitical game board.<\/a>\u00a0A week into his campaign to officially \u201cdemilitarize and de-Nazify Ukraine\u201d it\u2019s clear to me that Putin\u2019s ambitions lie far beyond this stated goal.<\/p>\n<p>He will, however, stick to that script until that part of the campaign is complete.<\/p>\n<p>Today I want to start outlining where we go next and to do that we have to describe where we are.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/thesaker.is\/day-6-a-couple-of-quick-points\/\">Looking around the reports that are the most credible<\/a>\u00a0(and properly bracketing for any partisanship) we are staring at a complete, effective neutralization of the Ukrainian Armed Forces (UAF) to hold any of the ethnically-dominant areas of Ukraine.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-style-default\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-13871 jetpack-lazy-image jetpack-lazy-image--handled\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Ukraine-Siutation-March-1st-1024x794-1.png?resize=616%2C478&amp;ssl=1\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 616px) 100vw, 616px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Ukraine-Siutation-March-1st-1024x794-1.png?w=1024&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Ukraine-Siutation-March-1st-1024x794-1.png?resize=300%2C233&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Ukraine-Siutation-March-1st-1024x794-1.png?resize=150%2C116&amp;ssl=1 150w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Ukraine-Siutation-March-1st-1024x794-1.png?resize=768%2C596&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Ukraine-Siutation-March-1st-1024x794-1.png?resize=816%2C633&amp;ssl=1 816w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Ukraine-Siutation-March-1st-1024x794-1.png?resize=103%2C80&amp;ssl=1 103w\" alt=\"\" width=\"616\" height=\"478\" data-attachment-id=\"13871\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/tomluongo.me\/2022\/03\/02\/opening-salvos-tossed-putin-next-moves-ukraine\/ukraine-siutation-march-1st-1024x794-1\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Ukraine-Siutation-March-1st-1024x794-1.png?fit=1024%2C794&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1024,794\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Ukraine-Siutation-March-1st-1024\u00d7794-1\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Ukraine-Siutation-March-1st-1024x794-1.png?fit=300%2C233&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Ukraine-Siutation-March-1st-1024x794-1.png?fit=616%2C478&amp;ssl=1\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" data-lazy-loaded=\"1\" \/><\/figure>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.patreon.com\/posts\/63035049\">In a post for my patrons on February 25th<\/a>, responding to\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/how-ukraine-fits-global-jigsaw\">an excellent article by Alistair MacLeod<\/a>\u00a0I wrote the following:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\"><p><strong><em>MacLeod<\/em><\/strong>:\u00a0<strong>Both sides probably do not know how fragile the Eurozone banking system is,<\/strong>\u00a0<strong>with both the ECB and its national central bank shareholders already having liabilities greater than their assets. In other words, rising interest rates have broken the euro system and an economic and financial catastrophe on its eastern flank will probably trigger its collapse.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>I\u2019ve been banging my shoe on this table for 3 years now. \u00a0If the US\/NATO respond with some kind of guerilla war here to hang Ukraine like an albatross around Putin\u2019s neck, as we should expect, then Europe is in big trouble financially.<\/p>\n<p>Because the financial war will keep escalating as Putin responds militarily. \u00a0Remember, he\u2019s openly threatened the \u2018decision makers\u2019 here. \u00a0And no amount of mealy-mouthed CIA\/MI6 disinformation will deter him from action anymore.<\/p>\n<p>This is always what I meant by \u201cspooks start civil wars, militaries end them.\u201d \u00a0There is no more War for Ukraine.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>I still believe that. This isn\u2019t a war for Ukraine, it\u2019s a war for the future of the entire world. Ukraine represents the hill both\u00a0<em>Davos<\/em>\u00a0and Russia have chosen to live or die on.<\/p>\n<p>\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Opening Salvos Thrown \u2013 What Are Putin\u2019s Next Steps in Ukraine? Last week I wrote that Russian President Vladimir Putin rewrote the rules for the geopolitical game board.\u00a0A week into his campaign to officially \u201cdemilitarize and de-Nazify Ukraine\u201d it\u2019s clear to me that Putin\u2019s ambitions lie far beyond this stated goal. He will, however, stick [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[20914,694,16963,821,857,862],"class_list":["post-62080","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-geopolitics","tag-gold-goats-n-guns","tag-russia","tag-tom-luongo","tag-ukraine","tag-vladimir-putin","tag-war"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62080","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=62080"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62080\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":62081,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62080\/revisions\/62081"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=62080"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=62080"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=62080"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}