{"id":60855,"date":"2021-12-10T06:29:56","date_gmt":"2021-12-10T11:29:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=60855"},"modified":"2021-12-10T06:29:56","modified_gmt":"2021-12-10T11:29:56","slug":"potential-polar-vortex-event-could-spark-bullish-reversal-in-natgas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=60855","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;Potential Polar Vortex Event&#8221; Could Spark Bullish Reversal In NatGas\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<header class=\"ArticleFull_header__11o5_\">\n<h3 class=\"ArticleFull_title__2cUI6\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/weather\/probability-rising-polar-vortex-january-could-lead-bullish-natgas-setup\">&#8220;Potential Polar Vortex Event&#8221; Could Spark Bullish Reversal In NatGas\u00a0<\/a><\/h3>\n<\/header>\n<div class=\"NodeContent_mainContent__38L44\">\n<div class=\"NodeContent_body__2clki NodeBody_container__1M6aJ\">\n<p>Since mid-October, U.S. natural gas futures have been beaten down 40%\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/commodities\/natgas-widowmaker-spread-collapses-hits-20-month-low\">as the narrative<\/a>\u00a0of colder weather and tight supplies quickly flipped and crushed bullish traders. As the Northern Hemisphere winter is less than two weeks away, new weather models suggest &#8220;significantly colder&#8221; temperatures could return for parts of the U.S. later this month into early 2022.<\/p>\n<p>Meteorologists at private weather forecasting firm\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/bamwx.com\/\">BAMWX<\/a>\u00a0expect a bullish setup for natgas futures. They say the narrative is flipping from warmer weather to the complete opposite as an Arctic polar vortex could plunge parts of the U.S. into a much colder weather pattern in January than today&#8217;s currently mild, above-trend temperatures.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Seeing an interesting pattern developing ahead leading up to Christmas and into early January &#8217;22, as higher pressure looks to finally re-establish towards Alaska and the North Atlantic, pushing cold from the Arctic down into the US (after a record warm start to the month). If the MJO (Madden-Julian Oscillation) can continue to progress through phase 7 into 8 (and possibly into 1) mid to late December, this can also\u00a0<strong>increase the potential for a Polar Vortex displacement event, sending more consistent cold air deeper into the US\u2026a\u00a0<u>big risk to watch for the energy markets ahead<\/u><\/strong>,&#8221;\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Met_khinz\">Kirk Hinz, the chief meteorologist at BAMWX<\/a>, noted.\u00a0<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>BAMWX outlines now could be the time to find a long entry into natgas futures, or as they put it, &#8220;long UNG,&#8221; the United States Natural Gas Fund, LP. ETF. Their reasoning behind the play is quite simple:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em><strong>Long UNG Equity, Why? Polar Vortex Jan 2022 Northeast<\/strong> &#8211; Front-month NG1 40% drawdown in 6 weeks &#8211; Things can change on a dime but the setup is very good in our view &#8211; When you get a nice &#8211; healthy- capitulation &#8230;<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;Potential Polar Vortex Event&#8221; Could Spark Bullish Reversal In NatGas\u00a0 Since mid-October, U.S. natural gas futures have been beaten down 40%\u00a0as the narrative\u00a0of colder weather and tight supplies quickly flipped and crushed bullish traders. As the Northern Hemisphere winter is less than two weeks away, new weather models suggest &#8220;significantly colder&#8221; temperatures could return for [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,4],"tags":[17653,1164,1148,4318],"class_list":["post-60855","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-energy-2","category-environment","tag-natural-gas-price","tag-north-america","tag-polar-vortex","tag-zerohedge"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60855","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=60855"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60855\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":60856,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60855\/revisions\/60856"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=60855"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=60855"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=60855"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}