{"id":60330,"date":"2021-11-07T07:20:51","date_gmt":"2021-11-07T12:20:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=60330"},"modified":"2021-11-07T07:20:51","modified_gmt":"2021-11-07T12:20:51","slug":"zero-carbon-sooner-revised-case-for-an-early-zero-carbon-target-for-the-uk","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=60330","title":{"rendered":"Zero Carbon Sooner\u2014Revised case for an early zero carbon target for the UK"},"content":{"rendered":"

Zero Carbon Sooner\u2014Revised case for an early zero carbon target for the UK<\/a><\/h3>\n
\"\"<\/p>\n

Cover image: Anthony Gormley\u2019s \u2018Another Place\u2019 in Liverpool; photographed by\u00a0Donald Judge \/ flickr.com<\/a>\u00a0(CC-BY 2.0<\/a>); modified<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Summary<\/strong><\/p>\n

This paper is an update of an earlier briefing note[1]<\/a>, revised to take account of new findings from the IPCC\u2019s updated 6th<\/sup>\u00a0Assessment Report (AR6). The broad aim of the paper is to establish how soon the UK should aim for (net) zero carbon emissions. The paper first derives a \u2018fair remaining carbon budget\u2019 for the UK. It then analyses a variety of emission pathways and target dates for their adequacy in terms of remaining within this budget.<\/p>\n

A first key finding is that a target date for zero carbon is not sufficient in itself to determine whether the UK remains within its carbon budget. Policy must specify both a target date and an associated emissions pathway. A second key finding is that the sufficiency of these targets and pathways depends crucially on whether emissions are accounted for on a \u2018territorial\u2019 basis or on a \u2018consumption\u2019 basis.<\/p>\n

For a linear reduction pathway not to exceed the remaining carbon budget the net zero target year would have to be between 2027 and 2032, depending on the accounting framework. For a target year of 2050, the average rate of emission reductions must lie in the range 17-27% if the UK\u2019s fair budget is not to be exceeded. As measured on a consumption basis, these rates would require absolute reductions approaching 95% of current carbon emissions as early as 2030. Consequently, this paper argues in favour of setting a UK target for net zero carbon emissions no later than 2035, with a maximum of around 5% of the mitigation effort achieved through negative emission technologies.<\/p>\n

\n

Download<\/strong><\/p>\n

The full working paper is available for\u00a0download in pdf<\/a> (1.4MB). | Jackson T 2021. Zero Carbon Sooner…<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Zero Carbon Sooner\u2014Revised case for an early zero carbon target for the UK Cover image: Anthony Gormley\u2019s \u2018Another Place\u2019 in Liverpool; photographed by\u00a0Donald Judge \/ flickr.com\u00a0(CC-BY 2.0); modified Summary This paper is an update of an earlier briefing note[1], revised to take account of new findings from the IPCC\u2019s updated 6th\u00a0Assessment Report (AR6). The broad […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[113,20783,141,2956,15672,820,2080,5446],"class_list":["post-60330","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-environment","tag-carbon-emissions","tag-centre-for-understanding-sustainable-prosperity","tag-climate-change","tag-climate-science","tag-tim-jackson","tag-uk","tag-united-kingdom","tag-zero-carbon"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60330","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=60330"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60330\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":60331,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60330\/revisions\/60331"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=60330"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=60330"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=60330"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}