{"id":59394,"date":"2021-09-19T18:40:24","date_gmt":"2021-09-19T23:40:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=59394"},"modified":"2021-09-19T18:40:24","modified_gmt":"2021-09-19T23:40:24","slug":"former-lehman-trader-on-chinas-lehman-moment","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=59394","title":{"rendered":"Former Lehman Trader On &#8220;China&#8217;s Lehman Moment&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<header class=\"ArticleFull_header__11o5_\">\n<h3 class=\"ArticleFull_title__2cUI6\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/markets\/former-lehman-trader-chinas-lehman-moment\">Former Lehman Trader On &#8220;China&#8217;s Lehman Moment&#8221;<\/a><\/h3>\n<\/header>\n<div class=\"NodeContent_mainContent__38L44\">\n<div class=\"NodeContent_body__2clki NodeBody_container__1M6aJ\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/13-year-yesterday-wow.jpg?itok=71AC2b8a\" data-image-external-href=\"\" data-image-href=\"\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/13-year-yesterday-wow.jpg?itok=71AC2b8a\" data-link-option=\"0\"><picture><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"inline-images image-style-inline-images\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.zerohedge.com\/s3fs-public\/styles\/inline_image_mobile\/public\/inline-images\/13-year-yesterday-wow.jpg?itok=71AC2b8a\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"784\" data-entity-type=\"file\" data-entity-uuid=\"13bf0e65-cf55-4c0a-a4b8-98a10f15593a\" data-responsive-image-style=\"inline_images\" \/><\/picture><\/a><\/p>\n<p>My name is Larry McDonald, that is the UK cover above. In the years before the failure of Lehman Brothers, I ran a successful distressed credit business at what was the 4th largest investment bank in the U.S. \u2013 becoming one of the most consistently profitable traders in the fixed income division. In late 2008, early 2009 \u2013 with Patrick Robinson, we penned \u201c<strong>A Colossal Failure of Common Sense<\/strong>\u201d \u2013 the Lehman Brothers inside story. At least once a month, I tell my wife while wearing a hopeful smile \u2014<strong>\u201cif we sell a million books \u2014 we\u00b4ll break even on our Lehman stock.\u201d<\/strong> On September 15, 2008 \u2013 it all came crashing down in the largest bankruptcy in U.S. history. Known as, \u201cthe week that changed the world,\u201d a very painful experience indeed. I was down on the mat looking up at the referee as he delivered the count. It was one of those fateful moments most of us face. Staring into the abyss, drenched in blood-curdling uncertainty, there are times in life when we must get up. Even when it looks like all is lost in a valley of no hope.\u00a0 Ultimately, the lucky ones learn there are valuable lessons in re-invention. The last 13 years have been a breath of fresh air.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Life&#8217;s Lessons<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>One of the important lessons in our book comes down to how to use leading credit risk indicators? In the 2007-2010 period, the global credit risk epicenter was obviously inside the US. In the 2011-2013 period, Europe\u00b4s banks were the focus during the Grexit panic. In recent years, Asia has become far more interesting, a new epicenter has been formed.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/bank%20cds.jpg?itok=gnm4Vj6O\" data-image-external-href=\"\" data-image-href=\"\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/bank%20cds.jpg?itok=gnm4Vj6O\" data-link-option=\"0\"><picture><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"inline-images image-style-inline-images\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.zerohedge.com\/s3fs-public\/styles\/inline_image_mobile\/public\/inline-images\/bank%20cds.jpg?itok=gnm4Vj6O\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"267\" data-entity-type=\"file\" data-entity-uuid=\"50a617cd-65b2-4607-8af6-86e114aed45d\" data-responsive-image-style=\"inline_images\" \/><\/picture><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Former Lehman Trader On &#8220;China&#8217;s Lehman Moment&#8221; My name is Larry McDonald, that is the UK cover above. In the years before the failure of Lehman Brothers, I ran a successful distressed credit business at what was the 4th largest investment bank in the U.S. \u2013 becoming one of the most consistently profitable traders in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[130,312,29671,690,4318],"class_list":["post-59394","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-china","tag-financial-crisis","tag-larry-mcdonald","tag-risk","tag-zerohedge"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59394","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=59394"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59394\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=59394"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=59394"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=59394"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}