{"id":58813,"date":"2021-07-29T16:08:59","date_gmt":"2021-07-29T21:08:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=58813"},"modified":"2021-07-29T16:08:59","modified_gmt":"2021-07-29T21:08:59","slug":"game-over","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=58813","title":{"rendered":"Game Over"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3 class=\"title\"><a href=\"http:\/\/\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026\">Game Over<\/a><\/h3>\n<section class=\"entry\"><a href=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/GAME-OVER.png?ssl=1\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-102674 alignright\" src=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/GAME-OVER.png?resize=242%2C130&amp;ssl=1\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 242px) 100vw, 242px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/GAME-OVER.png?resize=300%2C161&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/GAME-OVER.png?resize=1024%2C549&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/GAME-OVER.png?resize=150%2C80&amp;ssl=1 150w, https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/GAME-OVER.png?resize=768%2C412&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/GAME-OVER.png?w=1060&amp;ssl=1 1060w\" alt=\"\" width=\"242\" height=\"130\" data-attachment-id=\"102674\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/northmantrader.com\/2021\/07\/29\/game-over-5\/game-over-5\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/GAME-OVER.png?fit=1060%2C568&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1060,568\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"GAME OVER\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/GAME-OVER.png?fit=300%2C161&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/GAME-OVER.png?fit=639%2C343&amp;ssl=1\" \/><\/a>Game over. Occam\u2019s Razor: The simplest explanation is often the best one. Central banks will never extract themselves. Whether they ultimately end QE is besides the point. They won\u2019t reduce their balance sheets. They can\u2019t. Powell\u2019s \u201cperformance\u201d yesterday was not an accident. He\u2019s been running on the same theme of offering absolutely zero specifics. Why? 3 reasons: 1. There are none as there is no plan. 2. To maintain flexibility and not to be held accountable or anything 3. To not upset markets.<\/p>\n<p>We saw this recently when he actually got challenged on MBS and QE. He couldn\u2019t and wouldn\u2019t offer a rationale as to what is actually economically accomplished by it:<\/p>\n<div class=\"twitter-tweet twitter-tweet-rendered\"><iframe id=\"twitter-widget-0\" class=\"\" title=\"Twitter Tweet\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/embed\/Tweet.html?dnt=false&amp;embedId=twitter-widget-0&amp;features=eyJ0ZndfZXhwZXJpbWVudHNfY29va2llX2V4cGlyYXRpb24iOnsiYnVja2V0IjoxMjA5NjAwLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfSwidGZ3X2hvcml6b25fdHdlZXRfZW1iZWRfOTU1NSI6eyJidWNrZXQiOiJodGUiLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfSwidGZ3X3NwYWNlX2NhcmQiOnsiYnVja2V0Ijoib2ZmIiwidmVyc2lvbiI6bnVsbH19&amp;frame=false&amp;hideCard=false&amp;hideThread=true&amp;id=1415361023901589514&amp;lang=en&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Fnorthmantrader.com%2F2021%2F07%2F29%2Fgame-over-5%2F&amp;sessionId=add0db4319279854601c06df0c5d46b7b1f5d9e3&amp;siteScreenName=northmantrader&amp;theme=light&amp;widgetsVersion=82e1070%3A1619632193066&amp;width=550px\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-tweet-id=\"1415361023901589514\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Yesterday he clarified his \u201ctransitory\u201d definition :<\/p>\n<div id=\"north-136183983\" class=\"north-content_6\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"twitter-tweet twitter-tweet-rendered\"><iframe id=\"twitter-widget-1\" class=\"\" title=\"Twitter Tweet\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/embed\/Tweet.html?dnt=false&amp;embedId=twitter-widget-1&amp;features=eyJ0ZndfZXhwZXJpbWVudHNfY29va2llX2V4cGlyYXRpb24iOnsiYnVja2V0IjoxMjA5NjAwLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfSwidGZ3X2hvcml6b25fdHdlZXRfZW1iZWRfOTU1NSI6eyJidWNrZXQiOiJodGUiLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfSwidGZ3X3NwYWNlX2NhcmQiOnsiYnVja2V0Ijoib2ZmIiwidmVyc2lvbiI6bnVsbH19&amp;frame=false&amp;hideCard=false&amp;hideThread=false&amp;id=1420479137836376066&amp;lang=en&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Fnorthmantrader.com%2F2021%2F07%2F29%2Fgame-over-5%2F&amp;sessionId=add0db4319279854601c06df0c5d46b7b1f5d9e3&amp;siteScreenName=northmantrader&amp;theme=light&amp;widgetsVersion=82e1070%3A1619632193066&amp;width=550px\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-tweet-id=\"1420479137836376066\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>More importantly:<\/p>\n<div class=\"twitter-tweet twitter-tweet-rendered\"><iframe id=\"twitter-widget-2\" class=\"\" title=\"Twitter Tweet\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/embed\/Tweet.html?dnt=false&amp;embedId=twitter-widget-2&amp;features=eyJ0ZndfZXhwZXJpbWVudHNfY29va2llX2V4cGlyYXRpb24iOnsiYnVja2V0IjoxMjA5NjAwLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfSwidGZ3X2hvcml6b25fdHdlZXRfZW1iZWRfOTU1NSI6eyJidWNrZXQiOiJodGUiLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfSwidGZ3X3NwYWNlX2NhcmQiOnsiYnVja2V0Ijoib2ZmIiwidmVyc2lvbiI6bnVsbH19&amp;frame=false&amp;hideCard=false&amp;hideThread=false&amp;id=1420456655091867652&amp;lang=en&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Fnorthmantrader.com%2F2021%2F07%2F29%2Fgame-over-5%2F&amp;sessionId=add0db4319279854601c06df0c5d46b7b1f5d9e3&amp;siteScreenName=northmantrader&amp;theme=light&amp;widgetsVersion=82e1070%3A1619632193066&amp;width=550px\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-tweet-id=\"1420456655091867652\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>He doesn\u2019t know. And why would he? There is zero precedent for this much combined liquidity from the fiscal and monetary side along with a rapid economic reopening with consumers\u2019 pockets stuffed with free money from the government.<\/p>\n<p>To inflate the stocks market and the housing market was the goal. The Bernanke script:<\/p>\n<div id=\"north-1773976276\" class=\"north-content\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"twitter-tweet twitter-tweet-rendered\"><iframe id=\"twitter-widget-3\" class=\"\" title=\"Twitter Tweet\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/embed\/Tweet.html?dnt=false&amp;embedId=twitter-widget-3&amp;features=eyJ0ZndfZXhwZXJpbWVudHNfY29va2llX2V4cGlyYXRpb24iOnsiYnVja2V0IjoxMjA5NjAwLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfSwidGZ3X2hvcml6b25fdHdlZXRfZW1iZWRfOTU1NSI6eyJidWNrZXQiOiJodGUiLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfSwidGZ3X3NwYWNlX2NhcmQiOnsiYnVja2V0Ijoib2ZmIiwidmVyc2lvbiI6bnVsbH19&amp;frame=false&amp;hideCard=false&amp;hideThread=false&amp;id=1419641533381369856&amp;lang=en&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Fnorthmantrader.com%2F2021%2F07%2F29%2Fgame-over-5%2F&amp;sessionId=add0db4319279854601c06df0c5d46b7b1f5d9e3&amp;siteScreenName=northmantrader&amp;theme=light&amp;widgetsVersion=82e1070%3A1619632193066&amp;width=550px\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-tweet-id=\"1419641533381369856\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Now the bubble has gotten so large they can\u2019t risk anything popping it:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/GDP-1.png?ssl=1\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium_large wp-image-102648\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/GDP-1.png?resize=639%2C367&amp;ssl=1\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 639px) 100vw, 639px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/GDP-1.png?resize=768%2C441&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/GDP-1.png?resize=300%2C172&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/GDP-1.png?resize=1024%2C588&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/GDP-1.png?resize=150%2C86&amp;ssl=1 150w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/GDP-1.png?resize=1536%2C882&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/GDP-1.png?resize=1200%2C689&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/GDP-1.png?w=1540&amp;ssl=1 1540w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/GDP-1.png?w=1278&amp;ssl=1 1278w\" alt=\"\" width=\"526\" height=\"302\" data-attachment-id=\"102648\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/northmantrader.com\/2021\/07\/29\/daily-market-brief-294\/gdp-91\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/GDP-1.png?fit=1540%2C884&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1540,884\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"GDP\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/GDP-1.png?fit=300%2C172&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/northmantrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/GDP-1.png?fit=639%2C367&amp;ssl=1\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Why? Because popping the largest asset bubble ever would result in a catastrophic reset, not only a recession, but a depression.<\/p>\n<p>The reality is debt levels have so exploded in the past 13 years any pre GFC type interest rates (which were historically low back then) would collapse the entire system. They know it. I know it, you know it. The entire system is predicated on debt expansion and cheap money to sustain it. That\u2019s it.<\/p>\n<p>This is the only choice:<\/p>\n<p>\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n<\/section>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Game Over Game over. Occam\u2019s Razor: The simplest explanation is often the best one. Central banks will never extract themselves. Whether they ultimately end QE is besides the point. They won\u2019t reduce their balance sheets. They can\u2019t. Powell\u2019s \u201cperformance\u201d yesterday was not an accident. He\u2019s been running on the same theme of offering absolutely zero [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[7542,661,662,23808,3650],"class_list":["post-58813","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-northman-trader","tag-qe","tag-quantitative-easing","tag-sven-henrich","tag-us-federal-reserve"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58813","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=58813"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58813\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=58813"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=58813"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=58813"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}