{"id":57978,"date":"2021-05-22T06:51:37","date_gmt":"2021-05-22T11:51:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=57978"},"modified":"2021-05-22T06:51:37","modified_gmt":"2021-05-22T11:51:37","slug":"collapse-think-of-collapse-as-a-drastic-and-chaotic-reduction-in-energy-and-resource-use","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=57978","title":{"rendered":"COLLAPSE! \u2014 Think of collapse as a drastic and chaotic reduction in energy and resource\u00a0use"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3 class=\"entry-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/citizenactionmonitor.wordpress.com\/2021\/05\/21\/collapse-think-of-collapse-as-a-drastic-and-chaotic-reduction-in-energy-and-resource-use\/\">COLLAPSE! \u2014 Think of collapse as a drastic and chaotic reduction in energy and resource\u00a0use<\/a><\/h3>\n<p><strong>\u201c\u2026 my fundamentally conservative core requires a default position that collapse is the most likely outcome,\u201d says physicist Tom Murphy. \u2014<\/strong><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_21572\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\" data-shortcode=\"caption\"><a href=\"https:\/\/citizenactionmonitor.files.wordpress.com\/2021\/05\/tom-murphy.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-21572\" src=\"https:\/\/citizenactionmonitor.files.wordpress.com\/2021\/05\/tom-murphy.jpg?w=547\" sizes=\"(max-width: 177px) 100vw, 177px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/citizenactionmonitor.files.wordpress.com\/2021\/05\/tom-murphy.jpg 177w, https:\/\/citizenactionmonitor.files.wordpress.com\/2021\/05\/tom-murphy.jpg?w=142 142w\" alt=\"\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-21572\" data-attachment-id=\"21572\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/citizenactionmonitor.wordpress.com\/2021\/05\/03\/our-rapid-ascent-in-energy-and-resource-use-has-distorted-our-view-of-normal\/tom-murphy-2\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/citizenactionmonitor.files.wordpress.com\/2021\/05\/tom-murphy.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"177,187\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Tom Murphy\" data-image-description=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/citizenactionmonitor.files.wordpress.com\/2021\/05\/tom-murphy.jpg?w=177\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/citizenactionmonitor.files.wordpress.com\/2021\/05\/tom-murphy.jpg?w=177\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-21572\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Tom Murphy<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><em>\u201cThe first thing I should say is that the word \u2018collapse\u2019 freaks me out. I don\u2019t use it often, for fear of sounding like an unhinged alarmist. Surely, respectable scientists should want nothing to do with it\u2026. What keeps pulling me back to it \u2014 despite my innate repulsion \u2014 is not only credible elements of risk that I will get to in this post, but also that I think it\u2019s too important to tolerate our natural tendency to hide from the prospect. Ironically, doing so only raises the odds of that ill fate: mitigation requires direct acknowledgment. Failure to speak openly and honestly about the less-than-remote possibility of collapse is not in our best interest, ultimately. So let\u2019s grit our teeth and confront the collapse monster.\u00a0<strong>What conditions make it at once likely and off most people\u2019s radars?<\/strong>\u00a0<strong>It is a heavy lift for one blog post to do a complete job in motivating collapse as a realistic outcome of the human enterprise. Any one argument can be picked at, but the totality should be considered. This is a long post,<\/strong>\u00a0<strong>so buckle up.<\/strong>\u00a0For the purposes of this post, we can think of collapse as a drastic and probably chaotic reduction in energy and resource use per person, the result looking primitive by today\u2019s standards.\u201d<\/em>\u00a0\u2014<strong>Tom Murphy<\/strong>, Do the Math<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/citizenactionmonitor.files.wordpress.com\/2021\/05\/collapse.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-21673\" src=\"https:\/\/citizenactionmonitor.files.wordpress.com\/2021\/05\/collapse.jpg?w=547\" sizes=\"(max-width: 357px) 100vw, 357px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/citizenactionmonitor.files.wordpress.com\/2021\/05\/collapse.jpg 357w, https:\/\/citizenactionmonitor.files.wordpress.com\/2021\/05\/collapse.jpg?w=150 150w, https:\/\/citizenactionmonitor.files.wordpress.com\/2021\/05\/collapse.jpg?w=300 300w\" alt=\"\" data-attachment-id=\"21673\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/citizenactionmonitor.wordpress.com\/2021\/05\/21\/collapse-think-of-collapse-as-a-drastic-and-chaotic-reduction-in-energy-and-resource-use\/collapse-5\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/citizenactionmonitor.files.wordpress.com\/2021\/05\/collapse.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"357,290\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;Frank White&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;1621607020&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Collapse\" data-image-description=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/citizenactionmonitor.files.wordpress.com\/2021\/05\/collapse.jpg?w=300\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/citizenactionmonitor.files.wordpress.com\/2021\/05\/collapse.jpg?w=357\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Tom Murphy is an associate professor of physics at the University of California, San Diego. Murphy\u2019s keen interest in energy topics began with his teaching a course on energy and the environment for non-science majors at UCSD&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>COLLAPSE! \u2014 Think of collapse as a drastic and chaotic reduction in energy and resource\u00a0use \u201c\u2026 my fundamentally conservative core requires a default position that collapse is the most likely outcome,\u201d says physicist Tom Murphy. \u2014 Tom Murphy \u201cThe first thing I should say is that the word \u2018collapse\u2019 freaks me out. I don\u2019t use [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,3,7],"tags":[30675,150,681,690,31103],"class_list":["post-57978","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","category-energy-2","category-survival-2","tag-citizen-action-monitor","tag-collapse","tag-resources","tag-risk","tag-tom-murphy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57978","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=57978"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57978\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":57979,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57978\/revisions\/57979"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=57978"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=57978"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=57978"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}