{"id":57798,"date":"2021-05-12T06:33:25","date_gmt":"2021-05-12T11:33:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=57798"},"modified":"2021-05-12T06:33:25","modified_gmt":"2021-05-12T11:33:25","slug":"dissenters-unite","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=57798","title":{"rendered":"Dissenters, Unite!"},"content":{"rendered":"<header class=\"page-header\">\n<h3 class=\"entry-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.aier.org\/article\/dissenters-unite\/\">Dissenters, Unite!<\/a><\/h3>\n<\/header>\n<div class=\"page-content\">\n<div class=\"article-body row\">\n<div class=\"col-md-8\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-97091 lazyloaded\" src=\"https:\/\/www.aier.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/freethinker-800x508.jpg\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.aier.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/freethinker-800x508.jpg 800w, https:\/\/www.aier.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/freethinker-400x254.jpg 400w, https:\/\/www.aier.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/freethinker-768x488.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.aier.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/freethinker-1536x975.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.aier.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/freethinker-300x190.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.aier.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/freethinker-1200x762.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/www.aier.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/freethinker.jpg 2048w\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"508\" data-ll-status=\"loaded\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>Being contrarian is hard work. You need to withstand ridicule, the loss of friends, employment, and acquaintances, face the imminent possibility that\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/authory.com\/JoakimBook\/The-Paradox-of-Prediction\">most of the time<\/a>\u00a0you\u2019ll be\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.aier.org\/article\/if-you-are-early-you-are-wrong\/\">wrong<\/a>, and abandon the warm fuzzy feeling of having your otherwise friendly peers confirming your bias.<\/p>\n<p>Yet, authentic critics are crucially important, even if (and when) they are wrong. When at least some of us speak out against what is the prevailing wisdom on any given topic, we break the numbing spell that majorities have over groups. We temper extremities, flush out the overlooked assumptions in the majoritarian take, and encourage better decision-making.<\/p>\n<p>Consensus, contrary to the \u201cscience is settled\u201d mantra of\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.aier.org\/article\/climate-alarmism-reconsidered\/\">climate change<\/a>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.aier.org\/article\/the-real-reason-nobody-takes-environmental-activists-seriously\/\">activists<\/a>\u00a0and affectatious\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.aier.org\/article\/the-covid-19-emergency-did-not-justify-lockdowns\/\">Covid pushers<\/a>\u00a0alike, is\u00a0<em>not<\/em>\u00a0desirable. At least according to U.C. Berkeley psychologist Charlan Nemeth, who, in her 2018 book\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.basicbooks.com\/titles\/charlan-jeanne-nemeth\/in-defense-of-troublemakers\/9780465096305\/\"><em>In Defense of Troublemakers: The Power of Dissent in Life and Business<\/em><\/a>,<em>\u00a0<\/em>summarizes research into majorities and minorities, consensus and dissent.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s not a pretty view for those who think bashing wrong-thinkers into silence and reeducating those with the wrong disposition are the treasured fights of our times. In very accessible chapters, Nemeth takes us through detailed analysis of how the lone dissenter in\u00a0<em>12 Angry Men<\/em> could persuade a powerful majority opting for a guilty verdict (majorities persuade quickly and in numbers; minorities quietly and through persistence); we get a comparison between the JFK administration\u2019s internal information-processing in the Bay of Pigs disaster in 1961 and the more balanced and nuanced approach to the Cuban Missile Crisis the following year; we have a brief look at Edward Snowden and the gradual shift of him from a careless criminal to a courageous whistleblower.<\/p>\n<p>\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dissenters, Unite! Being contrarian is hard work. You need to withstand ridicule, the loss of friends, employment, and acquaintances, face the imminent possibility that\u00a0most of the time\u00a0you\u2019ll be\u00a0wrong, and abandon the warm fuzzy feeling of having your otherwise friendly peers confirming your bias. Yet, authentic critics are crucially important, even if (and when) they are [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[23346,23347,7178,3484,24467],"class_list":["post-57798","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-liberty","tag-aier","tag-american-institute-for-economic-research","tag-contrarianism","tag-dissent","tag-joakim-book"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57798","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=57798"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57798\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":57799,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57798\/revisions\/57799"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=57798"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=57798"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=57798"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}