{"id":57674,"date":"2021-05-05T06:23:03","date_gmt":"2021-05-05T11:23:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=57674"},"modified":"2021-05-05T06:23:03","modified_gmt":"2021-05-05T11:23:03","slug":"supply-v-demand-does-it-always-work","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=57674","title":{"rendered":"Supply v Demand \u2013 Does It Always Work?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"pageTitle blogTitle\">\n<h3><a href=\"https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/markets-by-sector\/agriculture\/supply-v-demand-does-it-always-work\/\">Supply v Demand \u2013 Does It Always Work?<\/a><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mainContent\">\n<div class=\"contentWrap\">\n<div class=\"theContent\">\n<div class=\"heateorSssClear\"><\/div>\n<p><a class=\"fancybox image\" href=\"https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/Dominoes-cause_and_effect_800_clr_4361.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-85898 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/Dominoes-cause_and_effect_800_clr_4361.png\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 567px) 100vw, 567px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/Dominoes-cause_and_effect_800_clr_4361.png 800w, https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/Dominoes-cause_and_effect_800_clr_4361-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/Dominoes-cause_and_effect_800_clr_4361-768x576.png 768w, https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/Dominoes-cause_and_effect_800_clr_4361-600x450.png 600w\" alt=\"\" width=\"567\" height=\"425\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>QUESTION:<\/strong>\u00a0Mr. Armstrong, You say that wheat fell during the Great Depression during the Dust Bowl when supply would have declined. This makes no sense. Would you address that question?<\/p>\n<p>KL<\/p>\n<p><strong>ANSWER:<\/strong>\u00a0Your problem is typical in analysis. It appears that 99% of the people always try to reduce some event to a single cause and effect. Everything is connected like a line of dominoes. You are not just pushing over a single one. The action has a ripple effect that moves through the entire world economy and is not even restricted to a single nation.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"fancybox image\" href=\"https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/WHCBT-W-1931-Sovereign-Debt-Crisis.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-131607 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/WHCBT-W-1931-Sovereign-Debt-Crisis.png\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 636px) 100vw, 636px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/WHCBT-W-1931-Sovereign-Debt-Crisis.png 636w, https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/WHCBT-W-1931-Sovereign-Debt-Crisis-300x228.png 300w, https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/WHCBT-W-1931-Sovereign-Debt-Crisis-600x457.png 600w\" alt=\"\" width=\"636\" height=\"484\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>I do not make stuff up to try to prove a point. I have been curious to discover how things really work. When I say we have the largest database in the world, I am not joking. Just as I have been a collector of various things, that includes data. It is easy to find a yearly chart of wheat, but not daily or weekly during that period. Here is how wheat responded during the Great Depression on a weekly basis. Note that it peaked about 4 weeks before the stock market. Then you see a huge gap down in 1931.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"fancybox image\" href=\"https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/1931_GB-Abandons-Gold-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-43721 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/1931_GB-Abandons-Gold-1.jpg\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 620px) 100vw, 620px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/1931_GB-Abandons-Gold-1.jpg 620w, https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/1931_GB-Abandons-Gold-1-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/1931_GB-Abandons-Gold-1-600x450.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/02\/1931_GB-Abandons-Gold-1-180x135.jpg 180w\" alt=\"\" width=\"620\" height=\"465\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>This was caused by the wholesale defaults of just about every nation. Some went into a moratorium and suspended payments on their debt like Britain. But most outright defaulted and you can buy their bonds usually on eBay.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"fancybox image\" href=\"https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/19002140.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-87544 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/19002140.jpg\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/19002140.jpg 640w, https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/19002140-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/05\/19002140-600x450.jpg 600w\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"480\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Here is the impact of the 1931 Sovereign Debt Crisis. The dollar soared on our index from roughly the 112 level to nearly 160. That was high which exceeded even World War I levels. That illustrates just how high the dollar rallied. Because wheat was priced in dollars, it fell in terms of dollars while rising in terms of other currencies because of their defaults.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"fancybox image\" href=\"https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/Fed-Raises-Rates-1931.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-70179 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/Fed-Raises-Rates-1931.jpg\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 624px) 100vw, 624px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/Fed-Raises-Rates-1931.jpg 624w, https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/Fed-Raises-Rates-1931-300x232.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/Fed-Raises-Rates-1931-180x139.jpg 180w, https:\/\/www.armstrongeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/Fed-Raises-Rates-1931-600x463.jpg 600w\" alt=\"\" width=\"624\" height=\"482\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Supply v Demand \u2013 Does It Always Work? QUESTION:\u00a0Mr. Armstrong, You say that wheat fell during the Great Depression during the Dust Bowl when supply would have declined. This makes no sense. Would you address that question? KL ANSWER:\u00a0Your problem is typical in analysis. It appears that 99% of the people always try to reduce [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[5496,20762,154,5479,24512,30926],"class_list":["post-57674","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-armstrong-economics","tag-cause-and-effect","tag-complexity","tag-martin-armstrong","tag-simplification","tag-supply-vs-demand"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57674","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=57674"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57674\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":57675,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57674\/revisions\/57675"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=57674"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=57674"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=57674"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}