{"id":56369,"date":"2021-01-08T09:52:40","date_gmt":"2021-01-08T14:52:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=56369"},"modified":"2021-01-08T10:43:31","modified_gmt":"2021-01-08T15:43:31","slug":"lance-roberts-gmos-jeremy-grantham-is-correct-theres-an-epic-bubble-in-stocks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=56369","title":{"rendered":"Lance Roberts: GMO&#8217;s Jeremy Grantham Is Correct, There&#8217;s An &#8216;Epic Bubble In Stocks&#8217;"},"content":{"rendered":"<header class=\"ArticleFull_header__11o5_\">\n<h3 class=\"ArticleFull_title__2cUI6\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/markets\/lance-roberts-gmos-jeremy-grantham-correct-epic-bubble-stocks\">Lance Roberts: GMO&#8217;s Jeremy Grantham Is Correct, There&#8217;s An &#8216;Epic Bubble In Stocks&#8217;<\/a><\/h3>\n<\/header>\n<div class=\"ArticleFull_mainContent__2fwDC\">\n<div class=\"ArticleFull_body__3kFg9 NodeBody_container__2N7hs\">\n<p>Following GMO&#8217;s co-founder Jeremy Grantham&#8217;s renewed\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/markets\/investing-legend-turns-apocalyptic-bursting-great-epic-bubble-will-be-most-important\">warning<\/a>\u00a0about extreme overvaluations, RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts chimed in on the conversation Thursday morning.<\/p>\n<p>In\u00a0<em>&#8220;Three Minutes on Markets &amp; Money,&#8221;<\/em>\u00a0Roberts agress\u00a0with Grantham, saying, &#8220;the stock market is in a bubble.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/LB_0.png?itok=CVimMqPK\" data-image-external-href=\"\" data-image-href=\"\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/LB_0.png?itok=CVimMqPK\" data-link-option=\"0\"><picture><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com\/s3fs-public\/styles\/inline_image_mobile\/public\/inline-images\/LB_0.png?itok=CVimMqPK\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" data-entity-type=\"file\" data-entity-uuid=\"41d38f20-d006-4d24-a80d-11f716d8002d\" data-responsive-image-style=\"inline_images\" \/><\/picture><\/a><\/p>\n<p>To refresh readers on Grantham&#8217;s Tuesday note titled\u00a0<em>&#8220;Waiting for the Last Dance,&#8221;<\/em> Grantham wrote, &#8220;today, the P\/E ratio of the market is in the top few percent of the historical range, and the economy is in the worst few percent. This is completely without precedent and may even be a better measure of speculative intensity than any SPAC.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>He wrote while he doesn&#8217;t know when the bubble will burst, the bust cycle is inevitable, and not even the Federal Reserve can prevent it.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Make no mistake &#8211; for the majority of investors today, this could very well be the most important event of your investing lives,&#8221; Grantham said.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>So back to Roberts, he says bubbles are a function of the market and repeat throughout time. Clearly, that is true in the figure below, showing bubbles over the past four decades.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/asset%20bubbles.jpg?itok=I1rRgsPd\" data-image-external-href=\"\" data-image-href=\"\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/asset%20bubbles.jpg?itok=I1rRgsPd\" data-link-option=\"0\"><picture><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com\/s3fs-public\/styles\/inline_image_mobile\/public\/inline-images\/asset%20bubbles.jpg?itok=I1rRgsPd\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"332\" data-entity-type=\"file\" data-entity-uuid=\"ac6275ac-7bf2-43a5-b790-485ff4c54ce1\" data-responsive-image-style=\"inline_images\" \/><\/picture><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Today is &#8220;clearly a bubble,&#8221; he said, adding that S&amp;P500 valuations are overly stretched.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2021-01-07_09-57-45.png?itok=f4NWB7Q-\" data-image-external-href=\"\" data-image-href=\"\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2021-01-07_09-57-45.png?itok=f4NWB7Q-\" data-link-option=\"0\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com\/s3fs-public\/styles\/inline_image_mobile\/public\/inline-images\/2021-01-07_09-57-45.png?itok=f4NWB7Q-\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"291\" data-entity-type=\"file\" data-entity-uuid=\"bcb9ae01-126d-473c-9499-6bf6cf3281ba\" data-responsive-image-style=\"inline_images\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"Advert_desktop__1J5vD Advert_align__N0_fw Advert_placement__1I4yb\">\n<aside id=\"in-content-desktop\" class=\"Advert_verticallySpacedSimple__fbU2d\" data-google-query-id=\"CNSH5M2zjO4CFUjqwAodXsQI7A\">\n<div id=\"pa-container-0\" class=\"pa-global-class pa-pl-4325 pa-pl-multiInsert\">\n<div id=\"pa-unit-0\" class=\"pa-unit-global pa-pl-4325\">Roberts went on to say, &#8220;valuations are simply a representation of the psychology of the markets, and it&#8217;s the psychology that actually drives the bubble.&#8221;<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/aside>\n<\/div>\n<p>He said investors&#8217; psychology is euphoric as they take on more\u00a0equity exposure than ever before, adding that\u00a0most speculative risks are being transacted in the options market.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2021-01-07_10-33-18.png?itok=XASpASKr\" data-image-external-href=\"\" data-image-href=\"\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2021-01-07_10-33-18.png?itok=XASpASKr\" data-link-option=\"0\"><picture><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com\/s3fs-public\/styles\/inline_image_mobile\/public\/inline-images\/2021-01-07_10-33-18.png?itok=XASpASKr\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"290\" data-entity-type=\"file\" data-entity-uuid=\"0a042bdf-609f-4238-9390-19467fce4d6c\" data-responsive-image-style=\"inline_images\" \/><\/picture><\/a><\/p>\n<p>In a series of charts, Roberts shows extreme optimism and\/or high valuations that are not sustainable.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Market Cap Of Stocks \/ GDP Ratio<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2021-01-07_10-07-29.png?itok=IpNSAT-q\" data-image-external-href=\"\" data-image-href=\"\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2021-01-07_10-07-29.png?itok=IpNSAT-q\" data-link-option=\"0\"><picture><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com\/s3fs-public\/styles\/inline_image_mobile\/public\/inline-images\/2021-01-07_10-07-29.png?itok=IpNSAT-q\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"321\" data-entity-type=\"file\" data-entity-uuid=\"f6ac9b7d-02fd-478a-9402-c26d4ea0af5f\" data-responsive-image-style=\"inline_images\" \/><\/picture><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>S&amp;P500 Price To Sales Ratio<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/bfm33F7_0.jpg?itok=aj92NXaE\" data-image-external-href=\"\" data-image-href=\"\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/bfm33F7_0.jpg?itok=aj92NXaE\" data-link-option=\"0\"><picture><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com\/s3fs-public\/styles\/inline_image_mobile\/public\/inline-images\/bfm33F7_0.jpg?itok=aj92NXaE\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"276\" data-entity-type=\"file\" data-entity-uuid=\"1dc2611f-c9a9-4ffc-8147-c8253a3cd15a\" data-responsive-image-style=\"inline_images\" \/><\/picture><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Lance Roberts: GMO&#8217;s Jeremy Grantham Is Correct, There&#8217;s An &#8216;Epic Bubble In Stocks&#8217; Following GMO&#8217;s co-founder Jeremy Grantham&#8217;s renewed\u00a0warning\u00a0about extreme overvaluations, RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts chimed in on the conversation Thursday morning. In\u00a0&#8220;Three Minutes on Markets &amp; Money,&#8221;\u00a0Roberts agress\u00a0with Grantham, saying, &#8220;the stock market is in a bubble.&#8221; To refresh readers on [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[1849,30802,8511,7195,4318],"class_list":["post-56369","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-financial-markets","tag-jeremy-grantham","tag-lance-roberts","tag-market-bubble","tag-zerohedge"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56369","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=56369"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56369\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":56370,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56369\/revisions\/56370"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=56369"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=56369"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=56369"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}