{"id":55358,"date":"2020-10-18T07:46:58","date_gmt":"2020-10-18T12:46:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=55358"},"modified":"2020-10-18T07:51:29","modified_gmt":"2020-10-18T12:51:29","slug":"forget-peak-oil-demand-supply-crisis-could-be-hitting-first","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=55358","title":{"rendered":"Forget Peak Oil Demand, Supply Crisis Could be Hitting First"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"YDC-Lead\" class=\"YDC-Lead Px(55px) Pt(35px) Px(25px)--modalMinWidth\" data-reactid=\"18\">\n<div id=\"YDC-Lead-Stack\" class=\"YDC-Lead-Stack\" data-reactid=\"19\">\n<div data-reactid=\"20\">\n<div data-reactid=\"22\">\n<div id=\"mrt-node-Lead-1-HeadComponentTitle\" data-locator=\"subtree-root\">\n<div id=\"Lead-1-HeadComponentTitle-Proxy\" data-reactroot=\"\" data-reactid=\"1\" data-react-checksum=\"1379642813\">\n<div data-reactid=\"2\">\n<header id=\"Lead-1-HeadComponentTitle\" class=\"canvas-header\" data-yaft-module=\"tdv2-applet-CommonHeader\" data-reactid=\"3\">\n<h3 class=\"Lh(1.15) Fz(40px) Fz(36px)--modalMinWidth Mb(14px) Ff($ff-primary) Lts($lspacing-md) Fw($fweight) Fsm($fsmoothing) Fsmw($fsmoothing) Fsmm($fsmoothing) Wow(bw)\" data-reactid=\"4\"><a href=\"https:\/\/news.yahoo.com\/forget-peak-oil-demand-supply-111341407.html\">Forget Peak Oil Demand, Supply Crisis Could be Hitting First<\/a><\/h3>\n<\/header>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"YDC-UniCol1 Ov(h) Pstart(25px)--modalMinWidth Pend(315px)--modalMinWidth Pstart(55px) Pend(355px)\" data-reactid=\"29\">\n<div class=\"Fl(start) W(100%) Bxz(bb) Pend(40px)\" data-reactid=\"30\">\n<div class=\"Pos(r)\" data-test-locator=\"article\" data-reactid=\"31\">\n<div id=\"YDC-Col1-1\" class=\"YDC-Col1-1 Bxz(bb) Maw(650px) Mstart(80px) Mstart(65px)--modalMinWidth\" data-reactid=\"32\">\n<div id=\"YDC-Col1-1-Stack\" class=\"YDC-Col1-1-Stack Pos(r) Mih(328px) Pb(45px)\" data-reactid=\"33\">\n<div data-reactid=\"34\">\n<div data-reactid=\"35\">\n<div id=\"mrt-node-Col1-0-ContentCanvas\" data-locator=\"subtree-root\">\n<div id=\"Col1-0-ContentCanvas-Proxy\" data-reactroot=\"\" data-reactid=\"1\" data-react-checksum=\"-842408900\">\n<div id=\"Col1-0-ContentCanvas\" class=\"content-canvas Bgc(#fff) Pos(r)\" data-reactid=\"2\">\n<article data-uuid=\"26445e66-eb20-3169-8efb-1009e1a304b2\" data-type=\"story\" data-reactid=\"10\">\n<figure class=\"canvas-image Mx(a) canvas-atom Mt(0) Mt(20px)--sm Mb(24px) Mb(22px)--sm\" data-type=\"image\" data-reactid=\"11\">\n<div class=\"Maw(100%) Pos(r) H(0)\" data-reactid=\"14\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\" StretchedBox W(100%) H(100%) ie-7_H(a)\" src=\"https:\/\/s.yimg.com\/uu\/api\/res\/1.2\/EXlVekhbmoh0ldFbze_4bQ--~B\/aD00MTA7dz02MTU7c209MTthcHBpZD15dGFjaHlvbg--\/https:\/\/media.zenfs.com\/en\/fx_empire_176\/ad81e31ec8a813d6369cd74dba22e076\" alt=\"Forget Peak Oil Demand, Supply Crisis Could be Hitting First\" data-reactid=\"15\" \/><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<div data-reactid=\"18\">\n<div id=\"caas-art-26445e66-eb20-3169-8efb-1009e1a304b2\" class=\"caas caas-cc enableInArticleAd enableVideoDocking oathPlayer outStream recommendedVideos videoDetection news caas-click-attached\" data-assets=\"[]\" data-cobrandname=\"\" data-device=\"desktop\" data-i18n=\"{&quot;{0} min read&quot;:&quot;{0} min read&quot;,&quot;{0} mins read&quot;:&quot;{0} mins read&quot;,&quot;{0} Views&quot;:&quot;{0} Views&quot;,&quot;360_TITLE&quot;:&quot;The 360&quot;,&quot;Ad&quot;:&quot;Ad&quot;,&quot;AD_PLACEHOLDER_TEXT&quot;:&quot;Advertisement&quot;,&quot;AND&quot;:&quot;and&quot;,&quot;AR_INLINE_FALLBACK&quot;:&quot;This story has augmented reality! 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The energy agency repeats that oil demand is effected by COVID, but all scenarios show that oil demand has not peaked yet. The energy agency contradicts here the views currently being proponed by BP and others that oil demand has peaked already. The report bluntly states that after recovering from the \u201cexceptional ferocity\u201d of the COVID-19 crisis, world oil demand will rise from 97.9 million bpd in 2019 to 104.1 million bpd in 2040.<\/p>\n<p>Even that the agency acknowledges that demand has been hit and is lagging behind 2019 levels, overall demand will increase, only the increase will be slightly slower than expected. The Paris-based agency, financed by the OECD governments, and lately known as a main proponent of energy transition and renewables, expects that a slower increase of oil demand the coming years will be caused by clean transport policies and surging renewable energy. At the same time the IEA also reiterates that demand for petrochemicals and global growth of long-distance transport will be leading to a net increase of oil demand until 2040.<\/p>\n<p>It needs to be reiterated that several major factors are very unsure that could have a major impact on global\u00a0<a class=\"link rapid-noclick-resp\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fxempire.com\/markets\/crude-oil\/overview\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ylk=\"slk:oil\">oil<\/a>\u00a0demand growth. The current assessments are all taking into account a wide range of proposed and\/or signed energy transition and net-zero emission government policies.<\/p>\n<p>These will have an impact if fully implemented by all. Looking at the current situation, especially due to COVID-related economic issues, renewable and emission reduction policies could however become sidelined, delayed or put on ice. The need for a revamp of the global economies is clear, but choices will be made by respective constituencies without full focus on climate change and renewables.<\/p>\n<div class=\"caas-da\">\n<div id=\"defaultdestINARTICLE\">\n<p>\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"caas-readmore caas-readmore-collapse\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Forget Peak Oil Demand, Supply Crisis Could be Hitting First In today\u2019s IEA\u2019s annual World Energy Outlook 2020 report, the OECD energy watchdog states that it doesn\u2019t see a peak\u00a0oil\u00a0demand before 2040, only a possible oil demand flattening. The energy agency repeats that oil demand is effected by COVID, but all scenarios show that oil [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[15095,416,433,588,23132,607,617,13669,19009,30474],"class_list":["post-55358","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-energy-2","tag-cyril-widdershoven","tag-iea","tag-international-energy-agency","tag-oil","tag-oil-supply-crisis","tag-pandemic","tag-peak-oil","tag-peak-oil-demand","tag-peak-oil-supply","tag-yahoo-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55358","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=55358"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55358\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":55360,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55358\/revisions\/55360"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=55358"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=55358"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=55358"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}