{"id":52977,"date":"2020-05-04T11:12:59","date_gmt":"2020-05-04T16:12:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=52977"},"modified":"2020-05-04T11:13:03","modified_gmt":"2020-05-04T16:13:03","slug":"why-lockdowns-work","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=52977","title":{"rendered":"Why Lockdowns Work"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Why Lockdowns Work<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Steve Schapiro\u00a0Muhammad Ali (Cassius Clay) with mini gloves, Louisville, KY\u00a0<\/strong>1963<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

There was another comment at the Automatic Earth yesterday questioning the function and wisdom of various lockdowns. I thought I\u2019d explain this in more detail.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ilargi if you or anyone else could explain what the exit strategy is from a lockdown I\u2019d be interested in hearing it. As it is, this lockdown I repeat is no different than financial QE \u2013 everyone comes out weaker than they were before treatment. Financial QE covers up her problem just like lockdown does, but makes it worse in the long run. The only exit strategy I can see is to keep lockdown until a vaccine or effective treatment, neither of which are on the horizon.<\/em><\/p>

If you are arguing that even healthy economies can survive indefinite closure, with intermittent re-openings I don\u2019t know what to tell you. The suggestion is made that Sweden has a huge vested interest in understating fatalities. It is also certainly true that the rest of the world has an even greater vested interest in criticizing the Swedish approach because it demonstrates how useless the total lockdowns are. BTW the reported differences in fatalities between Sweden and the rest of Scandinavia are not statistically significant. Playing with numbers and not understanding how things may not be as they seem.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

First, let\u2019s re-establish that no lockdown would have been needed if and when politicians and scientists had done what\u2019s in their job descriptions. That does not mean that no lockdown was called for once they did fail. Indeed, it\u2019s the failure to act at the very beginning, say January 31, when the WHO sent out its first warning, that made lockdowns inevitable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Why Lockdowns Work There was another comment at the Automatic Earth yesterday questioning the function and wisdom of various lockdowns. I thought I\u2019d explain this in more detail. Ilargi if you or anyone else could explain what the exit strategy is from a lockdown I\u2019d be interested in hearing it. As it is, this lockdown […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,4,6],"tags":[29597,29596,28817,29192,29377,4593,29598,2144,13924,771,29465,5177,29477],"class_list":["post-52977","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","category-environment","category-liberty","tag-care-workers","tag-closure","tag-coronavirus","tag-covid19","tag-face-masks","tag-failure","tag-indefinite","tag-lockdown","tag-raul-ilargi-meijer","tag-sweden","tag-testing","tag-the-automatic-earth","tag-vaccine"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52977","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=52977"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52977\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":52978,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52977\/revisions\/52978"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=52977"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=52977"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=52977"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}