{"id":52786,"date":"2020-04-26T07:34:51","date_gmt":"2020-04-26T12:34:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=52786"},"modified":"2020-04-26T07:34:57","modified_gmt":"2020-04-26T12:34:57","slug":"market-update-the-battle-for-control","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=52786","title":{"rendered":"Market Update: The Battle For Control"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.peakprosperity.com\/market-update-the-battle-for-control\/\">Market Update: The Battle For Control<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Which side will prevail in the markets going forward? Reality or rescue?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As more data pours in showing the severe and worsening contraction of the global economy due to the impact of covid-19, it\u2019s becoming increasingly clear that the only thing propping up today\u2019s financial markets is the $trillions in rescue stimulus promised by governments across the globe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bloomberg estimates that flood to be&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2020-04-23\/when-8-trillion-in-global-fiscal-stimulus-still-isn-t-enough\">in the range of $8 trillion<\/a>&nbsp;\u2014 and counting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Will it be enough?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Time will tell. But, for now, it has been enough to keep the markets elevated. As reported last week, the FAANG stock complex is back at&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/markets\/market-now-just-5-stocks-sp-now-more-concentrated-top-5-names-then-ever\">an all-time high<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here at PeakProsperity.com, we\u2019ve long been critical of central banks\u2019 upward influence on the financial markets, which prior to covid-19, distorted asset prices far higher than fundamentals justified and created accelerating inequity between the rich and the rest of society.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Those issues are now exacerbated by the abovementioned new $8 trillion, though there\u2019s an important twist this time. The problems the central planners are trying to address aren\u2019t easily solved by simply forcing liquidity into the system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The world is experiencing one of the worst demand shocks in history. In America, more than 26 million workers have lost their jobs over just the past 5 weeks:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/mail.google.com\/mail\/u\/0?ui=2&amp;ik=3fe4aaa904&amp;attid=0.6&amp;permmsgid=msg-a:r-5104991276541678291&amp;th=171aa19627a61e76&amp;view=fimg&amp;sz=s0-l75-ft&amp;attbid=ANGjdJ8nFO09LUuGfEqy1QbxDFHGdB7498L4VUkJqJhcoOgy8s1dvjMwGgqAwwSFWioELg4A5Rj5KxFGQ1bny9v2YiEof4Z3M0Y2tOCEtBrh7kKuv9gGOZhkFlLWriM&amp;disp=emb&amp;realattid=ii_k9d63xoz5\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mail.google.com\/mail\/u\/0?ui=2&amp;ik=3fe4aaa904&amp;attid=0.6&amp;permmsgid=msg-a:r-5104991276541678291&amp;th=171aa19627a61e76&amp;view=fimg&amp;sz=s0-l75-ft&amp;attbid=ANGjdJ8nFO09LUuGfEqy1QbxDFHGdB7498L4VUkJqJhcoOgy8s1dvjMwGgqAwwSFWioELg4A5Rj5KxFGQ1bny9v2YiEof4Z3M0Y2tOCEtBrh7kKuv9gGOZhkFlLWriM&amp;disp=emb&amp;realattid=ii_k9d63xoz5\" alt=\"US new jobless claims\"\/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Bankruptcies tend to follow layoff&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/coronavirus-could-spur-unprecedented-wave-of-business-bankruptcies-200419877.html\">by three to six months<\/a>, so we can expect to see a tsunami of business failures over the next two quarters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Supporting this prediction, we can already see the massive drop in demand US businesses are experiencing the initial April Purchasing Manager Index:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/mail.google.com\/mail\/u\/0?ui=2&amp;ik=3fe4aaa904&amp;attid=0.1&amp;permmsgid=msg-a:r-5104991276541678291&amp;th=171aa19627a61e76&amp;view=fimg&amp;sz=s0-l75-ft&amp;attbid=ANGjdJ-anWybUQQbHlysN0qiq6Bo1cAB8agFnY3_XYG6Es3CtjB3tPPBP65918n5jlYmoiv7OR1DBkQlodNbQRVeuufP2C1KZlg1BQ72VLZTH6bZkUI-KPtIw2j8dYw&amp;disp=emb&amp;realattid=ii_k9d5sjzo0\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/mail.google.com\/mail\/u\/0?ui=2&amp;ik=3fe4aaa904&amp;attid=0.1&amp;permmsgid=msg-a:r-5104991276541678291&amp;th=171aa19627a61e76&amp;view=fimg&amp;sz=s0-l75-ft&amp;attbid=ANGjdJ-anWybUQQbHlysN0qiq6Bo1cAB8agFnY3_XYG6Es3CtjB3tPPBP65918n5jlYmoiv7OR1DBkQlodNbQRVeuufP2C1KZlg1BQ72VLZTH6bZkUI-KPtIw2j8dYw&amp;disp=emb&amp;realattid=ii_k9d5sjzo0\" alt=\"US PMI\"\/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>The charts for&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/mail.google.com\/mail\/u\/0?ui=2&amp;ik=3fe4aaa904&amp;attid=0.2&amp;permmsgid=msg-a:r-5104991276541678291&amp;th=171aa19627a61e76&amp;view=fimg&amp;sz=s0-l75-ft&amp;attbid=ANGjdJ8Bs_ox1UBB4oWelBRRA796TU9UisEvO2eYsp6nYD2qv4L8DvwNokQHuZEoDZew81jbhlxRa3k_m1Fpd3kt8IcfH9EvuxWDe3keW3ir9YAIcRFqZdTO90z3x_o&amp;disp=emb&amp;realattid=ii_k9d5tfkf1\">Japan<\/a>&nbsp;and the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/mail.google.com\/mail\/u\/0?ui=2&amp;ik=3fe4aaa904&amp;attid=0.3&amp;permmsgid=msg-a:r-5104991276541678291&amp;th=171aa19627a61e76&amp;view=fimg&amp;sz=s0-l75-ft&amp;attbid=ANGjdJ8mEPOP_fDXi6uj-iZQnViwSVn-VK36R6YldiwDcMYTdb5aL-pCJ16t-usZ2DGrO4HAjKp8BV1JsAkXfQY_wrS2QXBWiEDEENTI7Bl8y5j8rFYr-ddIBCKfIyw&amp;disp=emb&amp;realattid=ii_k9d5u2u92\">Eurozone<\/a>&nbsp;look the same or worse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026ir latest perspective.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Market Update: The Battle For Control Which side will prevail in the markets going forward? Reality or rescue? As more data pours in showing the severe and worsening contraction of the global economy due to the impact of covid-19, it\u2019s becoming increasingly clear that the only thing propping up today\u2019s financial markets is the $trillions [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[1849,382,487,2218,13127],"class_list":["post-52786","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-financial-markets","tag-governments","tag-liquidity","tag-peak-prosperity","tag-stimulus-spending"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52786","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=52786"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52786\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":52787,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52786\/revisions\/52787"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=52786"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=52786"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=52786"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}