{"id":51289,"date":"2020-02-22T16:15:25","date_gmt":"2020-02-22T21:15:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=51289"},"modified":"2020-02-22T16:15:28","modified_gmt":"2020-02-22T21:15:28","slug":"why-the-us-is-headed-into-its-fourth-turning","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=51289","title":{"rendered":"Why the US Is Headed into Its Fourth Turning"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"https:\/\/internationalman.com\/articles\/why-the-us-is-headed-into-its-fourth-turning\/\">Why the US Is Headed into Its Fourth Turning<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/internationalman.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/1-1.png\" alt=\"US fourth turning\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>International Man<\/strong>: The economic, political, social, and cultural situation seems to have become increasingly volatile in the United States and more broadly in the West. Is this a unique situation or part of a recurring historical cycle?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Authors William Strauss and Neil Howe introduced a popular theory in their book,&nbsp;<em>The Fourth Turning<\/em>, outlining the recurring generational cycles that have occurred throughout American history.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What are your thoughts?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Doug Casey<\/strong>: I read Strauss and Howe\u2019s first book,&nbsp;<em>Generations<\/em>, when it came out back in 1992. I thought it was brilliant.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Let me start off by recommending both&nbsp;<em>Generations<\/em>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<em>The Fourth Turning<\/em>&nbsp;to everybody. Both books offer quite a scholarly, readable, and prescient view of the cyclicality of history. And offer a very plausible forecast for the 2020s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>History\u2019s best seen as cyclical, rather than a straight-line progress to some preordained end the way both the Marxists and the Abrahamic religions see it. But then, Ecclesiastes has its famous quote that there\u2019s nothing new under the sun.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Plato in the&nbsp;<em>Republic<\/em>&nbsp;talks about how the younger generation\u2014and we\u2019re talking fourth century BC\u2014can\u2019t stand up to the moral values of their forefathers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Older people have always thought that the younger generation wouldn\u2019t quite measure up. In recent American history, you\u2019ll recall, the younger generation were the beatniks in the \u201950s, the hippies in the \u201960s, and the yuppies in the \u201980s\u2014so it\u2019s a passing parade. Older people have a tendency to think the world is going downhill. Nothing new there. But there\u2019s always a rebirth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Niccol\u00f2 Machiavelli, in his<em>&nbsp;Florentine Histories<\/em>, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Virtue gives birth to tranquility, tranquility to leisure, leisure to disorder, disorder to ruin\u2026 and similarly from ruin, order is born, from order virtue, from virtue, glory and good fortune.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Why the US Is Headed into Its Fourth Turning International Man: The economic, political, social, and cultural situation seems to have become increasingly volatile in the United States and more broadly in the West. Is this a unique situation or part of a recurring historical cycle? Authors William Strauss and Neil Howe introduced a popular [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[6227,13835,9529,6228,4199,4756,14130],"class_list":["post-51289","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-liberty","tag-doug-casey","tag-generations","tag-historical-cycles","tag-international-man","tag-neil-howe","tag-western-civilization","tag-william-strauss"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51289","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=51289"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51289\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":51290,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51289\/revisions\/51290"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=51289"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=51289"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=51289"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}