{"id":51159,"date":"2020-02-14T16:01:48","date_gmt":"2020-02-14T21:01:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=51159"},"modified":"2020-02-14T16:01:52","modified_gmt":"2020-02-14T21:01:52","slug":"will-the-corona-virus-trigger-a-recession","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=51159","title":{"rendered":"Will The Corona Virus Trigger A Recession?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"https:\/\/realinvestmentadvice.com\/will-the-corona-virus-trigger-a-recession\/\">Will The Corona Virus Trigger A Recession?<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>As if waking up to an economic nightmare, investors see headlines like these and many others flashing across their Bloomberg terminals:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><em>Facebook says Oculus headphone production will be delayed due to virus<\/em><\/li><li><em>Apple extends country wide store closing for another week<\/em><\/li><li><em>Foxconn delays iPhone production<\/em><\/li><li><em>Qualcomm cuts production forecast due to virus uncertainty<\/em><\/li><li><em>Starbucks announces China store closures through Lunar New Year, uncertain when they may reopen<\/em><\/li><li><em>US Steel flashes a warning of a cut in demand<\/em><\/li><li><em>Nike shoe production halted<\/em><\/li><li><em>Under Armour missed on sales, and their outlook is weak. They partially blamed the Corona Virus outbreak.<\/em><\/li><li><em>IEA forecasts drop in oil demand this quarter- first time in a decade<\/em><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The seemingly never ending list of delays, disruptions, and cuts rolls on from retail to high technology. Even services are impacted as flights and train trips are canceled within and to and from China. &nbsp;While some technology-based services are provided over the Internet service, restaurants, training, and consulting, as examples, must be performed in person. &nbsp;Manufacturing operations require workers to be at the factory to produce products. Thus, manufacturing is much more acutely affected by quarantines, shutdowns, transportation disruption, and other government actions.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It is as if an economic tsunami is rolling over the global economy. China\u2019s economy was 18 % of world GDP in 2019.&nbsp; For most S &amp; P 100 corporations, the Asian giant is their fastest growing market at 20 \u2013 30 % per year.&nbsp; Even more critical, China&nbsp;<em>has become the hub of world manufacturing&nbsp;<\/em>after entering the World Trade Organization in 2000. Over the past two decades, U.S. corporations have relocated manufacturing to China to leverage an inexpensive labor force and modern business infrastructure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/realinvestmentadvice.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/1-7.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-429055\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Source: The Wall Street Journal \u2013 2\/7\/20<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Prior to the epidemic, world trade had begun to slow as a result of the China \u2013 U.S. trade war and other tariffs.&nbsp; World trade for the first time since the last recession has turned negative.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/realinvestmentadvice.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/2-7.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-429056\"\/><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Will The Corona Virus Trigger A Recession? As if waking up to an economic nightmare, investors see headlines like these and many others flashing across their Bloomberg terminals: Facebook says Oculus headphone production will be delayed due to virus Apple extends country wide store closing for another week Foxconn delays iPhone production Qualcomm cuts production [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[28817,29011,28612,15470,1264],"class_list":["post-51159","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-coronavirus","tag-covid-19","tag-patrick-hill","tag-real-investment-advice","tag-recession"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51159","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=51159"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51159\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":51160,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51159\/revisions\/51160"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=51159"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=51159"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=51159"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}