{"id":51155,"date":"2020-02-14T15:49:09","date_gmt":"2020-02-14T20:49:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=51155"},"modified":"2020-02-14T15:49:12","modified_gmt":"2020-02-14T20:49:12","slug":"bofa-we-are-witnessing-the-biggest-asset-bubble-ever-created-by-a-central-bank","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=51155","title":{"rendered":"BofA: We Are Witnessing The Biggest Asset Bubble Ever Created By A Central Bank"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/markets\/bofa-we-are-witnessing-biggest-asset-bubble-ever-created-central-bank\">BofA: We Are Witnessing The Biggest Asset Bubble Ever Created By A Central Bank<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Back in March 2018, when&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2018-03-26\/bofa-we-are-witnessing-third-biggest-assset-bubble-created-central-bank\">commenting&nbsp;<\/a>on what was then the 2nd longest central-bank induced bull market of all time (it is now the longest ever) Bank of America&#8217;s CIO Michael Hartnett pointed out that &#8220;<strong>bull market leadership has been in assets that provide scarce \u201cgrowth\u201d &amp; scarce \u201cyield<\/strong>\u201d. Specifically, the &#8220;deflation&#8221; assets, such as bonds, credit, growth stocks (315%), have massively outperformed inflation assets, e.g., commodities, cash, banks, value stocks (249%) since QE1. At the same time, US equities (269%) have massively outperformed non-US equities (106%) since launch of QE1.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And, as happens every time the Fed tries to manage asset prices, it had blown another bubble: commenting on the hyperinflation in risk assets, Hartnett said that the &#8220;lowest interest rates in 5,000 years have guaranteed a melt-up trade in risk assets&#8221;, which the strategist had called the Icarus Trade since late 2015, noting that the latest, &#8220;e-Commerce&#8221; bubble, which consists of AMZN, NFLX, GOOG, TWTR, EBAY, FB, is up 617% since the financial crisis,&nbsp;<strong>making it the 3rd largest bubble of the past 40 years.&#8221;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com\/s3fs-public\/inline-images\/bubble%20trouble%202_0.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fast forward two years, one failed attempt at normalizing interest rates, one QE4, and one historic P\/E multiple expansion meltup later, when the same bull market leadership in &#8220;growth&#8221; assets has led to the unprecedented result that the top 5 stocks now account for a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/markets\/morgan-stanley-spots-market-ratio-unprecedented-even-during-tech-bubble\">greater share of S&amp;P500 market cap than ever before<\/a>&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com\/s3fs-public\/inline-images\/top%20five%20companies%20spx_6.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8230; and when what in 2018 was the third largest bubble of all time only has &#8211;&nbsp;<em>thanks to 800 rate cuts by central banks since the Lehman bankruptcy&nbsp;<\/em>&#8211; now been rebranded to &#8220;<strong>e-Commerce&#8221;&nbsp;<\/strong>by BofA&#8217;s Hartnett, and which as shown in the chart below&nbsp;<strong>has &#8211; after rising more than 1,000% from its crisis lows &#8211;&nbsp;become the single biggest asset bubble of all time.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com\/s3fs-public\/inline-images\/history%20of%20asset%20bubbles.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/bubble%20trouble%202_0.jpg?itok=pYva_woq\"><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>BofA: We Are Witnessing The Biggest Asset Bubble Ever Created By A Central Bank Back in March 2018, when&nbsp;commenting&nbsp;on what was then the 2nd longest central-bank induced bull market of all time (it is now the longest ever) Bank of America&#8217;s CIO Michael Hartnett pointed out that &#8220;bull market leadership has been in assets that [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3038,122,303,4318],"class_list":["post-51155","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-bank-of-america","tag-central-bank","tag-fed","tag-zerohedge"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51155","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=51155"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51155\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":51156,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51155\/revisions\/51156"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=51155"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=51155"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=51155"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}