{"id":50196,"date":"2019-12-18T09:41:40","date_gmt":"2019-12-18T14:41:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=50196"},"modified":"2019-12-18T09:41:45","modified_gmt":"2019-12-18T14:41:45","slug":"dennis-meadows-the-limits-to-growth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=50196","title":{"rendered":"Dennis Meadows: The Limits To Growth"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.peakprosperity.com\/dennis-meadows-the-limits-to-growth\/\">Dennis Meadows: The Limits To Growth<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Revisiting one of the most seminal studies of our era<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fifty years ago, an international team of researchers was commissioned by the Club of Rome to build a computer simulation of exponential economic and population growth on a finite planet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In 1971, its findings were first released in Moscow and Rio de Janeiro, and later published in 1972 under the title&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/The_Limits_to_Growth\">The Limits To Growth<\/a>. The report concluded:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Given business as usual, i.e., no changes to historical growth trends, the limits to growth on earth would become evident by 2072, leading to \u201csudden and uncontrollable decline in both population and industrial capacity\u201d. This includes the following:<ul><li>Global&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Manufacturing\">Industrial output<\/a>&nbsp;per capita reaches a peak around 2008, followed by a rapid decline<\/li><li>Global&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Agriculture\">Food<\/a>&nbsp;per capita reaches a peak around 2020, followed by a rapid decline<\/li><li>Global&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Service_(economics)\">Services<\/a>&nbsp;per capita reaches a peak around 2020, followed by a rapid decline<\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/World_Population\">Global population<\/a>&nbsp;reaches a peak in 2030, followed by a rapid decline<\/li><\/ul><\/li><li>Growth trends existing in 1972 could be altered so that sustainable ecological and economic stability could be achieved.<\/li><li>The sooner the world\u2019s people start striving for the second outcome above, the better the chance of achieving it.<\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p>Few reports have generated as much debate, discussion and disagreement. Though it\u2019s hard to argue that its forecasts made back in the early 1970s have proved<a href=\"https:\/\/i.imgur.com\/PkHS05m.jpg\">\u00a0eerily accurate<\/a>\u00a0over the ensuing decades.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But most of its warnings have been largely ignored by policymakers hoping (blindly?) for a rosier future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>One of the original seventeen researchers involved in&nbsp;<em>The Limits To Growth<\/em>&nbsp;study, Dennis Meadows, joins us for the podcast this week. Fifty years later, what does he foresee ahead?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>Decline is now inevitable.<\/p><p>We\u2019re without any question moving into the remainder of a century which is going to see, by the end of these decades, a much smaller population, much lower level of energy and material consumption and so forth.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dennis Meadows: The Limits To Growth Revisiting one of the most seminal studies of our era Fifty years ago, an international team of researchers was commissioned by the Club of Rome to build a computer simulation of exponential economic and population growth on a finite planet. In 1971, its findings were first released in Moscow [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,3,4,7],"tags":[9860,3596],"class_list":["post-50196","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","category-energy-2","category-environment","category-survival-2","tag-adam-taggart","tag-chris-martenson"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50196","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=50196"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50196\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":50197,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50196\/revisions\/50197"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=50196"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=50196"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=50196"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}