{"id":49726,"date":"2019-11-20T09:46:15","date_gmt":"2019-11-20T14:46:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=49726"},"modified":"2019-11-20T09:46:20","modified_gmt":"2019-11-20T14:46:20","slug":"peter-turchin-and-the-coming-crisis-of-the-2020s","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=49726","title":{"rendered":"Peter Turchin And The Coming Crisis Of The 2020s"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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Peter Turchin And The Coming Crisis Of The 2020s<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Increasingly, social science is dominated<\/a> by Leftist ideologues<\/a> who use the remaining respect that academia still has among the public to inculcate students and public alike with their equalitarian dogmas<\/a>. But there are honorable exceptions. One of these: Peter Turchin<\/a>, a Russian who is professor of Evolutionary Biology at the University of Connecticut. Turchin, who did PhD at Duke University, applies his \u201chard science\u201d training to the Woke world of social science, aiming to make clear and testable predictions about the cycles through which civilizations go. According to Turchin, the West is headed for trouble in the 2020s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Turchin, who keeps a blog<\/a> about civilization cycles, recently presented his latest findings to the Centre for Complex Systems Studies in Utrecht, Holland, under the heading \u201cA History of the Near Future: What History Tells Us About the Near Future.\u201d<\/em><\/a> [PDF<\/a>]His conclusions are startling. Based on his detailed number-crunching about events, civilizations that are in decline\u2014as is the USA is\u2014always<\/em> enter periods of extreme polarization. For the USA, the 2020s will be that period. It will be marred by years of political violence, and intense conflict. Worryingly, Turchin claims that the U.S. more polarized that it was on the eve of the Civil War [ See his Ages of Discord: A Structural-Demographic Analysis of American History<\/em><\/a>].<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Turchin argued in his Utrecht presentation that political instability in the USA and Western Europe in the 2020s will be of unparalleled severity, to the extent that it may well \u201cundermine scientific progress.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Turchin began his presentation by quoting himself from almost a decade ago already making this prediction, one which\u2014in a world of Trump, Brexit and the rise of European \u201cpopulism\u201d\u2014now seems extremely prescient. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Peter Turchin And The Coming Crisis Of The 2020s Increasingly, social science is dominated by Leftist ideologues who use the remaining respect that academia still has among the public to inculcate students and public alike with their equalitarian dogmas. But there are honorable exceptions. One of these: Peter Turchin, a Russian who is professor of Evolutionary Biology at the University of […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,5,6],"tags":[3487,9529,27796,5042,27797,22284],"class_list":["post-49726","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","category-geopolitics","category-liberty","tag-cycles","tag-historical-cycles","tag-lance-welton","tag-peter-turchin","tag-social-discord","tag-vdare-com"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49726","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=49726"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49726\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":49727,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49726\/revisions\/49727"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=49726"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=49726"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=49726"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}