{"id":49090,"date":"2019-10-22T11:56:40","date_gmt":"2019-10-22T16:56:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=49090"},"modified":"2019-10-22T11:56:46","modified_gmt":"2019-10-22T16:56:46","slug":"half-the-worlds-banks-wont-survive-the-next-crisis-mckinsey-finds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=49090","title":{"rendered":"Half The World&#8217;s Banks Won&#8217;t Survive The Next Crisis, McKinsey Finds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/markets\/late-cycle-woes-next-crisis-could-wipe-out-half-worlds-banks-mckinsey\">Half The World&#8217;s Banks Won&#8217;t Survive The Next Crisis, McKinsey Finds\u00a0<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">More than half of the world&#8217;s banks are at risk of collapse in the next global downturn if they don&#8217;t start preparing for late-cycle shocks, McKinsey &amp; Company warned in its latest global banking outlook.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The consultancy firm warned on Monday, in a 55-page report titled&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mckinsey.com\/~\/media\/mckinsey\/industries\/financial%20services\/our%20insights\/global%20banking%20annual%20review%202019%20the%20last%20pit%20stop%20time%20for%20bold%20late%20cycle%20moves\/mckinsey-global-banking-annual-review-2019.ashx\"><em>The last pit stop? Time for bold late-cycle moves<\/em><\/a>, that 35% of banks globally are &#8220;subscale&#8221; and will have to merge or sell to larger firms if they want to survive the next crisis.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>&#8220;A decade on from the global financial crisis, signs that the banking industry has entered the late phase of the economic cycle are clear: growth in volumes and top-line revenues is slowing, with loan growth of just 4% in 2018\u2014the lowest in the past five years and a good 150 basis points (bps) below nominal GDP growth. Yield curves are also flattening. And, although valuations fluctuate, investor confidence in banks is weakening once again,&#8221; McKinsey said.&nbsp;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com\/s3fs-public\/inline-images\/2019-10-22_0.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kausik Rajgopal, a senior partner at McKinsey, told&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2019-10-21\/banks-must-act-now-or-risk-becoming-a-footnote-mckinsey-says\">Bloomberg<\/a>&nbsp;that &#8220;we believe we&#8217;re in the late economic cycle and banks need to make bold moves now because they are not in great shape,&#8221; adding that, &#8220;in the late cycle, nobody can afford to rest on their laurels.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com\/s3fs-public\/inline-images\/2019-10-22.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The report warned that 60% of global banks are experiencing &#8220;returns below the cost of equity.&#8221; And even warned that when the next recession strikes, &#8220;negative interest rates could wreak further havoc.&#8221;\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com\/s3fs-public\/inline-images\/2019-10-22_07-55-33.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2019-10-22_07-55-33.png?itok=K2JUHOK-\"><\/a>McKinsey said fin-tech startups are rapidly evolving the industry, and legacy banks risk &#8220;becoming footnotes to history&#8221; if they don&#8217;t immediately invest in technology. For instance, the report said, Amazon and Ping An are two technology firms that are quickly acquiring market share from the traditional banking sector.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00a0\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2019-10-22_0.png?itok=KOtOLS-P\"><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Half The World&#8217;s Banks Won&#8217;t Survive The Next Crisis, McKinsey Finds\u00a0 More than half of the world&#8217;s banks are at risk of collapse in the next global downturn if they don&#8217;t start preparing for late-cycle shocks, McKinsey &amp; Company warned in its latest global banking outlook.&nbsp; The consultancy firm warned on Monday, in a 55-page [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[11535,63,11537,27405,4318],"class_list":["post-49090","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-bank-collapse","tag-banks","tag-cycle","tag-mckinsey-company","tag-zerohedge"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49090","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=49090"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49090\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":49091,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49090\/revisions\/49091"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=49090"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=49090"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=49090"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}