{"id":48862,"date":"2019-10-07T07:24:57","date_gmt":"2019-10-07T12:24:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=48862"},"modified":"2019-10-07T07:25:03","modified_gmt":"2019-10-07T12:25:03","slug":"whats-holding-up-the-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=48862","title":{"rendered":"What&#8217;s Holding Up the Market?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"http:\/\/charleshughsmith.blogspot.com\/2019\/10\/whats-holding-up-market.html\">What&#8217;s Holding Up the Market?<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>The Fed&#8217;s\u00a0nearly free money for financiers\u00a0policies in support of the Super-Rich do not exist in a vacuum&#8211;the disastrous consequences are already baked in.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>What&#8217;s holding up the U.S. stock market?<\/strong>\u00a0The facile answer is the Federal Reserve (&#8220;the Fed has our back,&#8221; &#8220;don&#8217;t fight the Fed,&#8221; etc.) but this doesn&#8217;t actually describe the mechanisms in play or the consequences of a market that levitates ever higher on the promise of more Fed money-for-nothing injected into the diseased veins of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As Gordon T. Long and I discuss in our latest half-hour video program,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/QTKeeqcgP7E\">What&#8217;s Holding the Market Up?<\/a>\u00a0(34 minutes),\u00a0<strong>the primary prop under stock valuations are corporate buybacks,<\/strong>\u00a0which total in the trillions of dollars since the 2008-09 Global Financial Meltdown and the Fed&#8217;s &#8220;rescue of the rich,&#8221; which continues to this day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Rather than risk capital in productive investments, U.S. corporations have borrowed trillions of dollars and used the cash to buy back their own shares.<\/strong>\u00a0The Fed&#8217;s suppression of interest rates has incentivized stock buybacks in several ways:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">1. When it&#8217;s cheap to borrow billions, the biggest bang for the buck is to use the borrowed bucks to buy back shares, which creates\u00a0<em>an illusion of growth<\/em>\u00a0as per-share sales and earnings both rise as shares are withdrawn from the public market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Let&#8217;s say a company has a million shares outstanding and earns a net profit of $1 million. The per-share net profit is thus $1 per share. If the company borrows money and buys back 500,000 shares of its own stock, the per-share net earnings double to $2 per share.Presto-magico, the company appears to be more profitable, and so its valuation based on its price-to-earnings ratio (P-E) adjusts higher, even though revenues and earnings have remained stagnant.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&nbsp;\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What&#8217;s Holding Up the Market? The Fed&#8217;s\u00a0nearly free money for financiers\u00a0policies in support of the Super-Rich do not exist in a vacuum&#8211;the disastrous consequences are already baked in. What&#8217;s holding up the U.S. stock market?\u00a0The facile answer is the Federal Reserve (&#8220;the Fed has our back,&#8221; &#8220;don&#8217;t fight the Fed,&#8221; etc.) but this doesn&#8217;t actually [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[1849],"class_list":["post-48862","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-financial-markets"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48862","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=48862"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48862\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":48864,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48862\/revisions\/48864"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=48862"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=48862"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=48862"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}