{"id":48753,"date":"2019-10-02T07:34:31","date_gmt":"2019-10-02T12:34:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=48753"},"modified":"2019-10-02T07:34:35","modified_gmt":"2019-10-02T12:34:35","slug":"the-myth-of-imminent-collapse","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=48753","title":{"rendered":"The Myth of Imminent Collapse"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"page-title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.aier.org\/article\/myth-imminent-collapse\">The Myth of Imminent Collapse<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.aier.org\/sites\/default\/files\/Files\/WYSIWYG\/blog\/10409\/shutterstock_589360712.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The ills that have haunted our species since time immemorial \u2014 starvation, illness, protection from the elements \u2014 are less prevalent than&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=XD28sQIsS9I\">ever<\/a>&nbsp;before. At the same time we\u2019ve probably never been as&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Factfulness:_Ten_Reasons_We%27re_Wrong_About_the_World_%E2%80%93_and_Why_Things_Are_Better_Than_You_Think\">disillusioned<\/a>&nbsp;about the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/quillette.com\/2019\/01\/14\/enlightenment-wars-some-reflections-on-enlightenment-now-one-year-later\/\">fruits of progress<\/a>.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Panicking about an imminent apocalyptic disaster, people&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/globalclimatestrike.net\/\">march on the streets<\/a>&nbsp;of the most prosperous cities in all of human civilization. They chant about impending&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/rebellion.earth\/\">extinction<\/a>&nbsp;of humankind or the planet itself, about an&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.unenvironment.org\/news-and-stories\/story\/were-gobbling-earths-resources-unsustainable-rate\">unsustainable<\/a>&nbsp;way of life, about an&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/simonlack\/2018\/08\/23\/guess-whos-most-effective-at-combating-global-warming\/\">invisible gas<\/a>&nbsp;produced as a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.project-syndicate.org\/commentary\/governments-must-reduce-poverty-not-emissions-by-bjorn-lomborg-2019-09\">by-product&nbsp;<\/a>of our increasingly affluent lifestyles. Sixteen-year-olds are addressing the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=U72xkMz6Pxk\">World Economic Forum<\/a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=wpaw-l1Q3_E\">the UN<\/a>&nbsp;imploring us to reconsider the irresponsibly disastrous path we\u2019ve entered upon. Elected&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.inverse.com\/article\/52659-alexandria-ocasio-cortez-climate-change\">officials<\/a>&nbsp;are proposing one&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/spectator.us\/dangerous-amazon-fires-apocalyptic-rhetoric\/\">fanciful<\/a>&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.aier.org\/article\/inconvenient-truth-about-green-new-deal\">idea<\/a>&nbsp;after&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.capitalismmagazine.com\/2019\/07\/whats-the-deal-with-the-green-new-deal\/\">another<\/a>&nbsp;on topics none of them seem to&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/player.fm\/series\/power-hour-with-alex-epstein\/power-hour-greta-thunbergs-unscientific-sermon-climate-protests-and-fossil-fuel-divestment\">understand<\/a>.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>More than one commentator has pointed to a crisis of&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.opendemocracy.net\/en\/transformation\/extinction-rebellion-and-new-visibility-religious-protest\/\">spirituality<\/a>&nbsp;and how&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/capx.co\/how-prosperity-drives-the-environmentalist-frenzy\/\">radical environmentalism<\/a>&nbsp;has filled the void left behind by religion. Moral outrages over&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.aier.org\/article\/most-things-recycling-harms-environment\">plastic<\/a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.aier.org\/article\/why-shouldnt-brazil-burn-its-rainforest\">the Amazon<\/a>&nbsp;are blown entirely&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/michaelshellenberger\/2019\/08\/26\/why-everything-they-say-about-the-amazon-including-that-its-the-lungs-of-the-world-is-wrong\/\">out of proportion<\/a>. Virtue signaling and \u201ctaking a stance\u201d are more important than effecting change.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In that light, looking at actual societal collapses is relevant. When podcasts like Paul Cooper\u2019s&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/fallofcivilizationspodcast.com\/\">Fall of Civilization<\/a>&nbsp;are trending on most platforms and the popular historian Dan Carlin\u2019s forthcoming book&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Hardcore-History-at-Extremes\/dp\/0062868047\/ref=tmm_hrd_swatch_0?_encoding=UTF8&amp;qid=&amp;sr=\">The End Is Always Near<\/a>&nbsp;is making huge waves, it is clearly time to dust off the work of&nbsp;esteemed geographer Jared Diamond \u2014 particularly his book&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.penguinrandomhouse.com\/books\/288954\/collapse-by-jared-diamond\/\">Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Survive<\/a>, the follow-up to his Pulitzer Prize\u2013winning&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Guns,_Germs,_and_Steel\">Guns, Germs, and Steel<\/a>&nbsp;(which just came out in a 20th-anniversary edition). This year he released&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Upheaval-Turning-Points-Nations-Crisis\/dp\/0316409138\">Upheaval: Turning Points for Nations in Crisis<\/a>, which is a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/samharris.org\/podcasts\/161-rise-fall\/\">natural continuation<\/a>&nbsp;of the broad-brushed portrait of the fundamental challenges for human societies that he has been painting for 20 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;\u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Myth of Imminent Collapse The ills that have haunted our species since time immemorial \u2014 starvation, illness, protection from the elements \u2014 are less prevalent than&nbsp;ever&nbsp;before. At the same time we\u2019ve probably never been as&nbsp;disillusioned&nbsp;about the&nbsp;fruits of progress.&nbsp; Panicking about an imminent apocalyptic disaster, people&nbsp;march on the streets&nbsp;of the most prosperous cities in all [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[150,21708,24467,27274],"class_list":["post-48753","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-environment","tag-collapse","tag-jared-diamond","tag-joakim-book","tag-the-american-institute-for-economic-research"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48753","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=48753"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48753\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":48754,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48753\/revisions\/48754"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=48753"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=48753"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=48753"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}