{"id":479,"date":"2014-10-23T10:54:37","date_gmt":"2014-10-23T10:54:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=479"},"modified":"2014-10-23T10:54:37","modified_gmt":"2014-10-23T10:54:37","slug":"living-and-breathing-in-a-black-swan-world-solutions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=479","title":{"rendered":"Living and Breathing in a &#8216;Black Swan&#8217; World | Solutions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.thesolutionsjournal.com\/node\/237195\">Living and Breathing in a &#8216;Black Swan&#8217; World | Solutions<\/a>.<\/p>\n<div id=\"headline_image\" style=\"background-image: initial; background-attachment: scroll; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: transparent; float: left; width: 350px; position: relative; top: 4px; background-position: 0px 0px; background-repeat: repeat repeat; padding: 0px 2px 7px 0px; margin: 0px 19px 0px 0px;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"imagecache imagecache-headline-image\" style=\"margin-bottom: 4pt; border: 3px solid #aaaaaa;\" title=\"&quot;Black Swan&quot; events such as the Fukushima disaster contribute to changes and turbulance across various levels of society, driving the need for more resilient systems.\" src=\"http:\/\/www.thesolutionsjournal.com\/sites\/default\/files\/imagecache\/headline-image\/headline\/Per_Orr_Figure1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"350\" height=\"233\" \/><\/p>\n<div id=\"headline_image_data\" style=\"color: gray; float: left; font-size: 11px; text-align: right; width: 350px; margin: -3px 30px 5px 0px;\">\n<div class=\"credit\" style=\"color: #aaaaaa; font-size: xx-small; font-style: italic; font-weight: bold; margin-top: -6pt; text-align: right;\">Mike Weightman, IAEA Imagebank<\/div>\n<div class=\"caption\" style=\"color: #555555; margin-bottom: 6pt; line-height: 1.2em; text-align: left; font-size: x-small; font-weight: bold;\">&#8220;Black Swan&#8221; events such as the Fukushima disaster contribute to changes and turbulance across various levels of society, driving the need for more resilient systems.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"body\">\n<p style=\"margin: 1em 0px 1em 0px;\">A Marine Corps friend of mine defines resilience as the ability to take a gut punch and come back swinging. More formally, it is said to be the capacity to maintain core functions and values in the face of outside disturbance. Either way, the concept is elusive, a matter of more or less, not either\/or. The combination of slow, cumulative changes like soil erosion, loss of species, and acidification of oceans with fast, Black Swan events, such as the Fukushima disaster, like intersecting ocean currents, will create overlapping levels of unpredictable turbulence at various depths<sup>1<\/sup>. Against that prospect, the idea that we can improve resilience at scales ranging from cities to global civilization is becoming an important part of policy discussions, but mostly in reaction to crises like the global economic crisis of 2008 and the prospect of rapid climate change. If we are serious about it we will have to improve not only our capacity to act with foresight but also develop the wherewithal to diagnose and remedy the deeper problems rooted in language, paradigms, social structure, and economy that undermine resilience in the first place.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 1em 0px 1em 0px;\">The theoretical underpinnings of the concept go back to the writings of C. S. Holling on the resilience of ecological systems and to metaphors drawn from the disciplines of systems theory, mathematics, and engineering. More recently, scholars such as Joseph Tainter, Thomas Homer-Dixon, and Jared Diamond have documented the histories of societies that collapsed for lack of foresight, competence, ecological intelligence, and environmental restraint.<sup>2<\/sup><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 1em 0px 1em 0px;\">&#8230;click on the link above to read the rest of the article&#8230;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Living and Breathing in a &#8216;Black Swan&#8217; World | Solutions. Mike Weightman, IAEA Imagebank &#8220;Black Swan&#8221; events such as the Fukushima disaster contribute to changes and turbulance across various levels of society, driving the need for more resilient systems. A Marine Corps friend of mine defines resilience as the ability to take a gut punch [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[77,680,777],"class_list":["post-479","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-survival-2","tag-black-swan","tag-resilience","tag-systems-theory"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/479","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=479"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/479\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=479"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=479"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=479"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}