{"id":46218,"date":"2019-05-18T18:21:06","date_gmt":"2019-05-18T23:21:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=46218"},"modified":"2019-05-18T18:21:09","modified_gmt":"2019-05-18T23:21:09","slug":"not-just-a-trade-war-but-a-shooting-war-with-china","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/?p=46218","title":{"rendered":"Not Just a Trade War, But a Shooting War With China"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Not Just a Trade War, But a Shooting War With China<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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The Chinese came from nothing; only 40 years ago, they had nothing but a billion impoverished peasants. No money. No technology. No power. Today, they\u2019re on par with the United States. But, if this trend continues \u2013 which it will \u2013 their economy will be triple the size of the US economy in 20 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Not just a trade war, but a shooting war with the Chinese seems inevitable. Because when tensions build up between states they eventually fight with each other. China is the major rising power. It\u2019s got four times the US population, it\u2019s soon going to be more economically powerful, and it\u2019s going to reach military parity. It\u2019s of a different culture than the US. The US government may figure it\u2019s best to take them out while the balance still favors them. It\u2019s a bit like the situation was with the USSR in the \u201980s. They could see they were going into decline, and some Soviet generals figured it was \u201cnow or never\u201d for a successful war. Fortunately they collapsed first.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Chinese don\u2019t like seeing US aircraft carriers off their coast any more than we would like to see Chinese aircraft carriers in the Gulf of Mexico or off Santa Catalina Island.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The last thing that we need is a war with the Chinese. But if something that\u2019s been called the Thucydides Trap is valid \u2013 and I think it is \u2013 then it\u2019s highly likely. It refers to the Peloponnesian War between Athens and Sparta, at the end of 5th century BC. The Trap is sprung when a reigning power strikes out at the advancing power while they still have a chance of winning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \u2026click on the above link to read the rest of the article\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Not Just a Trade War, But a Shooting War With China The Chinese came from nothing; only 40 years ago, they had nothing but a billion impoverished peasants. No money. No technology. No power. Today, they\u2019re on par with the United States. But, if this trend continues \u2013 which it will \u2013 their economy will […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[6227,862],"class_list":["post-46218","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","tag-doug-casey","tag-war"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46218","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=46218"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46218\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":46219,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46218\/revisions\/46219"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=46218"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=46218"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/olduvai.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=46218"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}